Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-4   12/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE MIDST Nov15 Aug27 Aug19 May21 Apr01 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 5.00 7% 13.20    
2  VICTORY AT LAST Nov04 Oct15 Oct07 Sep23 Sep10 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
3  CHROME KING Nov04 Sep23 Aug13 Jul13 Jun22 (hernandez mig)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 6.00    
4  CLUB MESQUITE Nov15 Nov04 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  POLITICAL RIOT Oct04 Sep27 Sep06 Jul20 May05 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 4.00 ★    
6  ETU BABOU Nov21 Oct08 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  THE GLADIATOR (CHI) Oct23 Oct10 Sep26     (silva pa)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
 
TUP-5   12/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATAR Nov12         (owens kory)VERGARA P 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
2  NOBLE CRUSADER Nov15 Sep05 Jul18     (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  ECHO CANYON Nov15 Oct04 Aug27 Aug14   (schnell don)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
4  LOUDMOUTHSOUP Nov08 Aug28 Jun26     (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00    
5  SEIGE THE DAY Nov06 Sep16 Aug06 Jul24 Jul08 (salas eliazar)CARRENO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Nov04 Oct14       (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  JUSTIN AZTECA Nov07 Apr13       (story chad)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.00 12% 7.50    
 
TUP-6   12/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BESAME MUCHO Nov09 Aug18 Jun19 May29 Apr08 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 5.00 11% 8.20    
2  POVERTY BAY Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 May03 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 8.00 53% 0.90    
3  DODGER BLUE         (rollins scott)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00    
SCR  TENTH STREET DON Nov05 Oct23 Jul09 May21 Apr16 (cerin vladi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 ★    
5  WESTPORT CAPTAIN Nov09 Aug13 Jun30 Apr04   (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 3.00 7% 12.70    
6  TEMPTED MISSION Nov09         (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00 8% 12.00    
7  ROBIN'S EMPIRE Oct06         (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 12.00    
8  BET ON DAD         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
 
TUP-7   12/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Nov19 Nov07 Sep03 Aug22 May07 (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 5.00    
2  KEEPINMYPROMISE Nov19 Aug26 Jun17 May29 Apr14 (pierce l)CARRENO J 122 10.00    
3  A WHOLE LOTTA HULA Nov19 Sep11 Aug20 Jul17 Jul02 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 12.00 7% 14.30    
4  DATQUICKCAT Nov14 Nov04 Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 4.50 ★    
5  KNOCKON Nov07 Sep19 Aug29 Aug13 Jul30 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00    
6  WAY TO FIRE Nov21 Nov12 Sep19 Sep10 Aug27 (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
7  DELAWARE DESTINY Oct05 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (chamberlin ti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
8  DIPLOMATICA Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 Aug20 (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
TUP-8   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Nov05 Sep17 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 122 6.00    
2  AWHITESPORTSCOAT Aug13 Jul18 Jul02 Mar12 Jan28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  CAUSE AND EFFECT Nov04 Sep17 Sep10 Aug29 Aug06 (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 6% 14.90    
4  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Nov21 Sep28 Sep05 Aug16 Aug01 (brown jared)MAWING A 122 8.00    
5  TEXAS LONG BOW Nov14 Sep25 Aug21 Aug11 Jun26 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 8% 11.20    
6  MAD LUTHER Nov19 Sep14 Aug31 Aug14 Jul30 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
7  SIR DEPUTY Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 (potts an)CORBETT W 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
8  MANCUSO AT THE MIC Sep17 Sep04 Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 122 8.00    
9  GOT EVEN SMARTER Sep10 Aug29 Aug15 Aug08 Jul18 (fulmer drew)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-9   12/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAIL HUGGER Sep19 Sep05 Aug01 Jul04 May06 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
2  NORTHCUT Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul09 Jun23 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 ★    
3  PEACE OF EKATI Nov08 Oct17 Aug21 Jul30 May21 (silva l)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00    
4  GIANT PAYDAY Nov21 Nov08 Oct06 Jul16 Jul07 (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
5  HEIR (FR) Mar28 Mar07 Jan28 Jan12   (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06   (metz jeffrey)VALDIVIA JR 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
7  FALSELY ACCUSED Nov08 Sep09 Aug18 Jun24 May01 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAJOR ATTRACTION Nov08 Sep17 Aug31 Aug13 Jul09 (williams matt)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.