Handicappers' Race Results
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Ferndale
Saturday - August 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
FER-2   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:234 :483       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY 1 2 11 11   14 15½ (beckner l)HARVEY B 126 4.00 26% 2.80 2.70 W
2  AFTER SUNDOWN 2 1 21 21   24 25½ (delima clifford)FLORES PABLO 126 4.50 ★ 5.30 P
4  ZU ZU FLYNN 3 3 32½ 32½   38 37¼ (wong jonathan)SMITH E 126 1.80 47% 1.10 0.20 S
SCR  LA CROIX               (aquino ang)AMADOR RUIZ 126 5.00 ★    
SCR  MADAME JEANETTE               (guerrero emilio)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.00 ★    
 
FER-3   08/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:251 :51 1:171     1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTRAFINE XTINA 1 1 13 12½   12 11½ (beckner l)HARVEY B 126 3.00 29% 2.50 1.10 DQ↓3
3  BETHEL RIDGE 3 2 23 22½   22 21½ (williams gabri)SMITH E 126 1.20 49% 1.00 3.10 W
2  I'LL DO IT FOR YOU 2 3 3100 3100   3100 3100 (miller b)GOODGAME R 126 1.00 ★ 1.00 P
 
FER-4   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:23 :473       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CRESCENT WILDCAT 2 1 13 14   14 11¼ (mcdevitt tiffan)KING MCKENZIE 126 5.00 14% 6.00 4.60 W
2  SNICKER'N DAN 1 2 23 24   24 21¼ (beckner l)HARVEY B 126 1.60 33% 2.00 1.60 P
5  MR MEMPHIS 4 4 44½ 36   39 33¾ (gilmour jim)SMITH E 126 3.00 ★ 2.40 S
4  ZOE'S PAPA CEE 3 3 34½ 47   49½ 45½ (cantrell margie)GOODGAME R 126 8.00 19% 4.40 1.80  
SCR  SONORA SERMON               (tamayo isi)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50 ★    
 
FER-5   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:23 :474       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FLASHY PASS 2 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 1½ (aquino ang)AMADOR RUIZ 126 4.00 ★ 1.90 DQ↓3
1  SOMARA 1 3 41¼ 32   31½ 2½ (tamayo isidro)KING MCKENZIE 126 3.50 ★ 2.80  
5  HEY WILMAAA 5 4 3.2 2nk   2nk 3½ (beckner l)HARVEY B 126 2.50 ★ 5.30 P
4  KAYLA'S COWGIRL 4 5 52¼ 42½   54 45¾ (guerrero emilio)FLORES PABLO 126 4.50 ★ 4.70  
3  COWLITZ 3 1 2nk 53   43½ 56 (beckner l)SMITH E 126 2.00 67% 0.50 2.60  
 
FER-6   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:242 :49       1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KEEN JAMES 2 2 2nk 12   14 15¾ (gale sandy)SMITH E 126 3.00 55% 0.80 5.20 W
6  ABADON 5 4 41¾ 22   34 25¾ (aquino m)HARVEY B 122 5.00 ★ 1.70 P
1  HAKUNUI 1 3 31½ 32   24 37¾ (de p)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.00 1.20  
4  ONE LAST THOUGHT 3 1 1nk 42¼   510½ 410½ (eaton terri)KING MCKENZIE 122 6.00 14% 6.00 6.30  
5  MR. MERCEDES 4 5 54¾ 58¼   410 511¾ (lucas j)FLORES PABLO 122 8.00 ★ 8.60  
SCR  FORTY SEVEN BLUE               (guerrero emil)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 4.50 ★    
 
FER-7   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:19
See original race card.
:23 :474       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TIMBERLAKE GAGE 5 4 2nk 11   13 13¼ (beckner te)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.50 26% 2.80 2.40 W
2  MERGIE TROID 2 2 43¼ 44½   34 23¼ (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 126 6.00 10.10  
1  PULPIT SINGER 1 3 66¼ 67½   55½ 33¼ (de pablo)WOOTEN W 126 5.00 ★ 12.90 S
4  MORNING BLURS 4 1 1nk 21   23 44¼ (mcdevitt tiffa)SMITH E 126 3.50 35% 1.90 3.70  
7  SECRETLY PARANOIDE 7 5 33 33½   45½ 55¾ (aquino m)HARVEY B 126 8.00 ★ 3.50  
6  TIGER MOM 6 6 54¾ 55½   66½ 65¾ (aquino a)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 10.00 12% 7.60 9.80  
3  GEMMA ROYAL 3 7 76¾ 79   78 76½ (calvario samuel)FLORES PABLO 126 4.00 3.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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