Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ferndale
Saturday - August 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FER-2   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Jul03 Jun28 Jun20     (beckner l)HARVEY B 126 4.00 26% 2.80    
AFTER SUNDOWN Jul04 May01 Apr08 Feb26 Jan30 (delima clifford)FLORES PABLO 126 4.50    
SCR  LA CROIX Aug07 Jul03 Jun19 Jun12 May22 (aquino ang)AMADOR RUIZ 126 5.00    
ZU ZU FLYNN Aug12 Jul10 May27 Apr30   (wong jonathan)SMITH E 126 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  MADAME JEANETTE Aug10 Jun28       (guerrero emilio)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.00    
 
FER-3   08/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTRAFINE XTINA Jul04 Jun21       (beckner l)HARVEY B 126 3.00 29% 2.50    
I'LL DO IT FOR YOU Aug07 Jul24 Jul16 Jun26 Apr24 (miller b)GOODGAME R 126 1.00    
BETHEL RIDGE Jul04 Jun28 Jun21 May21   (williams gabri)SMITH E 126 1.20 49% 1.00    
 
FER-4   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SONORA SERMON Jul24 Jul03 May14 Apr24 Apr03 (tamayo isi)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50    
SNICKER'N DAN Jul04 Jun27 Jun21     (beckner l)HARVEY B 126 1.60 33% 2.00    
CRESCENT WILDCAT Aug12 Aug10 Jun27 Jun20 Jun11 (mcdevitt tiffan)KING MCKENZIE 126 5.00 14% 6.00    
ZOE'S PAPA CEE Jul14 Jul04 Jun28 Jun20   (cantrell margie)GOODGAME R 126 8.00 19% 4.40    
MR MEMPHIS Aug10 Jul23 Jun28 Jun11   (gilmour jim)SMITH E 126 3.00    
 
FER-5   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMARA Aug12 Jun24 May20 May06 Apr17 (tamayo isidro)KING MCKENZIE 126 3.50    
FLASHY PASS Aug13         (aquino ang)AMADOR RUIZ 126 4.00    
COWLITZ Jul04 Jun27 Jun21     (beckner l)SMITH E 126 2.00 67% 0.50    
KAYLA'S COWGIRL Aug12 Jul31 Jul23 Jul04 Jun21 (guerrero emilio)FLORES PABLO 126 4.50    
HEY WILMAAA Jun28 Jun21       (beckner l)HARVEY B 126 2.50    
 
FER-6   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAKUNUI Jul29 Jul10 Jun19 May15 Apr24 (de p)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.00    
SCR  FORTY SEVEN BLUE Aug10 Jul13 Jul04     (guerrero emil)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 4.50    
KEEN JAMES Aug11 Jul13 Jun27 Mar07 Feb22 (gale sandy)SMITH E 126 3.00 55% 0.80    
ONE LAST THOUGHT Jul15 Jun25 Apr17 Feb25 Feb05 (eaton terri)KING MCKENZIE 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
MR. MERCEDES Aug13 Jun12 May28 Mar15 Feb13 (lucas j)FLORES PABLO 122 8.00    
ABADON Aug13 Jul03 Jun11 May28 Apr23 (aquino m)HARVEY B 122 5.00    
 
FER-7   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PULPIT SINGER Aug04 Jul23 Jul10 Jun04 May08 (de pab)HENRY JR 126 5.00    
MERGIE TROID Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 Jun28 Jun21 (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 126 6.00    
GEMMA ROYAL Aug12 Aug04 Jun24 Jun03 May08 (calvario samuel)FLORES PABLO 126 4.00    
MORNING BLURS Aug10 Jul04 Jun21 Mar26 Mar13 (mcdevitt tiffa)SMITH E 126 3.50 35% 1.90    
TIMBERLAKE GAGE Jul04 Jun28 Jun21     (beckner te)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.50 26% 2.80    
TIGER MOM Aug13 Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 Apr10 (aquino a)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 10.00 12% 7.60    
SECRETLY PARANOIDE Aug14 Apr10 Mar13     (aquino m)HARVEY B 126 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.