Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTESS OF CAIRO Nov25 Nov04 Aug20 Jul30 Jul04 (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  ISLAND BEAUTY Nov25 Nov08 Sep02 Jul17 May31 (simpson shan)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 ★    
3  WE WANT ANOTHER Nov25 Jul18 Jul10     (torres-casas j)ANAYA V 121 10.00 ★    
4  UNA PALABRA         (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 ★    
5  SWISS WHISKEY Oct11         (axmaker w)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
6  EDDIE'S ON PATROL Nov25 Nov04 Sep17     (silva l)ZUNINO L 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
TUP-4   12/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANERO ROSE Nov05 Sep10 Aug22 Jul23 Jun18 (chambers mi)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 4.00    
2  TIZ WONDERFULLY Nov21 Oct01 Sep15 Aug28 Aug11 (fulmer drew)CORBETT W 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
3  MEAN SHARON Nov23 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
4  TWIRLY GIRL Nov15 Jul04 Apr27 Apr14 Apr02 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00    
5  TWITTERATI Nov15 Sep19 Sep03 Apr27 Apr08 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 ★    
6  COASTAL RUN Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 May29 Feb28 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.50 12% 7.10    
7  MO CONNELLY Nov23 Nov14 Aug19 Aug07 Jul16 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
8  YATAHEY Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 Jul02 Jun12 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 6% 14.80    
 
TUP-5   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITH THATBEINGSAID Nov21 Nov05 Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 ★    
2  MS PARKSIDE Aug07 Jul10 Jun19 May29 May02 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 5.00 ★    
3  LUTES LIL GIFT Sep09 Aug20 Jul29 Jun19 May29 (lu)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.00 64% 0.60    
4  NOEL'S ANGEL Nov23 Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 Jun26 (silva rodrigue)LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00    
5  DYNAMIC MIMI Nov21 Jun18 May13 Mar04 Jan30 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 3.00    
6  RED NOON RISING Nov26 Nov07 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 3.50 8% 11.30    
7  APART OF MY CHARM Nov30 Nov05 Sep01 Aug21 Aug13 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 ★    
8  SPEEDY GIGI Nov23 Nov07 Sep12 Aug13 Jul23 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   12/15/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN LINE Sep24 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
2  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Nov23 Nov05 Sep12 Aug15 Jul30 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 119 15.00    
3  YES PLEASE Nov11 Nov04 Jun27 May03 Apr07 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50    
4  MISS IMPORTANT Nov21 Jul31 Jul11 May21 Apr26 (christian billy)MAWING A 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  LADY LANA Nov26 Oct18 Sep27 Jun23 May31 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
6  LADY COMMISSIONER Nov26 Nov09 Sep16 Aug24 Jun18 (hernandez mig)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
7  IN THE RED Sep07 Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 May26 (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 ★    
8  CURLIN BLESSING Nov23 Sep29 Sep18 Aug05 Apr28 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 119 8.00    
9  HURRICAIN HUNTER Sep18 Aug29 Aug14 Jul17 Jul02 (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 122 10.00 12% 7.40    
 
TUP-7   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALKINGNONSTOP Nov12 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 (potts ashl)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
2  COCORITA Nov24 Oct29 Sep10 Jul30 Jul03 (va)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 4.00 46% 1.20    
3  LADY COMMISH Nov12 Oct15 Oct02 Sep23 Aug25 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 15.00    
4  FULLY COMPLIANT Nov21 Nov12 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
5  BIGMONEYHUNNY Nov15 Sep25 Sep11 Jul15 Jun26 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00    
SCR  YOUONLYLIVETWICE Nov29 Nov15 Oct08 Sep04 Aug21 (metz jeffrey)VERGARA P 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
7  LIP'S OF WINE Nov12 Sep19 Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 (morales gui)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00    
8  BARBARIUS Nov12 Sep14 Aug26 Apr08 Mar28 (matt l)BARBER R 124 12.00 6% 14.50    
9  NO PEOPLE Nov02 Sep29 Aug04 Jul10 Jun18 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 3.00    
10  MANDONA Nov22 Nov09 Sep17 Aug27 Jul19 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 4.50 7% 13.00    
11  IMPULSUS Nov21 Aug18 Jul07 Jun19 May28 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHT ME Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 (nelson amy)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00    
2  FOREVER GOLD Nov08 Sep02 Jul29 Jul02 Jun19 (potts ashley )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00    
3  FASCINATED Oct02 May30 Apr24 Feb18 Jan28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.00    
4  READY TO FORGIVE Nov25 Jun25 Apr27 Mar19 Feb09 (williams dew)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00    
SCR  PICK YOUR BID Nov23 Nov07 Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 (chattong vic)BEVERLY JR 122 20.00    
6  KHAIKY'S COMMAND Nov28 Oct22 Oct08 Sep25 Aug23 (pearman jaymie)CRUZ M 122 6.00 64% 0.60    
7  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Nov25 Nov09 Oct01 Sep05 Aug17 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  JUSPASSINTHRU Nov14 Sep10 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 (baze lisa)VERGARA P 122 5.00 ★    
9  MAHI MAHI Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul10 Jun17 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
10  TIM'S BUDDY Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 May02 Apr01 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 ★    
11  DEMOCRAT Sep10 Aug13 Jul02 Jun04 May15 (peery debb)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
 
TUP-9   12/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON TAN Nov16 Nov05 Sep07 Aug27 Aug04 (perkinson c)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
2  KICK IT Nov15 Oct11 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
3  PISTOL POWER Nov15 Sep17 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 4.50 ★    
4  RONALD R (IRE) Nov16 Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 Jul06 (silva pa)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 ★    
5  OSTINI Nov16 Sep10 Aug22 Jul23 Jul04 (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00    
6  HERBIE Nov15 Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 May07 (sanderson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 12% 7.50    
7  ROBS LUCKY SPIRIT Sep17 Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 12.00    
8  CATS TOUCH Nov16 Oct15 Sep18 Sep03 Aug12 (oberholtzer)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
9  MONUMENTAL SEVEN Nov29 Nov05 Sep17 Aug29 May07 (campo stacy)MAWING A 124 12.00    
10  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Nov16 Sep17 Sep05 Aug22 Jul11 (elston brent)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
SCR  EXCALIBUR RIDGE Nov29 Nov05 Sep01 Jul23 Jun17 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
SCR  LOYALTY SPIRIT Nov16 Oct11 Sep18 Aug30 Aug08 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.