The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Saturday - November 26, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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TUP-3   11/26/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
:222 :451 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPRECIABLE 5 1 1nk 11   13 1(martinez esteban)CRUZ M 119 4.50 3.60  
RODEO ROSE 6 3 3½ 21   23 2(baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00 33% 2.10 3.30 P
PIRATES CROSS 2 7 2nk 31   33(rarick wade)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 2.50 13% 6.50 3.90 S
BACK TO BUSINESS 4 4 72 4   48 410 (vitali j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 18% 4.50 4.80  
LATER DAYS 1 2 4¾ 6   59 512½ (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50 5% 17.90 4.10  
CHA 7 6 5 5   612 615½ (bullene michael)CONNING CRYSTAL 119 6.00 6.00  
QUEENS RANSOM 3 5 6 7   712 715½ (zimmerman p)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 8.30  
 
TUP-4   11/26/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
:232 :464 1:11 1:234   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAMP SOUFFLE 7 6 44 3 2 1nk 1(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 11% 8.10 0.90 W
FAMILY BIZ 1 7 7 77 5 32 2(evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 36% 1.80 6.30 P
UNLEASH THE BEAST 5 4 11 12 1 2nk 3(silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 12% 7.20 9.10 S
THE BEAT 2 5 5 66 7 64(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 2.80  
LOLLY EXPRESS 4 3 6 55 3 45(bullene michael)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 10.00 24.00  
HYDROGEN 3 1 3 45 65 7612½ (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 5.80  
FIRE WHEN READY 6 2 21 22 4 5713 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00 13% 6.90 12.90  
 
TUP-5   11/26/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
:224 :452 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUSING RUBBLE 3 3 1nk 1½   11(metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 6.80  
DEVIL'S TEETH 6 2 3 3   34 2(matt l)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 18% 4.60 4.00 P
ORCADIAN STORM 4 1 2nk 2½   23(rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 3.50 43% 1.30 2.20 S
OLYMPIC EXPRESS 7 5 5 53   56 4(ferguson curt)CARRENO J 124 4.00 5.90  
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 5 7 8 6   65(lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 12.00 10% 9.40 11.80  
FINAL ROSE 2 6 43 4   45 6(mccartney jack)LEON A 124 6.00 15.80  
TUMAC MOUNTAIN 1 8 7 77   710½ 711½ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 5.00 12.70  
BUTTERED NOODLES 8 4 6 8   817½ 825 (ortiz sr)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.00 2.60  
 
TUP-6   11/26/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
:23 :46 1:10     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CASTIGLIONE 5 2 3 3   1nk 11 (gutierrez quintana)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 8.00 4.90  
BLAZINGBELLABLU 1 3 6 53   3.2 21 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 3.00 70% 0.40 2.10 P
LOOPY 6 1 1 1   2nk 3(silva pablo)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 13.40 S
WHISTLER'S STYLE 4 9 9 9   54(cerin vladimir)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 7.20  
TIZ A MACHO GIRL 7 7 7 6   45(metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 8.00 4.40  
STRIKE AT DAWN 2 8 8 8   66(lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 120 4.00 5.50  
LADY COMMISSIONER 3 10 10 10   777 (hernandez l)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 6.00 8.30  
ROPERS N WRANGLERS 8 6 2 2   810¼ 814¼ (rennie k)CORBETT W 119 15.00 24.00  
LADY LANA 9 5 53 7   911¼ 915 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00 15.50  
10  INTERSTELLA 10 4 42 42   1013¼ 1017½ (eikleberry kevin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 18.90  
 
TUP-7   11/26/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
:214 :45       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED NOON RISING 2 8 8 7   31 1¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 5.00 2.30  
DAZZLING MIST 7 4 4¾ 5   62¼ (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 3.50 6% 15.50 2.90 P
STRADARI 1 9 5 4   21 3½ (soto antonio)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 12.00 10.70 S
J T'S LA NENA 6 3 3.2 32   542 (torres-casas j)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 10.10  
COLLECTING STARS 8 6 7 6   42 5(person a)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 32% 2.20 6.40  
BIG CYN 3 7 9 98   865 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 122 6.00 10.60  
MISS AGGIE BLING 4 2 1nk 1   11 76 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 39% 1.50 3.80  
RIVER JUMPER 5 1 2nk 2   78(lavanway dayson)BEVERLY JR 124 10.00 24.40  
SECRETLY PARANOIDE 9 5 6 87   99(crotts e)HARVEY B 122 8.00 13.70  
 
TUP-8   11/26/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
:223 :44 1:093     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STITZY 4 3 56 54   2½ 1(silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 6.20  
10  TARTINI 10 7 811 7   42 2(hernandez l)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 9.90  
TRUTH SEEKER 9 6 710½ 8   53(barraza s)MAWING A 124 3.00 8% 12.20 4.30 S
TIGER DAD 6 2 2 2nk   1½ 43 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 9% 10.40 2.40  
LIMONITE 7 5 33 3   32 5(evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 9% 10.60 5.80  
CONVENTION 5 10 913 912¼   86(lebsock greg)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 27.00  
CLAVICHORD 1 8 6 67   67(buechler j)WADE LYNDIE 122 20.00 35.80  
MY INDY 2 9 1016 1019¼   910¾ 811¼ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00 7.40  
COASTAL KID 8 4 4 42   7911½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 15.00 10.20  
PAPA'S GOLDEN BOY 3 1 1 1nk   1018¾ 1026¾ (potts ann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 48% 1.10 6.40  
SCR  PERFECT DUDE               (belvoir vann)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SONNY SMACK               (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.