Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ferndale
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FER-2   08/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZEPHYR CAT Aug21 Jul09 Jun17     (howey qu)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 5.00    
BEAUTYINTHEBEAST Aug21 Aug13 Aug07 May08 Apr23 (de pablo)GOODGAME R 122 4.50 25% 3.10    
INEXPENSIVE STAR Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26   (greiner ga)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.50    
WARNING SOUND Aug19 Aug07 Jul09     (howey quinn)KING MCKENZIE 122 1.60 49% 1.00    
HILLSDALE NATION Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 May27 (mcdonald melan)SMITH E 122 4.00    
 
FER-3   08/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFTER SUNDOWN Aug20 Jul04 May01 Apr08 Feb26 (delima cli)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.00    
HYPHY Aug21 Aug11 Jul14 Jul03 Jun21 (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 3.00    
CHIEFS LIL PEARL Aug10 Jul04 Jun21     (greiner gary)WOOTEN W 126 3.50 62% 0.60    
SECRETLY PARANOIDE Aug20 Aug14 Apr10 Mar13   (aquino)GONZALEZ ODILCER 126 6.00    
MERGIE TROID Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 Jun28 (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
FER-4   08/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWISS SCRIPT Aug12 Jul04 Jun21     (greiner gary)WOOTEN W 126 6.00 14% 6.30    
TIMBERLAKE GAGE Aug20 Jul04 Jun28 Jun21   (beckner te)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.00 16% 5.30    
SOMARA Aug20 Aug12 Jun24 May20 May06 (tamayo isidro)KING MCKENZIE 126 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  AT U LOVER Aug21 Aug11 Jul03 Jun21   (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 8.00    
TIGER MOM Aug20 Aug13 Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 (aquino)GONZALEZ ODILCER 126 4.50    
KAYLA'S COWGIRL Aug20 Aug12 Jul31 Jul23 Jul04 (guerrero emil)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 4.00    
 
FER-5   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMONCITA LIGHT Aug19 Aug12 May20 May06 Apr10 (greiner ga)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.00    
PULPIT SINGER Aug20 Aug04 Jul23 Jul10 Jun04 (de pablo)GOODGAME R 126 3.00 7% 12.50    
GRIGORO Jul29 Jul09 Jun18 Jun05 May20 (thomas ruby)KING MCKENZIE 126 4.00 28% 2.60    
COWLITZ Aug20 Jul04 Jun27 Jun21   (beckner l)SMITH E 126 6.00 38% 1.60    
NICOLE GRACE Aug19 Jul29 Jun05 May22 Apr30 (thomas ruby)WOOTEN W 126 6.00    
SUBTLE RIDE Aug19 Jul15 Jul04 Jun27 Jun21 (gale sandy)VELASCO EDGAR 126 4.50    
 
FER-6   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL IS CHILL Aug19 Jul17 Jul03 May29 May01 (ramos jesus)KING MCKENZIE 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
DREAMER'S REALITY Aug19 Aug10 Jul15 Jul04 Jun20 (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 6.00 12% 7.60    
SNICKER'N DAN Aug20 Jul04 Jun27 Jun21   (beckner te)AMADOR RUIZ 126 3.50    
SCR  LONO Aug19 Jul16 Jul14 Jul03 Jun28 (williams gabriel)FLORES PABLO 126 12.00    
ZOE'S PAPA CEE Aug20 Jul14 Jul04 Jun28 Jun20 (cantrell margie)GOODGAME R 126 10.00 15% 5.90    
FORT YORK Aug19 Aug12 Jul14 Jul03 Jun20 (maelfeyt bruno)WOOTEN W 126 2.50 30% 2.30    
PERSEVERANCE Aug21 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May30 (howey qu)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 4.00    
 
FER-7   08/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUMB LUCK Jul17 Jun19 May30 May06 Apr09 (howey qu)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 4.00    
STARBOARD LIST Aug11 Jul15 Jun20     (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 2.50 58% 0.70    
STRIKE IT LUCKY Aug13 Jul03 Jun20     (guerrero emilio)WOOTEN W 126 10.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  LEMON ZINGER Aug14 Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 Jun04 (greiner ga)AMADOR RUIZ 126 6.00    
STANFORD BAY Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 May28 May06 (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 5.00    
RHODIUM RUNNER Aug05 Jul30 Jul15 May30 Apr10 (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 122 3.50    
DEBT MONGER Aug21 Jul09 Mar19 Mar06 Feb20 (aquino)GONZALEZ ODILCER 126 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.