Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - November 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED VENUS Sep26 Aug30 Jul06 Jun01 May02 (vitali marcus)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 ★    
2  MISS HARD KNOCKS Nov13 Oct15 Sep30 Aug24 Jul30 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00    
3  CURLIN BLESSING Sep29 Sep18 Aug05 Apr28 Apr11 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Nov05 Sep12 Aug15 Jul30 Jul11 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 119 3.50 ★    
5  BOLD REY Nov09 Sep18 Aug20 Jun16 May28 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
6  SEMI SWEET Sep12 Aug15 Jul16 Apr26 Mar31 (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
TUP-4   11/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRACLE OF HOPE Nov05 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jul11 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 122 10.00 11% 8.10    
2  HINDU MISS CHEF Sep10 Aug20 Jun25 Apr21 Mar11 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.00    
SCR  PLUMA Nov14 Sep01 Aug14 Jul30 Jul03 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 ★    
4  WAIT A SEC Nov07 Sep30 Sep18 Jul30   (schnell don)CORBETT W 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
5  NOEL'S ANGEL Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 Jun26   (silva rodrigue)LINDSAY CHAD 119 3.00 21% 3.90    
6  ELDORADO DREAM Nov05 Oct11 Sep30 Sep04 Apr24 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 17% 4.70    
7  LOTSA LACE Jul11 Jun27 May07 Apr21   (cuccia susan)MAWING A 119 8.00    
 
TUP-5   11/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO CONNELLY Nov14 Aug19 Aug07 Jul16 Jun19 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00 ★    
2  SPEEDY GIGI Nov07 Sep12 Aug13 Jul23   (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 8.00 7% 12.50    
3  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Nov04 Oct23 Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 (valerio ra)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 ★    
4  BENGAL TIGER Nov08 Aug26 Jul29 Jun03 May01 (silva jr)CRUZ M 124 2.00    
5  MEAN SHARON Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 54% 0.80    
6  MISCHIEF MAMA Nov05 Oct02 Sep12 Aug21 Jul30 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 124 2.50 ★    
7  PALACE STAR Nov04 Sep19 Sep03 Aug22 Jul18 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   11/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACK BOUND Nov05 Sep14 Aug26 Aug17 Jul18 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
2  MY PAL Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Jul31 Apr28 (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
3  STAR ENTRY Nov09 Oct10 Sep16 Aug27 Aug18 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.50 ★    
4  BREXTON Nov08 Oct25 Oct05 Sep04 Jul31 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
5  RANCHER Oct02 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul04 (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 6.00    
6  UNBRIDLED TIGER Nov08 Sep19 Aug27 Aug15 Apr27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
7  BLESSED BROTHER Nov05 Sep11 Aug20 Jul31 Apr23 (ramnarine larry)MAWING A 119 10.00 9% 9.50    
8  HELLO HANDSOME Aug27 Jul18 Apr26 Mar24 Feb17 (br)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 12.00    
 
TUP-7   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICK YOUR BID Nov07 Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 Aug01 (chattong vi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
SCR  ROUSING RUBBLE Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul10 Jun20 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 15.00    
3  CANNONBALL COMIN Nov05 Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 Jul02 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 ★    
4  MISTER MCLEAN Nov05 Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 Jul30 (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
5  STAY HAPPY Aug28 Jul03 May29     (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
6  SHANE ZAIN Nov05 Sep10 Aug08 Jul23 Jul08 (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 122 15.00    
7  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Sep17 Sep05 Aug22 Aug06 Jul18 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 ★    
8  MAKAH LANE Nov07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
9  MIKE OPERATOR Aug28 Aug05 Jul09 Jun24 May15 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-8   11/23/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE THIRD RING Nov09 Sep12 Sep05 Aug27 Aug15 (chattong vic)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
2  COASTAL WATERS Nov15 Sep15 Sep04 Aug18 Jul17 (lund valorie)MAWING A 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  BROTHERLY LOVE Nov15 Oct05 Sep03 Aug06 Jun12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Nov09 Sep05 Aug01 Jun27 May02 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
5  LIGHTNING STAR Sep18 Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 Jun05 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
6  MOOGIE SON Sep02 Aug05 Jun26 May27 May15 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
7  MINNESOTA RED Sep10 Aug21 Jul31 Jul14 Jun25 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 5.00    
8  MR LOVE MUFFIN Aug20 Aug15 Apr21 Mar28 Mar07 (mccartney )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 ★    
9  BLUES RAPPER May07 Apr28 Apr12 Apr04 Mar21 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
SCR  LUPINO (GB) Nov15 Oct02 Jul20     (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.