Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - November 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:111 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS HARD KNOCKS 2 2 43 22 1 13 1 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00 1.70  
SEMI SWEET 6 6 6 5 4 23 2 (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 4.00 18% 4.50 4.40 P
CURLIN BLESSING 3 1 21 32 3 3 3 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 119 2.50 26% 2.90 2.00 S
RED VENUS 1 5 55 6 5 58 410½ (vitali j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 5.20  
BOLD REY 5 4 3 4 67 611½ 513½ (hern)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 20% 3.90 7.10  
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 4 3 11 12 2 47 614¼ (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 119 3.50 9.40  
 
TUP-4   11/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:22 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRACLE OF HOPE 1 3 31 2nk   1 15 (villamar candelario)CARRENO J 122 10.00 11% 8.10 9.30 W
NOEL'S ANGEL 4 1 11 1nk   2 25 (silva rodriguez )LINDSAY CHAD 119 3.00 21% 3.90 6.80 P
ELDORADO DREAM 5 6 6 6   5 3 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 17% 4.70 1.80 S
WAIT A SEC 3 5 21 3½   33 4 (schnell don)CORBETT W 119 2.00 22% 3.60 1.30  
LOTSA LACE 6 2 4 4¾   43 56 (cuccia susan)MAWING A 119 8.00 22.60  
HINDU MISS CHEF 2 4 5 5   66 6 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 4.00 3.60  
SCR  PLUMA               (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
 
TUP-5   11/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:41
See original race card.
:213 :443 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY GIGI 2 2 1nk 1½   14 1 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 8.00 7% 12.50 5.80 W
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 3 6 6 47   34 2 (valerio raym)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 16.90 P
MEAN SHARON 5 3 35 34   24 3 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 54% 0.80 10.20 S
MO CONNELLY 1 5 4 57   4 4 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00 10.80  
PALACE STAR 7 4 58 6   5 5 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 38.00  
MISCHIEF MAMA 6 7 7 7   7 6 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 124 2.50 4.30  
BENGAL TIGER 4 1 2nk 2½   6 715½ (silva jr)CRUZ M 124 2.00 0.40  
 
TUP-6   11/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR ENTRY 3 4 2 3   1nk 1½ (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.50 2.30  
TRACK BOUND 1 5 3 22   2nk 2½ (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 20% 3.90 7.00 P
BREXTON 4 6 6 58   4 3 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 20.30  
UNBRIDLED TIGER 6 1 1 12   3.2 43 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 24% 3.10 0.90  
MY PAL 2 7 89 68   5 5 (martinez a)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 18% 4.70 14.10  
BLESSED BROTHER 7 2 54 811½   6 610 (ramnarine larry)MAWING A 119 10.00 9% 9.50 7.80  
RANCHER 5 8 7 710½   710¾ 711 (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 6.00 16.60  
HELLO HANDSOME 8 3 43 4   811¼ 819¾ (brea)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 12.00 23.00  
 
TUP-7   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :444 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANNONBALL COMIN 2 3 11 11   1nk 1¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 5.80  
MISTER MCLEAN 3 1 21 21   2nk 2¼ (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 15% 5.50 4.00 P
STAY HAPPY 4 2 4 3   3 3 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 31% 2.20 4.60 S
PICK YOUR BID 1 5 32 4   4 42 (chattong vich)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00 46.20  
SHANE ZAIN 5 6 6 57   5 5 (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 122 15.00 35.90  
DON'TTEASETHETIGER 6 7 7 67   6 6 (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 7.00  
MIKE OPERATOR 8 4 54 7   7 7 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 4.50 18% 4.60 3.40  
MAKAH LANE 7 8 8 8   8 88 (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 1.90  
SCR  ROUSING RUBBLE               (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 15.00    
 
TUP-8   11/23/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:15     1:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL WATERS 2 7 8 6   4¾ 1¼ (lund valorie)MAWING A 124 3.00 24% 3.20 0.80 W
BROTHERLY LOVE 3 1 1½ 1½   1½ 2¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.00 29% 2.40 2.40 P
MOOGIE SON 6 8 66 7   5 3¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 25.70  
LIGHTNING STAR 5 3 32 3   3½ 42 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 10.00 9.60  
GODGUNSNCOUNTRY 4 2 2½ 2½   2½ 5 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 121 6.00 20% 4.10 13.70  
MINNESOTA RED 7 4 5 53   6 65 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 5.00 12.90  
MR LOVE MUFFIN 8 6 7 8   8 7 (mccartney ja)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 24.70  
BLUES RAPPER 9 9 9 9   9 8 (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 9.30  
THE THIRD RING 1 5 4 43   7 9 (chattong vichi)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 73.40  
SCR  LUPINO (GB)               (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.