Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   11/25/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 F PT- 3:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTESS OF CAIRO Nov04 Aug20 Jul30 Jul04   (vanwinkle david)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00 9% 10.20    
ISLAND BEAUTY Nov08 Sep02 Jul17 May31   (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
WE WANT ANOTHER Jul18 Jul10       (torres-casas j)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00    
DON'T GET PICKLED Nov04         (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00    
EDDIE'S ON PATROL Nov04 Sep17       (silva l)ZUNINO L 121 2.50 17% 4.80    
PHOENICIAN MAGIC Nov07 Oct24       (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
MAMBO GIRL Oct02 Aug28 Jul29     (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
 
TUP-4   11/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAM TRICKY Aug20 Jul29 Jul01 May22 Apr17 (person a)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
KEBA LUCKY DAY Oct14 Sep03 Mar17 Feb21 Jan24 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
EYES FOR GOLD Nov14 Oct28 May28 Apr11 Mar21 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
SCR  CIVIL SUIT Sep30 Sep02 Jul31     (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 1.80 19% 4.30    
CAMDEN HIGH Nov08 Sep18 Aug20 Jun25 Jun10 (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00    
SMILING THUNDER Nov07 Sep30 Sep11 Aug21 Jun19 (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
TUP-5   11/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASCOT STORM Nov09 Aug17 Aug03 May20 Apr13 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50    
AFTER THE CANDY Oct14 Oct07 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
JAZZ TOWN Nov05 Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 (finch sherry)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00    
RESTORING DREAMS Sep23 May29       (tate mary)ANAYA V 124 5.00    
RUN FACTOR Aug26         (crotts e)HARVEY B 124 6.00    
CURRENTLY KRAZY Nov09 Sep17 Aug29 Aug15 Jun25 (oliv)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 15.00    
SCR  B S CYCLOTRON         (nelson amy)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 73% 0.40    
READY TO FORGIVE Jun25 Apr27 Mar19 Feb09 Jan13 (williams dewey)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00    
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Sep05 Aug20 Aug01 Jul18   (alvarez sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00    
 
TUP-6   11/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPS AWESOME Nov08 Jul16 Jun25 Apr26   (williams dewey)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
TRY TO CAPTURE Oct10 Mar23 Jan24 Jan07   (dennison h)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
CAUCUS RULES Oct10 Jul27 Jul07 Jun29 Apr21 (woolley l)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00 14% 6.40    
DEPUTY'S DANCER Nov09 Aug27 Aug15 Aug01 Jul09 (belloc umbert)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 6.00 8% 11.50    
GOOD BYE CHARLIE Nov09 Oct01 Sep05 Aug17 Jun17 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00    
BROGAN'S INVASION Aug31 Mar08       (allred jeff)ZUNINO L 122 8.00    
SCR  GROOVY HUEY Nov08 Oct01 Aug31 Jul30   (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 119 5.00    
DANNY ZUKO Sep11 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 (garcia l)MAWING A 119 6.00    
 
TUP-7   11/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BANDON BRIDGE Nov12 Oct15 Sep30 Sep11 Aug14 (pierce l)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
WE ALL AGREE Nov07 Sep19 Sep03 Jan28   (silva pabl)VALDES ALEXIS 119 4.50 13% 6.80    
ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Aug26   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 12% 7.60    
FLYIN BY Nov08 Jul30 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (johnston kimberl)ANAYA V 119 6.00    
JAZZY EINSTEIN Sep17 Aug15 Apr05 Feb16 Feb08 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00 8% 11.50    
SPICY SOMMELIER Nov07 Sep17 Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 10% 9.10    
WAHASHA Nov07 Oct10 Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 122 15.00    
LIPPY Nov08 Sep15 Sep08 Aug21 Aug06 (crotts e)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 34% 2.00    
METAROSE Nov12 Sep30 Aug31 Aug10 Apr24 (hern)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 8.00    
 
TUP-8   11/25/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 6:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERBERG Nov08 Sep23 Aug26 Jul31 Jul01 (alvarez sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 6.00    
KNOCKOUT GUY Nov08 Sep04 Aug21 Jul17 Jun17 (simpson shanno)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 12.00    
PUBLIC OPINION Sep17 Aug28       (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
JOHN'S KID Sep19 Sep05 Aug20 Jul18   (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.50    
BIG SANDY Nov08 Sep19       (bratcher ryan)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
MY MAN BIGGIE Nov08 Sep18 Sep04 Jul17 Jun17 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
MISTER MAFIOSO Sep18         (baze robert)WADE LYNDIE 121 12.00 9% 9.70    
MY SWEET LORD Sep24         (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
MICKEY GOLDMILL         (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  ANGELA'S ANGEL Oct26 Oct16 Oct04 Aug27 Jul10 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 10.00    
SCR  CONSUMING Nov07 Oct10 Sep24 Aug12   (baze robert)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
SCR  TOP HAT ARISTOCRAT Nov12 Sep04 Aug11     (silva pabl)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.