Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ferndale
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
FER-2   08/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:232 :484       1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  INEXPENSIVE STAR 2 3 22 23½   22 13 (greiner )AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.50 ★ 2.60  
2  BEAUTYINTHEBEAST 1 1 12 13½   12 23 (de pablo)GOODGAME R 122 4.50 25% 3.10 2.80 P
4  WARNING SOUND 3 2 43 48   47½ 34 (howey quinn)KING MCKENZIE 122 1.60 49% 1.00 1.80 S
5  HILLSDALE NATION 4 4 32 34   34 45 (mcdonald mel)SMITH E 122 4.00 ★ 2.20  
SCR  ZEPHYR CAT               (howey )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 5.00 ★    
 
FER-3   08/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:23 :481       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTER SUNDOWN 1 3 32½ 36½   31 11¾ (delima c)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.00 ★ 1.10  
4  SECRETLY PARANOIDE 4 2 21½ 25   2nk 21¾ (aqui)GONZALEZ ODILCER 126 6.00 ★ 5.40 P
3  CHIEFS LIL PEARL 3 5 42½ 48½   42½ 33¾ (greiner gary)GOODGAME R 126 3.50 62% 0.60 3.80 S
5  MERGIE TROID 5 4 54½ 510   54½ 44 (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.50 14% 6.10 3.20  
2  HYPHY 2 1 11½ 15   1nk 56½ (maelfeyt bru)SMITH E 126 3.00 ★ 6.30  
 
FER-4   08/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:40
See original race card.
:24 :482       1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TIMBERLAKE GAGE 2 1 2nk 1nk   13 14 (beckner )AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.00 16% 5.30 0.80 W
5  TIGER MOM 4 5 53½ 3.2   23 24 (aqui)GONZALEZ ODILCER 126 4.50 ★ 15.10 P
3  SOMARA 3 4 42 2nk   34 36¼ (tamayo isidro)KING MCKENZIE 126 3.00 40% 1.50 1.70 S
6  KAYLA'S COWGIRL 5 3 31 52¼   56½ 413 (guerrero em)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 4.00 ★ 5.10  
1  SWISS SCRIPT 1 2 1nk 41¼   46 513½ (greiner gary)GOODGAME R 126 6.00 14% 6.30 14.60  
SCR  AT U LOVER               (maelfeyt bru)SMITH E 126 8.00    
 
FER-5   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:162     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GRIGORO 3 4 34 42¾   31 11½ (thomas ruby)KING MCKENZIE 126 4.00 28% 2.60 3.00 W
5  NICOLE GRACE 5 6 611½ 610¼   46 21½ (thomas ruby)FLORES PABLO 126 6.00 ★ 9.40 P
4  COWLITZ 4 1 2nk 2nk   11 32 (beckner teri)SMITH E 126 6.00 38% 1.60 3.90 S
2  PULPIT SINGER 2 2 1nk 1nk   21 43 (de pablo)GOODGAME R 126 3.00 7% 12.50 8.40  
6  SUBTLE RIDE 6 5 55½ 58¾   611¼ 513¾ (gale)GONZALEZ ODILCER 126 4.50 ★ 10.60  
1  RAMONCITA LIGHT 1 3 45 32½   56¼ 614½ (greiner )AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.00 1.10  
 
FER-6   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:153     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL IS CHILL 1 3 45½ 31½   1nk 12¼ (ramos jesus)KING MCKENZIE 122 3.00 15% 5.50 5.80 W
2  DREAMER'S REALITY 2 4 34½ 42½   2nk 22¼ (maelfeyt bru)SMITH E 126 6.00 12% 7.60 5.40 P
7  PERSEVERANCE 6 1 56½ 54½   33 34½ (howey )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 4.00 ★ 1.70 S
6  FORT YORK 5 2 69½ 65½   44½ 45 (maelfeyt bruno)FLORES PABLO 126 2.50 30% 2.30 3.40  
5  ZOE'S PAPA CEE 4 6 2½ 21   66¼ 514¾ (cantrell margie)GOODGAME R 126 10.00 15% 5.90 13.30  
3  SNICKER'N DAN 3 5 1½ 11   56 619¼ (beckner )AMADOR RUIZ 126 3.50 3.20  
SCR  LONO               (williams gabri)FLORES PABLO 126 12.00    
 
FER-7   08/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:27
See original race card.
:233 :482       1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STRIKE IT LUCKY 3 4 53¼ 33½   2nk 1nk (guerrero emilio)GOODGAME R 126 10.00 13% 6.80 1.60 W
7  DEBT MONGER 6 6 64¼ 44   31 2nk (aqui)GONZALEZ ODILCER 126 6.00 ★ 6.40 P
1  DUMB LUCK 1 1 2nk 22   41¼ 33¾ (howey )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 4.00 ★ 2.70 S
2  STARBOARD LIST 2 2 1nk 12   1nk 45 (maelfeyt bru)SMITH E 126 2.50 58% 0.70 6.50  
5  STANFORD BAY 4 3 32 56   52¾ 55½ (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 5.00 5.00  
6  RHODIUM RUNNER 5 5 43 68   65¼ 66¼ (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 122 3.50 ★ 6.80  
SCR  LEMON ZINGER               (greiner )AMADOR RUIZ 126 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.