Handicappers' Race Results

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Century Mile
Saturday - September 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CTM-4   09/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE SHOES 3 2 32 31 1½ 13 1 (brown r)NELSON DANE 124 1.60 38% 1.60 0.15 W
PEARL OF KNOWLEDGE 1 1 11 1½ 2½ 23 2 (tracy)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 2.50 3.25 P
GRACEFUL SPIRIT 2 3 21 2½ 3 315 330½ (pozzo jack)BRYAN D 112 4.50 9.35 S
SCR  PLUM BLUE               (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 122 1.50 38% 1.60    
 
CTM-5   09/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:103 1:363   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEK GEEK 4 2 4 4 2½ 1nk 1 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 1.80 51% 1.00 1.05 W
SMART PLAY 5 5 5 5 3½ 2nk 2 (robertson jerr)WALCOTT W 119 4.50 5.85 P
THESHACK 3 4 3 3 5 46 310¾ (nicholson d)ZENTENO JR 118 3.50 3.50 S
SMARTY RIVER PANTS 2 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 35 412¾ (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 117 5.00 21% 3.90 14.30  
REGAL MAX 1 1 1½ 1nk 41 514 527¾ (brown r)NELSON DANE 121 2.00 2.85  
 
CTM-6   09/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVER TRUE 2 3 1nk 11   13 1 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 6.00 17% 4.80 8.45 W
BARE BACK JACK 5 5 52 54   33 2 (walper deanna)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 10.00 7% 14.10 1.65 P
JUMEIRAH COAST 7 2 63 64   4 3 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 126 8.00 6% 15.70 6.70 S
NEVVARE 8 1 31 32   23 4 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 126 20.00 15.10  
BAR NO Q 1 6 4 4   5 5 (grieves ron)WALCOTT W 126 2.50 2.35  
FROBISHER BAY 3 7 7 78   6 6 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 126 3.00 41% 1.40 7.50  
VISION QUEST 6 4 2nk 21   75 7 (petrowski joa)MARTI ALEXANDER 126 6.00 18.10  
MY LUCKY MARK 4 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (o'hagan colleen)ZENTENO EDGAR 126 12.00 28.75  
 
CTM-7   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG HUG 7 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 1 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 122 2.00 42% 1.40 0.65 W
BOOTIFUL ROSE 5 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2 (frey carson)WALCOTT W 122 3.50 34% 2.00 2.30 P
FASTESTGIRLINTOWN 3 3 4¾ 32   33 3 (payne)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 5.00 11.25 S
ECHO CREEK 4 4 5 4   46 4 (robertson je)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 6.00 29.85  
SINGING BELL 1 7 6 7   5 5 (humbke chery)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 9.65  
GOLDIE SOCKS 2 6 3½ 53   6 613 (kingston c)BRYAN D 122 8.00 37.50  
FAMILY IS GOLD 6 5 7 6   710½ 716¼ (heggie rod)RIZO ALEXIS 122 10.00 26.25  
 
CTM-8   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART CAT 5 3 11 12   15 18 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50 18% 4.60 1.10 W
CARAVAN PRINCE 4 6 21 22   25 28 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 123 4.00 19% 4.30 11.45 P
BIG JIM 2 7 7 7   58 3 (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 8.00 11.50  
KAPTAIN KOWBOY 8 2 4 4   37 410¾ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 3.00 29% 2.50 2.20  
AGENT C 6 5 3 3   47 511 (o'hagan colleen)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 8.00 14% 5.90 29.35  
PARK WEST 3 4 52 5   610 613¼ (hawkes darcy)RIZO ALEXIS 123 5.00 6.40  
SUNDROP (JPN) 7 1 6 6   713 719 (mckenzie robert)LUNAN RICHARD 120 10.00 30.70  
ALBERTA 1 8 8 8   813½ 819¼ (petrowski joan)ROQUE C 120 15.00 33.60  
 
CTM-9   09/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:374   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEVIE WONDER GIRL 3 4 3 3 3.2 1nk 1¾ (kettleson alivia)NELSON DANE 124 8.00 2.65  
LILBITSPICY 6 8 710½ 6 5 31 2¾ (payne)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 3.00 14% 6.30 3.70 P
ONEOFTHEMGIRLS 4 1 21 2 1nk 2nk 3 (tracy greg)WALCOTT W 124 2.50 48% 1.10 1.15 S
WILD RUNNIN MAGGIE 7 6 68 7 7 611½ 419¾ (walper deanna)BALROOP SVEN 124 15.00 26.50  
SHAKINOFFTHERUST 5 7 4 4 4 48 520 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 5.00 12.25  
SASSY CINDERELLA 2 3 54 5 6 712 622¼ (walper deann)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 4.00 17% 4.90 17.25  
THE RIVER GREY 8 5 11 1 2nk 511 725¼ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 26.85  
LULABELLE 1 2 817½ 821½ 819¼ 823 837 (kettleson alivi)LUNAN RICHARD 124 10.00 36.50  
 
CTM-10   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUDINATOR 2 6 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (russe)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 2.50 1.25  
LIL ZAPPER 3 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (payne jo)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00 13.05  
CARRERA CABALLO 4 5 3½ 31   31 34 (hedge rick)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00 52% 0.90 3.95 S
OUR SUNSHINE 6 7 8 77   6 4 (russell moni)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 15.00 41.10  
MOHAMAD 1 8 4¾ 4   4 5 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 8.15  
LILLY'S OF LONDON 8 3 7 65   53 67 (smith ro)WALCOTT W 121 10.00 3.45  
BIG BAD INTAGLIO 7 2 6 8   7 7 (heggie rod)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 8.00 45.30  
KISS ME HELLO 5 1 5 5   8 89 (kingston c)BRYAN D 124 4.00 22% 3.60 11.25  
 
CTM-11   09/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:121 1:371   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT WILLY 2 5 4 31 5 1nk 1 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 8.35  
ABOVE AND BEYOND 3 1 31 4 4¾ 2nk 2 (payne)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 5.00 4.15 P
BOSS MAN CAN 1 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 3½ 37 (grieves ron)WALCOTT W 124 3.50 59% 0.70 1.20 S
FLASHFORDANI 9 4 7 73 6 41 48 (tracy greg)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 2.50 2.85  
LAST OF WAR 5 9 85 87 8 7 512½ (heggie rod)ZENTENO JR 124 7.00 15.65  
H K MELODY 4 6 52 6 3½ 53 612¾ (humbke chery)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 15% 5.60 23.35  
TRICKY SPEEDSTER 8 8 96 911 9 8 715½ (nicholson david)NELSON DANE 124 12.00 33.30  
AMUSING WAY 6 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 65 818 (rycroft tom)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 20.00 54.40  
AMEER 7 7 62 5 7 9 919¼ (joseph lionel)ZENTENO RAFAEL 124 15.00 44.55  
 
CTM-12   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:222 :444 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLO RING 8 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1 (walper deann)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 121 10.00 11% 8.00 2.30 W
COMMON KNOWLEDGE 4 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2 (joseph lionel)ZENTENO RAFAEL 113 20.00 33.10  
TUCKER TIME 7 8 6 4   32 3 (rycroft tim)ROQUE C 117 12.00 8.35  
MARIA'S SONG 3 6 5¾ 6   5 4 (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 117 4.00 13% 6.90 5.60  
ZICATELA 1 7 7 7   7 5 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 6.00 8% 11.20 4.70  
BACKSTREET BOBBY 5 4 4¾ 5   4 6 (biggs seymour)MUIR SHAMAREE 120 3.00 4.40  
10  VICTORY AT LAST 9 2 3½ 32   6 7 (frey carson)ZENTENO JR 113 8.00 24.80  
BANG ON 2 9 9 8   8 811½ (smith ro)WALCOTT W 119 8.00 6.90  
DANCING WILLIE 6 5 8 9   910¼ 912 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 116 10.00 16.15  
SCR  WEDGE POND               (kettleson alivia)NELSON DANE 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.