Handicappers' Race Results

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Great Falls
Saturday - July 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
GF-1   07/23/2022 3465ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($3.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
1:053         1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIERPONT 5 2 1nk 13   14 1 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 5.00 5.40  
XTREME LYRA 1 3 34 35   24 2 (schindle)BIRDRATTLER E 126 4.00 15% 5.60 2.40 P
XINGFU 3 4 46 47   36 35 (crooked dale)GERVAIS M 121 3.00 33% 2.00 8.00 S
RIDGEFIELD ROCKET 6 1 2nk 23   411 412½ (birdrattle)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 6.00 13% 6.70 7.90  
HAVE A LIL PEPPER 2 5 511 517   515 513¼ (birdrattler ha)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 7.00 9.20  
ABRAA JABRAA 4 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (birdrattler shawn)GAMEZ M 121 4.50 8% 11.00 1.00  
SCR  CATS OUT TONITE               (ball jay)BUTTERFLY S 126 8.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT BLUE               (birdrattler ha)JOHNSON SHANAE 121 10.00    
 
GF-2   07/23/2022 3465ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($3.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
1:051         1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE RED SEVENS 2 3 25 26   2½ 1 (birdrattler harla)WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00 9% 9.90 2.30 W
JUST CLASSY 1 4 5 410   47 2 (smith jackie)GAMEZ M 121 1.40 29% 2.40 2.60 P
CARSON'S FIREBALL 4 2 3 39   3 3 (birdrattler shawn)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 2.20 S
FANTASTRY (BRZ) 6 1 15 16   1½ 4 (lafferty)BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.50 27% 2.80 3.40  
GAMERA 3 5 4 513   510 5 (dennis cli)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 9.00 10.60  
OFF AGAIN ON AGAIN 5 6 6 615   618 617¾ (ball jay)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 12.00 14.60  
SCR  WALK ON WATER               (warren kayla)WOOD DAKOTA 126 10.00 9% 9.70    
 
GF-3   07/23/2022 3465ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($3.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
1:064         1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFLEETASHA 4 2 3 3   1nk 1 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.00 1.00 DQ↓2
JULIE ARKANSAS 3 1 1nk 2nk   3.2 2 (lafferty)BIRDRATTLER E 121 1.60 2.00  
COUNTRY CURE 1 4 4 4   4 3 (birdrattle)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 3.00 31% 2.20 4.70 S
TCHULA SUNSET 2 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 43 (lawrence jostin)GAMEZ M 126 3.50 30% 2.30 2.80  
 
GF-5   07/23/2022 3465ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($3.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
1:07         1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIZETTA 5 4 32 2½   14 1 (marquez juan)GAMEZ M 126 2.50 19% 4.40 3.40 W
RIVER RAIN 1 2 2nk 1½   24 2 (olson kenneth)WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00 1.20 P
POSEIDON'S MAGIC 6 1 1nk 31   39 311¼ (fitzpatrick ry)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 12.00 7.30  
NINADAVINA 3 3 5 49   413 413¾ (birdrattler shawn)GERVAIS M 126 4.50 6.40  
SONGBIRD EYDIE 2 6 6 610½   515 513¾ (birdrattle)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 3.00 6.20  
DAISY CREEK 4 5 45 59   619 620¾ (ball jay)SMITH H 126 10.00 10% 9.00 4.40  
SCR  AUNT GAYLE               (birdrattler )PRECIADO A 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRITE LILY               (dennis g)WERTZ DENNY 126 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
GF-6   07/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($3.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
1:291         1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRAT BOY 3 4 4 4   1½ 1 (dennis cli)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 7.00 4.00  
MR VIEW 1 2 1nk 1½   2½ 2 (birdrattler harla)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.50 60% 0.70 0.80 P
PREFERRED PROSPECT 2 1 2nk 2½   33 3 (holds jr)GAMEZ M 126 2.00 2.80 S
COUNTRY SUMMER 4 5 5 55   49 410 (birdrattler tim)GERVAIS M 126 4.00 4.70  
DYLAN J. T. 5 3 3.2 31   512 518 (lawrence)BIRDRATTLER E 126 5.00 10.50  
 
GF-7   07/23/2022 3465ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($3.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:06         1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INGLENOOK 2 3 2nk 1½   12 1 (pyle dylan)WOOD DAKOTA 121 4.00 19% 4.20 0.60 W
FLUSHING FLASH 1 4 56 3   35 2 (crooked dale)GERVAIS M 122 5.00 9.00 P
TOUCH OF POWER 5 1 1nk 2½   22 3 (birdrattler terranc)GAMEZ M 126 1.60 5.20 S
TWO SOCKS MAC 4 5 4 46   410 415¾ (schindle)BIRDRATTLER E 122 2.00 36% 1.80 4.60  
TAP THAT SPOT 3 2 34 5   513 520½ (birdrattle)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 121 7.00 19% 4.30 3.90  
 
GF-8   07/23/2022 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($3.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:054         1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKIN ROG 1 1 13 15   13 13 (holds jr)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 1.60 4.60  
WHO'S CHEATIN WHO 5 6 613½ 612½   5 23 (smith jackie)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 4.80  
BIG BAD BRIAN 4 5 512½ 511   44 33 (craig jame)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 5.00 45% 1.20 6.70 S
CORKY 2 2 23 25   23 4 (schmitt bill)GERVAIS M 126 3.50 21% 3.70 8.80  
MALIBU ROSE 3 3 35 37   3 5 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 119 4.00 6% 15.40 0.60  
SUPERSERG 6 4 4 410   6 6 (ball jay)BIRDRATTLER E 126 10.00 12.20  
SCR  FRED               (dennis g)WERTZ DENNY 126 10.00 5% 18.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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