Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - November 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   11/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATER DAYS Nov08 Sep03 Aug04 Jul10 Jun19 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50 5% 17.90    
2  PIRATES CROSS Sep09 Aug19       (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 2.50 13% 6.50    
3  QUEENS RANSOM Nov12 Aug15 Jul23 Jun25 Apr28 (zimmerman jo)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00    
4  BACK TO BUSINESS Oct19 Oct04 Sep07 Aug09 Jul07 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  APPRECIABLE Nov07 Sep01 Aug03 Jul04 Jun26 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 119 4.50    
6  RODEO ROSE Sep10 Sep03 Aug20 Jul15 Jul02 (baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00 33% 2.10    
7  CHA Nov08 Sep15 Sep04 Aug20 Jul17 (bullene mic)CONNING CRYSTAL 119 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   11/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAMILY BIZ Nov15 Sep19 Sep05 Jul28 Jul01 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  THE BEAT Nov15 Sep10 Aug15 Jul28 Jul10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00    
3  HYDROGEN Nov07 Sep17 Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 ★    
4  LOLLY EXPRESS Nov07 Sep17 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 (bullene mic)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 10.00    
5  UNLEASH THE BEAST Nov07 Aug21 Jun23 Mar02 Feb03 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 12% 7.20    
6  FIRE WHEN READY Nov07 Sep03 Aug14 Apr19 Mar18 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
7  SWAMP SOUFFLE Nov16 Nov07 Sep18 Sep01 Jul28 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 11% 8.10    
 
TUP-5   11/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 5.00    
2  FINAL ROSE Apr04 Mar18 Mar04 Feb10 Jan19 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 6.00    
3  ROUSING RUBBLE Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul10 Jun20 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00    
4  ORCADIAN STORM Nov15 Sep17 Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Nov04 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 12.00 10% 9.40    
6  DEVIL'S TEETH Nov09 Aug19 Jan17     (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 18% 4.60    
7  OLYMPIC EXPRESS Nov07 Sep10 Aug13     (ferguson curt)CARRENO J 124 4.00 ★    
8  BUTTERED NOODLES Aug08 Jul02 May03 Apr18 Feb20 (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   11/26/2022 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZINGBELLABLU Nov05 Sep18 Jun26     (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 3.00 70% 0.40    
2  STRIKE AT DAWN Oct22 Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Jun05 (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 120 4.00 ★    
3  LADY COMMISSIONER Nov09 Sep16 Aug24 Jun18 May03 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 6.00 ★    
4  WHISTLER'S STYLE Oct21 Oct10 Aug06 Jun03 May08 (cerin vladimir)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
5  LA CASTIGLIONE Nov05 Sep05 Aug15 Jul16 Jun27 (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 8.00 ★    
6  LOOPY Sep28 Aug16 Aug06 Jun26 Jun01 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 ★    
7  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Nov09 Oct16 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 8.00    
8  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Nov09 Oct15 Sep05 Jul17 Jun19 (rennie richard )CORBETT W 119 15.00    
9  LADY LANA Oct18 Sep27 Jun23 May31 Apr07 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00    
10  INTERSTELLA Nov05 Oct01 Aug15 Jul22 Jul08 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
 
TUP-7   11/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRADARI Nov15         (soto antoni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 12.00 ★    
2  RED NOON RISING Nov07 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jul10 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 5.00 ★    
3  BIG CYN Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 122 6.00    
4  MISS AGGIE BLING Sep08 Aug21 Jul03 May14 May01 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
5  RIVER JUMPER Nov14 Sep24 Aug17 Aug06 Jun25 (lavanway day)BEVERLY JR 124 10.00    
6  J T'S LA NENA Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00    
7  DAZZLING MIST Nov04 Sep19 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 3.50 6% 15.50    
8  COLLECTING STARS Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Aug05 (person a)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 32% 2.20    
9  SECRETLY PARANOIDE Oct15 Oct10 Aug27 Aug20 Aug14 (crotts e)HARVEY B 122 8.00    
 
TUP-8   11/26/2022 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAVICHORD Oct11 Sep23 Sep04 Feb21 Feb02 (buechler simon )WADE LYNDIE 122 20.00    
2  MY INDY Sep07 Aug13 Jun22 May25 Mar11 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00    
3  PAPA'S GOLDEN BOY Nov04 Sep18 Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 (potts ashley )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
4  STITZY Nov08 Sep10 Aug14 Jul31 Jul07 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
5  CONVENTION (IRE) Oct04 Sep05 Aug15 Apr30 Apr22 (lebsock greg)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00    
6  TIGER DAD Nov04 Aug27 Jul10 Jun23 May25 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 9% 10.40    
7  LIMONITE Sep19 Sep05 Aug01 Jul23 May29 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 9% 10.60    
8  COASTAL KID Nov04 Jun19       (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 15.00    
9  TRUTH SEEKER Nov04 Jul08 Jun26 May20 Apr17 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 3.00 8% 12.20    
10  TARTINI Nov08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug07 Jun12 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00    
SCR  SONNY SMACK Sep07 Aug13 Jul27 Jun11 Jan15 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 120 6.00    
SCR  PERFECT DUDE Nov04 Aug13 Jul09 Jun15 May06 (belvoir vann)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.