Handicappers' Race Results

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Tillamook County Fair
Wednesday - August 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TIL-1   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST MSW4000 ($0K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCTIC FIRE 1 1 13 16   17 1 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P null   37% 1.70 0.10 W
TWISTED LADY 2 2 23 26   27 2 (balcom sharo)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   18% 4.60 1.60 P
SCR  I'M TO BLAME               (gilmour jim)SMITH E null      
SCR  NADITA               (hurley dennis)GUERRERO C null   18% 4.60    
SCR  COASTAL SWEETIE               (harshman d)WOOTEN W null      
 
TIL-3   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000NW2L ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:022         1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MEMPHIS 3 4 32 12   110 112¾ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P null   4.00  
TIZ A GRINDSTONE 1 1 1 22   210 212¾ (balcom sharo)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   55% 0.80 5.60 P
MISSY PARKER 4 2 45 4   413½ 314 (crystal dustie)WOOTEN W null   0.40 S
FORTY SEVEN BLUE 5 3 2 3   313 415 (hurley dennis)GUERRERO C null   10.50  
CABALLERANGO 2 5 57 5   515½ 516¾ (young do)GONZALEZ FLORES null   6.10  
 
TIL-5   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:022         1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKE AND BURN 2 4 5 32   13 1 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P null   1.00  
MISTER G. Q. 1 2 1½ 1½   23 2 (braden darlene)GOODGAME R null   7.70 P
MYSTIC WOOD FORCE 4 1 2½ 2½   3 3 (rodriguez ro)PRECIADO A null   51% 0.90 3.60 S
MOBJACK 3 3 43 5   4 417½ (harris john)SMITH E null   1.40  
CRESCENT WILDCAT 5 5 32 4   510½ 520¾ (crystal )GONZALEZ FLORES null   18% 4.60 16.90  
 
TIL-6   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:021         1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY EDIE 5 5 45 3   1½ 1 (ortega joe)JENSEN P null   1.50  
CHIEFS LIL PEARL 2 1 1½ 2½   2½ 2 (boyle mary)GOODGAME R null   73% 0.40 0.90 P
MADAME JEANETTE 3 2 2½ 1½   3 3 (hurley dennis)SMITH E null   8.60 S
VISION OF THE KAT 1 4 55 4   4 4 (craig r)GUERRERO C null   8.30  
TILLTHELUVRUNSOUT 4 3 3 514½   515½ 532 (weissner tas)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   4.80  
SCR  COSMIC TRIPSTER               (crystal dust)PRECIADO A null      
 
TIL-7   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW4000 ($0K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:012         1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS RIDE GOODBYE 5 4 43 1   14 1 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P null   0.20  
MORNING BLURS 2 1 11 2   24 2 (mcdevitt)GONZALEZ FLORES null   45% 1.20 5.80 P
MY FUNNY GAL 1 3 31 3   36 310¼ (ortega joe)GUERRERO C null   11.40 S
LIZETTA 4 2 21 4   47 411¼ (young r)SMITH E null   11.90  
GOLD SUPPLY 3 5 57 5   515 527½ (ortega joe)GARCIA G null   12% 7.50 5.40  
 
TIL-8   08/10/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM5000 ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:593         1:593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMER'S REALITY 5 1 1nk 1½ 1 11 1¼ (harshman loega)SMITH E null   16% 5.10 4.90 W
PULPITS POWER 1 2 31 3 2 21 2¼ (abraham tim)GUERRERO C null   44% 1.30 0.40 P
WINGS OF THE WIND 3 3 2nk 2½ 3 37 311¼ (cantrell ma)JENSEN P null   2.60 S
COASTAL SON 2 5 44 4 415½ 422 440¾ (crystal dust)PRECIADO A null   9% 10.10 13.20  
LOOKIN FOR GOLD 4 4 57 5 517½ 524 543½ (weissner tas)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   9.60  
SCR  SUBTLE RIDE               (cox jo)GOODGAME R null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.