Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tillamook County Fair
Wednesday - August 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIL-1   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST MSW4000 ($0K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ARCTIC FIRE         (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   37% 1.70    
5  TWISTED LADY         (balcom sha)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   18% 4.60    
SCR  I'M TO BLAME Jul22 Jun28 Jun11     (gilmour jim)SMITH E null   ★    
SCR  NADITA Jul15 Jun28 Jun21     (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null   18% 4.60    
SCR  COASTAL SWEETIE Jul14 Jun28 Jun20     (harshman loegan )WOOTEN W null   ★    
 
TIL-3   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000NW2L ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A GRINDSTONE Jun27         (balcom sha)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   55% 0.80    
2  CABALLERANGO Jul29 Jul24 Jul17     (young )GONZALEZ FLORES null   ★    
3  MR MEMPHIS Jul23 Jun28 Jun11     (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   ★    
4  MISSY PARKER Jul14 Jun28 Jun20     (crystal dustie)WOOTEN W null   ★    
5  FORTY SEVEN BLUE Jul13 Jul04       (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null   ★    
 
TIL-5   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER G. Q.         (braden darlene)GOODGAME R null   ★    
2  SMOKE AND BURN Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 May15 (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   ★    
3  MOBJACK Jul17 Jun11 May22     (harris john)SMITH E null   ★    
4  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Jul15 Jul04 Jun20     (rodriguez )PRECIADO A null   51% 0.90    
5  CRESCENT WILDCAT Jun27 Jun20 Jun11     (crysta)GONZALEZ FLORES null   18% 4.60    
 
TIL-6   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISION OF THE KAT Jul24 Jul17 Jul04 Jun21 May21 (craig james)GUERRERO C null   ★    
3  CHIEFS LIL PEARL Jul04 Jun21       (boyle mary)GOODGAME R null   73% 0.40    
4  MADAME JEANETTE Jun28         (hurley denni)SMITH E null   ★    
5  TILLTHELUVRUNSOUT         (weissner t)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null      
6  SASSY EDIE Jul09 Jun24 Jun03     (ortega jo)JENSEN P null   ★    
SCR  COSMIC TRIPSTER Jul14 Jul04 Jun28 Mar06 Feb18 (crystal du)PRECIADO A null   ★    
 
TIL-7   08/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW4000 ($0K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FUNNY GAL Jul10 Jun17 Jun03 May07 Apr14 (ortega joe)GUERRERO C null   ★    
2  MORNING BLURS Jul04 Jun21 Mar26 Mar13 Mar01 (mcdevi)GONZALEZ FLORES null   45% 1.20    
3  GOLD SUPPLY Jul24 Jul10 Jun25     (ortega joe)GARCIA G null   12% 7.50    
4  LIZETTA Jul23 Jul17       (young donald)SMITH E null   ★    
5  KISS RIDE GOODBYE Jul30 Jul22 Jun03 May27 Apr22 (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   ★    
 
TIL-8   08/10/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM5000 ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PULPITS POWER Jul29 Jul03 Jun20 May21   (abraham tim)GUERRERO C null   44% 1.30    
2  COASTAL SON Jul16 Jul15 Jul03 Jun20   (crystal du)PRECIADO A null   9% 10.10    
4  WINGS OF THE WIND Jun20         (cantrell )JENSEN P null   ★    
5  LOOKIN FOR GOLD May02 Apr04 Mar15 Feb28 Feb10 (weissner t)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO null   ★    
6  DREAMER'S REALITY Jul15 Jul04 Jun20 Jun10   (harshman loe)SMITH E null   16% 5.10    
SCR  SUBTLE RIDE Jul15 Jul04 Jun27 Jun21 May06 (cox jo)GOODGAME R null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.