Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   11/25/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:134     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T GET PICKLED 4 7 65 63   4 1 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 2.30  
COUNTESS OF CAIRO 1 1 1nk 1½   2nk 2 (vanwinkle david)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00 9% 10.20 2.80 P
EDDIE'S ON PATROL 5 3 3 3½   1nk 3 (silva l)ZUNINO L 121 2.50 17% 4.80 2.00 S
PHOENICIAN MAGIC 6 4 4 4   3 4 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 3.50 52% 0.90 3.40  
ISLAND BEAUTY 2 2 2nk 2½   5 513¾ (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 121 10.00 22.50  
MAMBO GIRL 7 6 53 52   611½ 615½ (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00 12.50  
WE WANT ANOTHER 3 5 78 7   714½ 718¾ (torres-casas j)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 25.70  
 
TUP-4   11/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILING THUNDER 5 1 11 1   11 1¼ (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 121 3.00 23% 3.30 0.70 W
CAMDEN HIGH 4 5 53 3   21 2¼ (birdwell tena)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 9.30  
EYES FOR GOLD 3 2 3 2   4 32 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.50 1.60 S
TAM TRICKY 1 3 21 44   33 4 (person a)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.00 26% 2.90 4.50  
KEBA LUCKY DAY 2 4 43 5   5 53 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 18.70  
SCR  CIVIL SUIT               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 1.80 19% 4.30    
 
TUP-5   11/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:22 :52         :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FACTOR 5 1 1½     1nk 1¼ (crotts e)HARVEY B 124 6.00 7.20  
READY TO FORGIVE 7 2 2½     2nk 2¼ (williams dewey)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 17.90 P
JAZZ TOWN 3 5 7     6 3 (finch sherry)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 3.50  
AFTER THE CANDY 2 4 53     4 4 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.50 2.10  
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 8 8 4     73 5 (alvarez sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 6.10  
RESTORING DREAMS 4 3 3     3.2 6 (tate mary)ANAYA V 124 5.00 17.50  
ASCOT STORM 1 7 6     5 75 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 1.90  
CURRENTLY KRAZY 6 6 87     8 86 (oliver vict)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 50.80  
SCR  B S CYCLOTRON               (nelson amy)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 73% 0.40    
 
TUP-6   11/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :45       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD BYE CHARLIE 5 1 1 1   1 1 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00 2.90  
POPS AWESOME 1 4 45 35   34 2 (williams dewey)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 3.00 46% 1.20 1.50 P
DEPUTY'S DANCER 4 2 33 2   2 34 (belloc umbert)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 6.00 8% 11.50 15.60 S
BROGAN'S INVASION 6 7 5 56   5 4 (allred jeff)ZUNINO L 122 8.00 15.30  
CAUCUS RULES 3 3 2 4   4 56 (woolley l)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00 14% 6.40 2.90  
DANNY ZUKO 7 6 7 710   68 6 (garcia l)MAWING A 119 6.00 9.10  
TRY TO CAPTURE 2 5 66 6   7 7 (dennison h)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 8% 10.90 5.50  
SCR  GROOVY HUEY               (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 119 5.00    
 
TUP-7   11/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:22 :443       1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE ALL AGREE 1 4 1nk 13   17 1 (silva pabl)VALDES ALEXIS 119 4.50 13% 6.80 3.40 W
METAROSE 8 1 4 44   5 2 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 4.00  
WAHASHA 6 2 6 5   27 3 (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 122 15.00 26.40  
JAZZY EINSTEIN 4 8 7 6   6 4 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00 8% 11.50 26.20  
SPICY SOMMELIER 5 7 8 7   712¼ 5 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 10% 9.10 7.00  
ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD 2 6 34 3   4 6 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 12% 7.60 0.90  
FLYIN BY 3 3 2nk 23   37 711½ (johnston kimberl)ANAYA V 119 6.00 21.50  
LIPPY 7 5 5 8100   8100 8100 (crotts e)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 34% 2.00 9.60  
SCR  BANDON BRIDGE               (pierce l)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
 
TUP-8   11/25/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:123     1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUBLIC OPINION 3 7 32 2   3 1 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 48% 1.10 3.00 W
MY MAN BIGGIE 6 4 53 42   1nk 2 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 121 5.00 7.30  
WESTERBERG 1 2 11 1   2nk 3 (alvarez sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 6.00 2.90  
MICKEY GOLDMILL 9 10 88 9   6 4 (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 12.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
MISTER MAFIOSO 7 3 4 6   5 5 (baze robert)WADE LYNDIE 121 12.00 9% 9.70 4.40  
10  ANGELA'S ANGEL 10 8 64 3   43 6 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 10.00 35.80  
KNOCKOUT GUY 2 1 10 10   8 7 (simpson shannon)HARVEY B 121 12.00 8.10  
MY SWEET LORD 8 6 7 7   9 810½ (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 4.00 18% 4.50 6.80  
BIG SANDY 5 9 98 8   79 911¼ (bratcher ryan)ANAYA V 121 15.00 26.60  
JOHN'S KID 4 5 21 5   1014¾ 1015¾ (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.50 8.40  
SCR  CONSUMING               (baze robert)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
SCR  TOP HAT ARISTOCRAT               (silva pabl)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.