Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:214 :45       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GO GO SADIE 4 6 63¾ 51¾   31 11¾ (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 119 6.00 ★ 2.50  
1  FIRST PROMISE 1 3 4¾ 41¼   1½ 21¾ (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 119 5.00 ★ 4.40 P
6  MIRACLE OF HOPE 5 4 52¼ 63¼   62 32 (villamar candelario)CARRENO J 124 4.00 10% 9.30 3.50 S
3  J T'S LA NENA 2 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 42¾ (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 15.40  
8  STRADARI 7 5 3½ 2nk   41½ 54 (soto antonio)CORBETT W 122 8.00 17.10  
4  TIME FOR GOLD 3 7 77¼ 75¾   77 66½ (lucarelli fra)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.50 10% 8.80 2.40  
7  DOZO 6 2 2nk 3.2   52 77¼ (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 122 12.00 4.80  
SCR  MISS GLORIOUS               (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
TUP-3   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 2 F PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:22 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NATURAL IMMUNITY 4 4 33½ 32   23 11¼ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 5.00 24% 3.20 6.50 W
6  DRAMA DIVA 6 3 1nk 11½   13 21¼ (silva l)CORBETT W 121 2.50 34% 2.00 0.50 P
2  SCATALICIOUS 2 2 77¾ 65½   44½ 31¼ (rollins scott)MAWING A 121 3.50 14% 6.10 5.60 S
8  MYREEBEN HARBOR 8 7 44 42½   34½ 42½ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 4.20  
3  SHES A KILLA QUEEN 3 8 54¼ 53½   59 510 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 121 4.00 ★ 16.20  
5  HENRIETTA MAE 5 6 88¼ 79   612½ 612½ (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00 6% 14.80 47.90  
7  WEST COAST ANDY 7 1 2nk 21½   715 717 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 10.00 19.50  
1  NEEDLES AND PINS 1 5 67¾ 820   835 864¾ (zimmerman p)DEONAUTH P 121 20.00 52.60  
 
TUP-4   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:214 :442       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MR. STANG 7 1 42½ 43½   32½ 11¾ (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 35% 1.90 2.10 W
3  CAPITAL EXPENSE 3 4 1½ 12   12½ 21¾ (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 8.00 12% 7.30 9.10 DQ↓3
6  AXEL STEEL 6 3 3½ 32   22½ 32¼ (dennison h)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 4.50 3.10  
9  BOTERO 9 6 85¼ 77   64¾ 44¼ (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 9% 9.90 13.50  
4  SMOKEN SHADOW 4 8 75 65½   54½ 56½ (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 12.00 23.30  
8  SMILING GOODBYE 8 5 63½ 87½   85¾ 66¾ (peery debbie)MAWING A 119 12.00 3.30  
5  PERFECT FANNY 5 2 53 55   75¼ 77½ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 19% 4.30 6.60  
1  BODENHEIMER 1 9 2½ 22   43 88¾ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 8.10  
2  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) 2 7 95¾ 99½   98¼ 99 (potts an)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 ★ 45.90  
 
TUP-5   12/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:132     1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DIRT FLIRT 2 2 1nk 1½   12 11¾ (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 3.00 14% 6.00 0.60 W
10  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 8 4 42 42   22 21¾ (kereluk edwa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 ★ 6.50 P
8  MISS AGGIE BLING 7 3 31½ 32   32 33 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 12.00 16.10  
6  IF YOU WANT IT 5 5 55 54   43 43½ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 21% 3.80 5.00  
4  SASSY CAT 3 1 2nk 2½   54½ 56 (axmaker w)LUNA ELEMANIEL 117 20.00 10.20  
1  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 1 7 77¾ 87¾   76¼ 66¼ (van taylo)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 36% 1.80 7.30  
5  ALL NATIVE 4 8 88¾ 76¾   66 76¾ (eidschun gregor)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00 49.50  
7  GOLD INCLUDED 6 6 65¼ 66½   817¼ 817 (caraman michael)NEGRON LUIS 122 20.00 13.50  
SCR  BOLD REY               (hernandez miguel )LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  MS SALLY               (o'brien debbie)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00    
 
TUP-6   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:122 1:254   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FORGOTTEN VOWS 9 1 1½ 1½ 13 17 115½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 28% 2.50 0.50 W
4  HIGH FLYIN TIGER 4 5 54½ 41½ 35½ 27 215½ (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 8.10  
6  ROCKED 6 4 64½ 63 55¾ 49½ 315¾ (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 7% 13.90 6.40 S
8  ATLATL 8 8 86½ 73 45½ 510 416¾ (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 ★ 46.90  
2  BEL RAGAZZO 2 2 32 31 23 38½ 517¼ (villamar cande)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 22.90  
1  SASSY EINSTEIN 1 10 98 96¾ 79¼ 610 617½ (kereluk edwa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 2.50 41% 1.50 4.10  
10  J C EXPRESS 10 7 76 86½ 913¼ 717 728½ (nunnally jenni)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 78.10  
7  ABRIERWIN 7 9 42½ 52 810¼ 821½ 839¼ (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 121 5.00 ★ 11.60  
3  MR. WILLPOWER 3 3 2½ 2½ 67¼ 921¾ 945 (chambers mike)ZUNINO L 121 20.00 34.30  
5  FISHIN THE RIVER 5 6 109 1012¼ 1020¼ 1027¼ 1046¾ (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 ######  
 
TUP-7   12/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TAKING CHARGE DESI 11 8 64¼ 55¼   31½ 11¼ (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 13% 6.90 1.10 W
1  HIGH GUNNER 1 7 53¼ 23   2nk 21¼ (gleason m)MAWING A 121 10.00 15.10  
9  I'LL TAKE THE SOUP 9 1 11 13   1nk 33¾ (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 121 4.00 56% 0.80 2.60 S
10  BELLE MY BELLE 10 9 86¾ 77¾   43 46¼ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 8.00 ★ 10.10  
3  SIGNATURE COLORS 3 2 31 33   53¼ 58½ (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 12.00 36.10  
6  WHAT A WAY TO GO 6 12 1218¾ 1216¼   98¼ 69¾ (trela rosemary)ZUNINO L 121 12.00 16.10  
2  MINING CRYPTO 2 3 21 43¼   63¾ 711 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 4.80  
7  FINE POINT ASSAY 7 10 1013¼ 1114¼   77¾ 811 (martinez a)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 8% 12.00 18.30  
4  MUNNINGS TALE 4 5 75¼ 810¾   88¼ 911¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 15.00 ★ 29.00  
12  UNUSUAL DANCER 12 11 1113¾ 1014¼   119¼ 1012 (dillenbeck bru)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 82.60  
5  C'MON LETS SWITCH 5 4 43 67¼   108¾ 1113 (whitehouse wil)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00 71.40  
8  DOWNTOWN CUTIE 8 6 99¼ 912¾   1212¾ 1216¾ (o'brien debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 124 20.00 70.10  
 
TUP-8   12/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:22 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BOLD INTENTION 11 1 1½ 11½   12 15 (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 5.00 22% 3.60 0.80 W
4  MIDNIGHT BABY 4 9 85¼ 65   42¼ 25 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 13.40  
7  HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY 7 4 32 32   22 36½ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 44% 1.30 4.10 S
6  PAYNT THE KITTY 6 11 109¾ 118¾   87¼ 46¾ (silva pab)LUNA ELEMANIEL 119 10.00 ★ 7.90 DH
9  SWEET LADY LANA 9 3 42½ 52½   64¾ 46¾ (gleason m)MAWING A 121 12.00 6% 15.90 23.50 DH
5  IT'S CURLIN TIME 5 8 1110¼ 97¼   54¼ 69 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00 50.70  
1  RATTLEME 1 2 2½ 21½   32 79¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 43.40  
3  TAM TRICKY 3 10 74¼ 76½   97¾ 89½ (person kennet)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 ★ 3.60  
10  SHE'S NOT TO BLAME 10 7 95¾ 107¾   109¼ 910¾ (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 75.90  
8  MISYA GIRL 8 5 64 86¾   119¼ 1011½ (nelson amy)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00 91.50  
2  NIP NAP 2 6 52½ 42½   75¾ 1112½ (perkinson cc)LEON A 124 20.00 80.10  
 
TUP-9   12/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:134     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CLEOPATRA'S STRIKE 2 6 55 34 21½ 11½ 11½ (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 20% 3.90 1.00 W
7  CASHANOVA 7 8 66½ 65¾ 53½ 21½ 21½ (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 8.40  
9  BOB'S ALL IN 9 7 88 76¼ 63¾ 33 34 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 21% 3.70 5.80 S
10  ZUMURUDEE 10 9 1012 1011¾ 95¾ 64¾ 45¼ (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 16.80  
3  FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM 3 1 2½ 24 33 54½ 55¾ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 6.00 9.50  
8  UPO 8 5 43½ 55¾ 75¼ 75¾ 66½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 12.00 7% 12.60 32.90  
5  PEACE OF EKATI 5 10 910½ 98¼ 106¾ 97¾ 78¾ (silva jose )VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 15.00  
1  LOLLY EXPRESS 1 4 77½ 87¾ 85¾ 87¾ 88¾ (bullene micha)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00 58.40  
6  MOONLITE GRAHAM 6 2 1½ 14 11½ 44½ 99¼ (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 5.00 19% 4.30 3.50  
4  FIRE WHEN READY 4 3 32 44¼ 43½ 109¼ 1011¾ (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 7% 13.60 24.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.