Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - November 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   11/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 2 ALL PT- 3:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A FLYIN         (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00 7% 12.60    
THIRSTY COWBOY Nov07 Sep16 Jul31     (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00    
IGO Nov08 Oct10 Jun17     (rennie k)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
BIG CREED         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 35% 1.80    
ROYAL CANDY         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 7% 12.60    
GLORY CITIZEN Jul24 Jun10 May22     (silva rodrig)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00    
FLASHIN ACES         (belvoir vann)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 4.00    
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR         (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-3   11/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORETHANSOULTITLE Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul19 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 4.00 11% 8.00    
WRAPPED Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 May21 May13 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
SCR  WICKED BLUE Oct28 Oct16 Oct07 Sep24 Sep03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
LUGIA Sep04 Aug22 Aug14 Jul19 Jun26 (silva l)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 8% 11.30    
THE PUBLIC HALO Nov04 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul09 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 5.00 41% 1.50    
ALBANY FRONT Nov19 Nov04 Sep17 Aug22 Aug13 (gutierrez qu)LEON A 124 15.00 5% 17.90    
FLOYD KNOWLES Sep17 Aug28 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
KAT'S HITMAN Nov09 Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
GONE SOMEWHERE Oct14 Oct08 Aug29 Aug06 Jul04 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00    
10  RINGS OF SATURN Nov21 Nov07 Sep18 Sep10 Aug27 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00    
11  SIDE STREET DAVE Nov05 Aug24 Aug04 Jul17 Jun23 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 11% 7.90    
 
TUP-4   11/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 2 F PT- 4:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNINGDAYLIGHT         (gleason m)ANAYA V 121 10.00 9% 9.70    
WEST COAST ANDY         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 8% 10.90    
RICHARDSBRIGHTSTAR Sep17         (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 55% 0.80    
THE COMRIE RULE Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 Jul01   (silva rodrig)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00    
DRAMA DIVA Nov04 Aug12 Jul31 Apr29   (silva l)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
CAANFOOLERY Sep22 Sep09 Jun26     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00    
LOTSA LOU Sep19 Aug20       (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 8.00    
PAISLEY'S VISION Nov04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00    
NEEDLES AND PINS Sep19         (zimmerman p)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 15.00    
 
TUP-5   11/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN POINTS Oct23 Sep12 Aug20 Aug08 Jul16 (kereluk edwa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
CANTERBURY GOLD Sep14 Sep01 Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Nov14 Sep28 Jun16 Jun08 May28 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 8% 11.70    
ALL NATIVE Nov04 Sep07 Aug24 Aug14 Jun29 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
KALLINIKI Nov14 Aug28 Aug18 Jul30 Jul17 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
LADY PHYLLIS Nov14 Nov04 Sep29 Aug28 Jul30 (sanderson bru)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
SILLY NOTION Nov14 Nov07 Sep14 Aug28 Aug18 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
QUEEN OF LOVE Nov19 Sep19 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
 
TUP-6   11/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GABE'S MONSTER Nov12 Aug18 Jul16     (torres-casas ale)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
ATTORNEY LOUIS Sep17 Sep11 Aug14 Aug05 Jul02 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 15.00    
GEBO Nov16 Oct14 Sep17 Aug20 Aug05 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 3.00    
HERMISTON Sep09 Aug21 Jul16 Jun04 Apr24 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00 7% 14.30    
HUNTER JUMPER Nov12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug21 Aug04 (eidschun gregor)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00    
DEPUTY KNIGHT Sep03 Apr14 Mar10 Feb14 Jan24 (o'brien danny)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00    
FLYING WINCHESTER Sep09         (peery debbie)MAWING A 124 10.00    
KARL HENRY         (gleason m)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 18% 4.50    
NUMMY NUM Nov12 Oct14 Oct07 Sep18 Aug20 (nunnally je)JENSEN P 121 8.00 14% 6.20    
10  ANDY BOBBY Oct01 Sep03       (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
11  MANFORALLSEASONS Sep18 Sep03       (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 4.00    
12  BUMPY CUP         (hern)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 12.00 16% 5.10    
 
TUP-7   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J C EXPRESS Nov08 Oct15 Oct09 Sep18 Sep02 (nunnally jennif)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00    
STILLWATER BROWN Nov04 Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 Jul17 (guerrero orland)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
LAZARUS COME FORTH Feb26 Feb10 Jan19     (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
STANWOOD WARRIOR Nov04 Sep09 Aug28 Aug14   (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 121 8.00    
SILENT DECLARATION Nov08 Sep02 Aug06 Jul08 Jul01 (pierce l)CARRENO J 121 12.00    
THIRSTY KISS Nov08 Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 (martinez est)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
SPEEDING STYLE Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Apr26 Apr01 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 8% 11.50    
SYZSLAK Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jun18 (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 121 5.00    
RI' PIN SNAP Nov04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug27 Apr28 (barrio sergio)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
10  KOVACS Nov08 Sep08 Aug27 Aug11 Jul28 (silva rodriguez )LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00 23% 3.30    
11  HAMMERING LEMON Jun27 Apr12 Mar24 Mar09 Feb06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   11/30/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IF YOU WANT IT Aug28 Aug18 Jul17 Jun26 Jun01 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Nov04 Sep19 Sep03 Aug22 Aug08 (kereluk edwa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
MS SALLY Sep12 Aug15 May03 Feb22 Jan27 (o'brien debbie)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00    
SASSY CAT Sep29 Jul22 Jun01 Apr29 Apr22 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 122 12.00    
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Jul26 Jul06 (axmaker w)MAWING A 122 3.00    
APART OF MY CHARM Nov05 Sep01 Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 (asprino alfredo)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
DISCERNMENT Nov07 Sep12 Sep03 Aug08 Apr02 (trela rosemary)CRUZ M 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
Y NOT SIZZLE Sep03 Aug14 Jul02 Jun12 May26 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
JOY IN THE BATTLE Nov12 Sep17 Aug15 Jul30 Jun26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00    
10  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 May07 Apr20 (whitehouse r)CARRENO J 122 12.00    
SCR  DIRT FLIRT Nov14 Aug15 May07 Mar31 Jan30 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.