Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Grande Prairie
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
GPR-1   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
1:082         1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CMON SHARON 2 1 11 2nk   1½ 11½ (pigeau o)NELSON RYAN 124 1.60 20% 4.00 1.05 W
1  HIGH KELLY BABE 1 2 31½ 31   2½ 21½ (mcnally kath)ANDROS CORRINE 124 4.00 ★ 2.70 P
4  ANN OF WAR 4 3 42 43   32½ 32¼ (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.00 49% 1.10 3.50 S
3  IZZY IN ISOLATION 3 5 57 57   45½ 47¼ (marks garry)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00 ★ 14.65  
5  NEW CANADIAN 5 4 21 1nk   55½ 58¼ (mcnally k)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00 ★ 3.65  
 
GPR-2   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
1:281         1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHISKARITA 2 4 46½ 43¼   12 18 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 124 1.40 ★ 1.25  
1  AWESOMEAGAINNAGAIN 1 1 1nk 1nk   22 28 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.50 ★ 4.60 P
3  I'M OUTTA HERE 3 2 2nk 3.2   34 310¾ (pigeau nelli)ANDROS CORRINE 124 4.00 18% 4.70 2.60 S
4  CANDY RED 4 3 3½ 2nk   45 412¼ (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 6.00 28% 2.60 1.80  
SCR  BELLA NOCHE               (giesbrecht joc)ALLEN LARRIS 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
 
GPR-3   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
1:08         1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CAUSIN MISCHIEF 3 4 43½ 410   43 11¼ (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.50 ★ 0.55  
4  CAPALLI 4 1 1nk 1nk   11½ 21¼ (marks gar)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.00 ★ 13.50 P
5  STERLING ALY 5 3 2nk 2nk   21½ 31¾ (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50 56% 0.80 1.90 S
1  GOOD MORNING ANNIE 1 2 32½ 35   33 43½ (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 4.50 ★ 5.40  
2  LADY GOT AWAY 2 5 54½ 514   55 54¾ (gregoire carl)NELSON RYAN 124 8.00 10% 9.30 20.15  
 
GPR-4   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:09         1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BIG Z 2 2 11 32   21½ 11½ (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 124 3.00 16% 5.30 1.35 W
4  FREUDS VISION 3 3 32 1nk   11½ 21½ (kinch bill)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00 5.00  
5  IMPERIAL GO BOY 4 6 46 46   33½ 34 (mcconaghie s)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00 4.85  
1  SCRUFFIAN 1 1 21 2nk   46½ 48 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 5.00 ★ 7.10  
7  ITALIAN LADIES MAN 6 5 57 59   58½ 58½ (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 4.00 56% 0.80 2.65  
6  SWINGIN JUDGE 5 4 68 614   613½ 612½ (miyashiro tansl)NELSON RYAN 119 8.00 ★ 9.80  
SCR  TOUCH OF A BUZZ               (gregoire carl)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.00 5% 19.00    
 
GPR-5   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
1:073         1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DORADO STORM 1 1 2½ 1nk   12 1¾ (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 1.60 26% 2.80 2.90 W
4  PROOF IT 3 5 57½ 46½   43 2¾ (rycroft clin)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00 ★ 8.65 P
5  GOLDEN COWBOY 4 2 1½ 32½   32 33½ (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 5.00 21% 3.80 6.45 S
2  GOLDEN BULLET 2 3 46½ 57½   54½ 45 (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 8.00 26.25  
6  POKER TABLE 5 4 31½ 2nk   22 56 (depew jim)SIMPSON W 124 2.50 25% 3.10 0.35  
SCR  HOTNTHIRSTY               (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 4.00 ★    
 
GPR-6   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000 ($4K) Purse ($5.4K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:071         1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HERCULEAN 6 3 2½ 2½   2nk 1¾ (marks garry)SIMPSON W null   26% 2.90 6.95 W
4  LET THE BOY SING 4 2 1½ 1½   1nk 2¾ (rycroft c)STEWART BLANDFORD null   32% 2.10 1.40 P
5  HE'S ITALIAN 5 4 44 35½   33 36 (rutherford e)FOSTER ORLANDO null   17% 4.90 11.10 S
7  VISIONS OF JOY 7 5 33 45½   44 48¼ (adams les)NELSON RYAN null   11.65  
1  GALAXY INVASION 1 7 55½ 68½   56½ 59¼ (weeseekase )GORDON GARFIELD null   14.60  
3  DEVILS COMMAND 3 6 66½ 56½   67½ 610½ (smith ro)ALLEN LARRIS null   ★ 4.40  
2  UNBRIDLED'S SKYE 2 1 78½ 711½   717½ 736¼ (coney jason)ROCHA O null   ★ 2.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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