Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   12/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 F PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:252 :494       1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTESS OF CAIRO 1 1 3½ 32 3.2 1½ 1nk (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 39% 1.60 1.00 W
UNA PALABRA 4 4 42 4 5¾ 2½ 2nk (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 2.90 P
EDDIE'S ON PATROL 6 6 6 5 4¼ 3½ 32 (silva l)ZUNINO L 121 2.50 33% 2.00 1.80 S
WE WANT ANOTHER 3 3 1½ 1 1nk 4 416¾ (torres-casas jes)ANAYA V 121 10.00 33.20  
SWISS WHISKEY 5 5 53 6 6 611½ 518¼ (axmaker w)CORBETT W 121 4.00 9.30  
ISLAND BEAUTY 2 2 2½ 2 2nk 511 621 (simpson shanno)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 18.70  
 
TUP-4   12/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANERO ROSE 1 4 3 22   21 1 (chambers mike)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 4.00 1.90  
COASTAL RUN 6 1 11 12   11 2 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.50 12% 7.10 5.80 P
MO CONNELLY 7 3 5 56   35 3 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 6.00 4.40  
TIZ WONDERFULLY 2 5 4 4   6 4 (fulmer drew)CORBETT W 124 5.00 40% 1.50 5.00  
TWITTERATI 5 7 77 79   5 57 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 8.50  
YATAHEY 8 2 21 33   4 6 (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 6% 14.80 29.10  
MEAN SHARON 3 6 6 6   710¼ 712 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 13% 6.60 2.60  
TWIRLY GIRL 4 8 815 814½   813¾ 814¼ (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 70.20  
 
TUP-5   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:213 :444       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOEL'S ANGEL 4 1 1½ 2nk   1 1 (silva rodriguez )LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00 18.80  
MS PARKSIDE 2 8 6 43   4 2 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 5.00 8.50 P
WITH THATBEINGSAID 1 5 54 3   32 3 (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 6.00 S
SPEEDY GIGI 8 3 2½ 1nk   2 4 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 5.00 1.10  
RED NOON RISING 6 7 8 7   6 510½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 3.50 8% 11.30 4.90  
DYNAMIC MIMI 5 2 43 64   7 610¾ (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 3.00 4.00  
APART OF MY CHARM 7 6 75 87   8 712½ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 12.40  
LUTES LIL GIFT 3 4 32 5   5 812¾ (luca)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.00 64% 0.60 15.20  
 
TUP-6   12/15/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:133     1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY COMMISSIONER 5 8 7 75   5 1 (hernandez migue)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 16% 5.40 2.60 W
IN THE RED 6 3 3 2   2nk 2 (pierce michae)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 1.80 P
HURRICAIN HUNTER 8 5 5 5   3 32 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 122 10.00 12% 7.40 13.80 S
YES PLEASE 3 6 6 65   4 4 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 9.20  
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 2 2 1 1   1nk 5 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 119 15.00 28.30  
MISS IMPORTANT 4 7 810 8   7 6 (christian billy)MAWING A 122 6.00 25% 3.00 14.90  
SPUN LINE 1 1 4 4   6 7 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 3.00 25% 2.90 2.90  
CURLIN BLESSING 7 4 2 32   819¼ 830½ (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 119 8.00 7.00  
SCR  LADY LANA               (vitali marc)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO PEOPLE 8 3 2½ 2   1 19 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 3.00 1.40  
10  MANDONA 9 2 1½ 1   2 29 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 4.50 7% 13.00 3.20 P
COCORITA 2 10 6 3   3 311¼ (van )MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 4.00 46% 1.20 5.40 S
LADY COMMISH 3 8 8 710½   611½ 414½ (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 15.00 17.80  
11  IMPULSUS 10 1 42 810¾   813½ 516¼ (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
FULLY COMPLIANT 4 7 95 69   511 616¾ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 20.00 58.90  
BIGMONEYHUNNY 5 5 5 59   711½ 716¾ (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 8.00  
LIP'S OF WINE 6 6 7 912¾   914 816¾ (morales guill)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 12.20  
BARBARIUS 7 4 32 46   4 917½ (matt l)BARBER R 124 12.00 6% 14.50 8.90  
TALKINGNONSTOP 1 9 106 1013¼   1015 1020 (potts ashley)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 39.50  
SCR  YOUONLYLIVETWICE               (metz jeffrey)VERGARA P 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
TUP-8   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
See original race card.
:22 :442       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD BYE CHARLIE 6 1 1nk 1nk   12 13 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 2.00  
10  TIM'S BUDDY 8 2 2nk 2nk   22 23 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 15.90 P
FASCINATED 3 3 4 4   33 3 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.00 3.80  
KHAIKY'S COMMAND 5 5 32 32   43 44 (pearman jaymie)CRUZ M 122 6.00 64% 0.60 3.20  
11  DEMOCRAT 9 6 5 5   56 5 (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 14.80  
FIGHT ME 1 4 6 6   6 69 (nelson amy)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00 67.10  
MAHI MAHI 7 9 9 910¾   710¾ 7 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 8.00 10% 9.20 3.00  
READY TO FORGIVE 4 7 8 810¾   912¼ 813¾ (williams dewey)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 29.50  
FOREVER GOLD 2 8 7 7   811¼ 917½ (potts an)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00 12.90  
SCR  JUSPASSINTHRU               (baze lisa)VERGARA P 122 5.00    
SCR  PICK YOUR BID               (chattong vichi)BEVERLY JR 122 20.00    
 
TUP-9   12/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:12 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONALD R (IRE) 4 6 7 7 5 2 1¼ (silva pabl)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 2.10  
PISTOL POWER 3 1 1 1½ 11 1 2¼ (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 4.50 3.40 P
BOURBON TAN 1 2 3 3 32 3 3 (perkinson cc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 6.30  
OSTINI 5 8 6 54 4 42 4 (weaver gord)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 4.70  
ROBS LUCKY SPIRIT 7 3 5 66 6 6 5 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 124 12.00 25.80  
10  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 10 10 9 8 77 87 6 (elston brent)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 48.40  
CATS TOUCH 8 4 4 44 8 7 77 (oberholtzer k)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 58% 0.70 2.50  
MONUMENTAL SEVEN 9 5 2 2½ 21 5 8 (campo stacy)MAWING A 124 12.00 20.40  
HERBIE 6 9 1010¾ 911¾ 911¼ 911½ 912¾ (sanderson br)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 12% 7.50 50.70  
KICK IT 2 7 8 1011¾ 1012¾ 1014½ 1016¾ (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 75.30  
SCR  EXCALIBUR RIDGE               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
SCR  LOYALTY SPIRIT               (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.