Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - November 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   11/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 2 ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:224 :452       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CREED 4 1 1½     1 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 35% 1.80 0.80 W
ROYAL CANDY 5 2 2½     2 2 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 7% 12.60 5.90 P
FLASHIN ACES 7 5 64     4 311¾ (belvoir vann)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 4.00 6.00 S
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 8 7 3     3 413 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 22% 3.50 6.20  
THIRSTY COWBOY 2 3 42     69 513¼ (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 11.60  
HE'S A FLYIN 1 4 53     59 614¼ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00 7% 12.60 6.80  
GLORY CITIZEN 6 8 811     715 717 (silva rodrig)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00 11.50  
IGO 3 6 7     815¼ 818¼ (rennie k)ANAYA V 121 15.00 54.30  
 
TUP-3   11/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RINGS OF SATURN 9 1 1½ 1nk   1 1 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00 25.40  
MORETHANSOULTITLE 1 6 2½ 32   3 2 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 4.00 11% 8.00 3.20 P
THE PUBLIC HALO 4 4 31 2nk   2 3 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 5.00 41% 1.50 1.50 S
ALBANY FRONT 5 5 8 5   4 4 (gutierrez qu)LEON A 124 15.00 5% 17.90 9.20  
11  SIDE STREET DAVE 10 8 7 65   5 5 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 11% 7.90 3.30  
GONE SOMEWHERE 8 3 5 43   6 611¼ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 8.00  
LUGIA 3 10 10 1013   915¾ 717 (silva l)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 8% 11.30 39.80  
WRAPPED 2 9 9 911   815¾ 817½ (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 80.40  
KAT'S HITMAN 7 7 6 78   713¾ 919 (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 76.30  
FLOYD KNOWLES 6 2 41 8   1019¾ 1025 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 10.00 8.10  
SCR  WICKED BLUE               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
 
TUP-4   11/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 2 F PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:23 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHARDSBRIGHTSTAR 3 9 6     34 1¼ (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 55% 0.80 3.90 W
DRAMA DIVA 5 3 1½     13 2¼ (silva l)CORBETT W 121 4.00 1.00 P
PAISLEY'S VISION 8 5 4     23 3 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00 10.70  
LOTSA LOU 7 1 3     4 4 (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 8.00 15.90  
THE COMRIE RULE 4 6 8     69 510 (silva rodrig)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00 16.50  
CAANFOOLERY 6 2 5     58 611¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 3.30  
BURNINGDAYLIGHT 1 7 7     711 713½ (gleason m)ANAYA V 121 10.00 9% 9.70 25.30  
WEST COAST ANDY 2 4 2½     816 823¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 8% 10.90 10.40  
NEEDLES AND PINS 9 8 916¼     936 960½ (zimmerman p)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 15.00 72.00  
 
TUP-5   11/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:244 1:12 1:25     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 3 6 6 6 4 33 1 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 8% 11.70 1.80 W
QUEEN OF LOVE 8 5 5 4¾ 1 12 2 (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 5.00 20.60  
LADY PHYLLIS 6 2 33 5 2 22 3 (sanderson bru)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 3.40 S
ALL NATIVE 4 8 8 7 54 4 4 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 122 6.00 8.90  
SEVEN POINTS 1 4 44 8 6 67 5 (kereluk edwa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 22.80  
SILLY NOTION 7 3 2½ 1½ 7 88 6 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 8.80  
KALLINIKI 5 7 7 3½ 32 56 78 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.80  
CANTERBURY GOLD 2 1 1½ 2½ 8 7 810 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
 
TUP-6   11/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ANDY BOBBY 10 12 129 910¾   3 1 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 18% 4.50 2.40 W
ATTORNEY LOUIS 2 11 11 7   46 2 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 15.00 8.50  
FLYING WINCHESTER 7 3 2nk 1nk   1 3 (peery debbie)MAWING A 124 10.00 8.30  
GEBO 3 10 7 46   6 4 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 3.00 6.00  
11  MANFORALLSEASONS 11 9 8 5   5 5 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 4.00 3.30  
DEPUTY KNIGHT 6 7 10 1112¼   8 6 (o'brien danny)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 31.40  
12  BUMPY CUP 12 1 1nk 2nk   2 7 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00 16% 5.10 8.30  
HERMISTON 4 5 4¼ 32   7 810 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00 7% 14.30 9.70  
NUMMY NUM 9 2 9 8   910¼ 911¼ (nunnally je)JENSEN P 121 8.00 14% 6.20 17.70  
HUNTER JUMPER 5 6 3.2 1214¾   1113¾ 1014½ (eidschun gregor)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 14.50  
GABE'S MONSTER 1 8 6 1011¼   1013¼ 1115½ (torres-casas ale)ANAYA V 124 20.00 78.50  
KARL HENRY 8 4 5 6   1217¾ 1223 (gleason m)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 18% 4.50 42.00  
 
TUP-7   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:223 :451 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HAMMERING LEMON 11 1 1½ 13   13 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 6.10  
SPEEDING STYLE 7 7 54 4   23 2 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 8% 11.50 3.30 P
STILLWATER BROWN 2 6 77 7   6 33 (guerrero orland)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 40% 1.50 5.00 S
10  KOVACS 10 8 8 9   8 44 (silva rodriguez )LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00 23% 3.30 6.50  
SYZSLAK 8 10 10 68   75 54 (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 121 5.00 3.40  
THIRSTY KISS 6 4 33 3   33 6 (martinez est)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 4.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
SILENT DECLARATION 5 3 4 5   4 7 (pierce l)CARRENO J 121 12.00 8.30  
STANWOOD WARRIOR 4 2 2½ 23   54 812¼ (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 121 8.00 39.50  
LAZARUS COME FORTH 3 5 6 8   1010 912½ (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 50.80  
RI' PIN SNAP 9 11 1119½ 1115¼   1112 1013¾ (barrio sergio)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00 86.80  
J C EXPRESS 1 9 9 10   9 1113¾ (nunnally je)JENSEN P 124 20.00 62.90  
 
TUP-8   11/30/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:10     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY IN THE BATTLE 9 3 21 2nk   1 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 1.50  
DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 2 8 64 7   4 2 (kereluk edwa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 5.10  
IF YOU WANT IT 1 9 1010¼ 10   7 34 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 24% 3.10 3.70 S
DISCERNMENT 7 4 32 32   2 44 (trela rosemary)CRUZ M 124 4.00 19% 4.40 10.30  
SASSY CAT 4 1 42 4   35 55 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 122 12.00 22.70  
MS SALLY 3 10 9 9   910¼ 6 (o'brien debbie)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 14.70  
Y NOT SIZZLE 8 6 5 54   5 7 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 12.50  
CIDSTAYINURLAINE 5 7 8 6   6 8 (axmaker w)MAWING A 122 3.00 10.00  
10  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 10 5 7 8   8 912 (whitehouse r)CARRENO J 122 12.00 34.80  
APART OF MY CHARM 6 2 11 1nk   1013¾ 1022½ (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 27% 2.70 8.50  
SCR  DIRT FLIRT               (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.