The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at www.tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
TUP-3   12/15/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 F PT- 2:58
:252 :494       1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTESS OF CAIRO 1 1 3½ 32 3.2 1½ 1nk (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 39% 1.60 1.00 W
4  UNA PALABRA 4 4 42 43½ 5¾ 2½ 2nk (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 ★ 2.90 P
6  EDDIE'S ON PATROL 6 6 63¼ 53½ 4¼ 3½ 32 (silva l)ZUNINO L 121 2.50 33% 2.00 1.80 S
3  WE WANT ANOTHER 3 3 1½ 11½ 1nk 47½ 416¾ (torres-casas jesus)ANAYA V 121 10.00 ★ 33.20  
5  SWISS WHISKEY 5 5 53 66½ 65¼ 611½ 518¼ (axmaker w)CORBETT W 121 4.00 9.30  
2  ISLAND BEAUTY 2 2 2½ 21½ 2nk 511 621 (simpson shannon)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 ★ 18.70  
 
TUP-4   12/15/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
:22 :45 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANERO ROSE 1 4 31½ 22   21 11¼ (chambers mike)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 4.00 1.90  
6  COASTAL RUN 6 1 11 12   11 21¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.50 12% 7.10 5.80 P
7  MO CONNELLY 7 3 53½ 56   35 35¾ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 6.00 4.40  
2  TIZ WONDERFULLY 2 5 42½ 44½   67¾ 46½ (fulmer drew)CORBETT W 124 5.00 40% 1.50 5.00  
5  TWITTERATI 5 7 77 79   57½ 57 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 ★ 8.50  
8  YATAHEY 8 2 21 33   47½ 69¼ (tsosie terrill)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 6% 14.80 29.10  
3  MEAN SHARON 3 6 64½ 66½   710¼ 712 (lucarelli frank)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 13% 6.60 2.60  
4  TWIRLY GIRL 4 8 815 814½   813¾ 814¼ (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 70.20  
 
TUP-5   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
:213 :444       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NOEL'S ANGEL 4 1 1½ 2nk   11½ 11¼ (silva gabriel)LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00 18.80  
2  MS PARKSIDE 2 8 64½ 43   43½ 21¼ (lucarelli frank)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 5.00 ★ 8.50 P
1  WITH THATBEINGSAID 1 5 54 32½   32 31½ (torres-casas j)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 ★ 6.00 S
8  SPEEDY GIGI 8 3 2½ 1nk   21½ 42¼ (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 5.00 1.10  
6  RED NOON RISING 6 7 86½ 75½   63¾ 510½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 3.50 8% 11.30 4.90  
5  DYNAMIC MIMI 5 2 43 64   75¼ 610¾ (eikleberry kevin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 3.00 4.00  
7  APART OF MY CHARM 7 6 75 87   86¼ 712½ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 ★ 12.40  
3  LUTES LIL GIFT 3 4 32 53½   53½ 812¾ (lucarelli frank)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.00 64% 0.60 15.20  
 
TUP-6   12/15/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
:25 :491 1:133     1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LADY COMMISSIONER 5 8 77½ 75   51¾ 11½ (hernandez l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 16% 5.40 2.60 W
7  IN THE RED 6 3 31½ 21½   2nk 21½ (pierce l)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 ★ 1.80 P
9  HURRICAIN HUNTER 8 5 53½ 53½   31½ 32 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 122 10.00 12% 7.40 13.80 S
3  YES PLEASE 3 6 65½ 65   41¾ 42½ (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 9.20  
2  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 2 2 11½ 11½   1nk 53½ (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 119 15.00 28.30  
4  MISS IMPORTANT 4 7 810 86½   77¼ 66¾ (christian billy)MAWING A 122 6.00 25% 3.00 14.90  
1  SPUN LINE 1 1 42½ 42½   63¾ 77¼ (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 3.00 25% 2.90 2.90  
8  CURLIN BLESSING 7 4 21½ 32   819¼ 830½ (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 119 8.00 7.00  
SCR  LADY LANA               (vitali j)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
:23 :452 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NO PEOPLE 8 3 2½ 21½   12½ 19 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 3.00 1.40  
10  MANDONA 9 2 1½ 11½   22½ 29 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 4.50 7% 13.00 3.20 P
2  COCORITA 2 10 62¼ 35½   36½ 311¼ (van debbie)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 4.00 46% 1.20 5.40 S
3  LADY COMMISH 3 8 84½ 710½   611½ 414½ (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 15.00 17.80  
11  IMPULSUS 10 1 42 810¾   813½ 516¼ (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
4  FULLY COMPLIANT 4 7 95 69   511 616¾ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 20.00 58.90  
5  BIGMONEYHUNNY 5 5 52¼ 59   711½ 716¾ (eikleberry kevin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 8.00  
7  LIP'S OF WINE 6 6 74¼ 912¾   914 816¾ (morales guillermo)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 12.20  
8  BARBARIUS 7 4 32 46   48½ 917½ (matt l)BARBER R 124 12.00 6% 14.50 8.90  
1  TALKINGNONSTOP 1 9 106 1013¼   1015 1020 (potts ann)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 39.50  
SCR  YOUONLYLIVETWICE               (metz jeffrey)VERGARA P 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
TUP-8   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
:22 :442       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOOD BYE CHARLIE 6 1 1nk 1nk   12 13 (valerio g)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★ 2.00  
10  TIM'S BUDDY 8 2 2nk 2nk   22 23 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 ★ 15.90 P
3  FASCINATED 3 3 42¼ 42¼   33 33½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.00 3.80  
6  KHAIKY'S COMMAND 5 5 32 32   43 44 (pearman jaymie)CRUZ M 122 6.00 64% 0.60 3.20  
11  DEMOCRAT 9 6 54¾ 55¼   56 56¾ (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 14.80  
1  FIGHT ME 1 4 65¼ 65¾   66¼ 69 (nelson amy)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00 67.10  
9  MAHI MAHI 7 9 98¾ 910¾   710¾ 79½ (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 8.00 10% 9.20 3.00  
4  READY TO FORGIVE 4 7 87¼ 810¾   912¼ 813¾ (williams dewey)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 29.50  
2  FOREVER GOLD 2 8 76¼ 77¼   811¼ 917½ (potts ann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00 12.90  
SCR  JUSPASSINTHRU               (baze lisa)VERGARA P 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  PICK YOUR BID               (chattong vichien)BEVERLY JR 122 20.00    
 
TUP-9   12/15/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
:234 :472 1:12 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RONALD R (IRE) 4 6 77¾ 76¼ 52½ 21½ 1¼ (silva pablo)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 ★ 2.10  
3  PISTOL POWER 3 1 11½ 1½ 11 11½ 2¼ (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 4.50 ★ 3.40 P
1  BOURBON TAN 1 2 31½ 31½ 32 31½ 31½ (perkinson cc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 6.30  
5  OSTINI 5 8 65¾ 54 42½ 42 42¼ (weaver gordon)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 4.70  
7  ROBS LUCKY SPIRIT 7 3 55½ 66 64½ 65½ 56½ (garcia l)ANAYA V 124 12.00 25.80  
10  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 10 10 99¼ 89¼ 77 87 66¾ (elston brent)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 48.40  
8  CATS TOUCH 8 4 43½ 44 87¼ 76½ 77 (oberholtzer kevin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 58% 0.70 2.50  
9  MONUMENTAL SEVEN 9 5 21½ 2½ 21 54½ 87¼ (campo stacy)MAWING A 124 12.00 20.40  
6  HERBIE 6 9 1010¾ 911¾ 911¼ 911½ 912¾ (sanderson bruce)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 12% 7.50 50.70  
2  KICK IT 2 7 89¼ 1011¾ 1012¾ 1014½ 1016¾ (lavanway dayson)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 75.30  
SCR  EXCALIBUR RIDGE               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
SCR  LOYALTY SPIRIT               (silva pablo)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.