Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grande Prairie
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GPR-1   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH KELLY BABE Jun24 Jun10 May27 May14 Mar21 (mcnally kath)ANDROS CORRINE 124 4.00    
CMON SHARON Jul09 Jun19       (pigeau o)NELSON RYAN 124 1.60 20% 4.00    
IZZY IN ISOLATION         (marks garry)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
ANN OF WAR Jun19 Jun04 May20     (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
NEW CANADIAN Jul09 May07       (mcnally k)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00    
 
GPR-2   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOMEAGAINNAGAIN Jun26 May29       (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.50    
WHISKARITA Jul09 Jun25 May28     (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 124 1.40    
I'M OUTTA HERE Jul09 Jun25 Jun12     (pigeau nelli)ANDROS CORRINE 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
CANDY RED Jun26         (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  BELLA NOCHE Jun25 Jun12 May29     (giesbrecht joc)ALLEN LARRIS 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
 
GPR-3   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD MORNING ANNIE Jun25 Jun12       (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 4.50    
LADY GOT AWAY         (gregoire carl)NELSON RYAN 124 8.00 10% 9.30    
CAUSIN MISCHIEF Jun25 Jun12       (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.50    
CAPALLI         (marks gar)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.00    
STERLING ALY         (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
GPR-4   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRUFFIAN Jul09         (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 5.00    
BIG Z Jul01 Jun18 May27 May07   (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  TOUCH OF A BUZZ Jun27 Jun03 May21 Apr24 Mar19 (gregoire carl)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.00 5% 19.00    
FREUDS VISION Jul01 Jun10 May20     (kinch bill)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00    
IMPERIAL GO BOY Jul09         (mcconaghie s)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00    
SWINGIN JUDGE         (miyashiro tansl)NELSON RYAN 119 8.00    
ITALIAN LADIES MAN         (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 4.00 56% 0.80    
 
GPR-5   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DORADO STORM Jun05         (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 1.60 26% 2.80    
GOLDEN BULLET Jun26 Jun18 Jun04     (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 8.00    
SCR  HOTNTHIRSTY Jun18 Jun05 May21     (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 4.00    
PROOF IT Jun11 May21       (rycroft clin)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00    
GOLDEN COWBOY Jun05         (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
POKER TABLE May28         (depew jim)SIMPSON W 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
GPR-6   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000 ($4K) Purse ($5.4K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALAXY INVASION Jun19 Jun04       (weeseekase )GORDON GARFIELD null      
UNBRIDLED'S SKYE May21 Apr04 Mar10 Feb25 Jan26 (coney jason)ROCHA O null      
DEVILS COMMAND Jul02 Jun11 May21     (smith ro)ALLEN LARRIS null      
LET THE BOY SING Jun05         (rycroft c)STEWART BLANDFORD null   32% 2.10    
HE'S ITALIAN Jun19 May28       (rutherford e)FOSTER ORLANDO null   17% 4.90    
HERCULEAN Jun19 Jun05       (marks garry)SIMPSON W null   26% 2.90    
VISIONS OF JOY Jul02 Jun11 May28     (adams les)NELSON RYAN null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.