Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST PROMISE Nov21 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 119 5.00    
SCR  MISS GLORIOUS Nov21 Nov05 Sep30 Sep16 Sep04 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
J T'S LA NENA Nov26 Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
TIME FOR GOLD Aug19 Jul03 Jun12 Apr07 Mar15 (lucarelli fra)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.50 10% 8.80    
GO GO SADIE Aug27 Aug08 Jul11 May07   (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 119 6.00    
MIRACLE OF HOPE Nov23 Nov05 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 (villamar candelario)CARRENO J 124 4.00 10% 9.30    
DOZO Apr20 Apr06 Mar14 Feb21 Jan21 (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
STRADARI Nov26 Nov15       (soto antonio)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
 
TUP-3   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 2 F PT- 2:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEEDLES AND PINS Nov30 Sep19       (zimmerman p)DEONAUTH P 121 20.00    
SCATALICIOUS Nov29 May07 Apr13     (rollins scott)MAWING A 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
SHES A KILLA QUEEN Oct15         (howey quinn)VERGARA P 121 4.00    
NATURAL IMMUNITY May07 Apr13       (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 5.00 24% 3.20    
HENRIETTA MAE         (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00 6% 14.80    
DRAMA DIVA Nov30 Nov04 Aug12 Jul31 Apr29 (silva l)CORBETT W 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
WEST COAST ANDY Nov30         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 10.00    
MYREEBEN HARBOR Sep17 Aug28       (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
 
TUP-4   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODENHEIMER Nov14 Sep17 May25 Apr24   (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) Nov21 Sep17 Aug12 Jul30 Jul17 (potts an)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00    
CAPITAL EXPENSE Sep02 Aug21 Jun17 May22 Apr01 (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 8.00 12% 7.30    
SMOKEN SHADOW Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 May28 (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 12.00    
PERFECT FANNY Aug24 Jun26 Apr27 Feb28 Jan25 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
AXEL STEEL Nov07 Oct10 Aug14 Jul30 May29 (dennison h)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 4.50    
MR. STANG Nov21 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 Jun05 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
SMILING GOODBYE Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 Apr30 (peery debbie)MAWING A 119 12.00    
BOTERO Sep19         (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 9% 9.90    
 
TUP-5   12/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Nov30 Nov14 Sep28 Jun16 Jun08 (van taylo)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
DIRT FLIRT Nov14 Aug15 May07 Mar31 Jan30 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  BOLD REY Nov23 Nov09 Sep18 Aug20 Jun16 (hernandez miguel )LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
SASSY CAT Nov30 Sep29 Jul22 Jun01 Apr29 (axmaker w)LUNA ELEMANIEL 117 20.00    
ALL NATIVE Nov30 Nov04 Sep07 Aug24 Aug14 (eidschun gregor)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00    
IF YOU WANT IT Nov30 Aug28 Aug18 Jul17 Jun26 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
GOLD INCLUDED Sep27 Sep06 Aug20 Jul30 Jul18 (caraman michael)NEGRON LUIS 122 20.00    
MISS AGGIE BLING Nov26 Sep08 Aug21 Jul03 May14 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
SCR  MS SALLY Nov30 Sep12 Aug15 May03 Feb22 (o'brien debbie)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00    
10  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Nov30 Nov04 Sep19 Sep03 Aug22 (kereluk edwa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50    
 
TUP-6   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY EINSTEIN Nov05 Oct21 Oct02 Sep18 Jul01 (kereluk edwa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 2.50 41% 1.50    
BEL RAGAZZO Nov15 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 Jun25 (villamar cande)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00    
MR. WILLPOWER Nov04 Sep25 Sep04 Jun19 May28 (chambers mike)ZUNINO L 121 20.00    
HIGH FLYIN TIGER Nov29 Nov08 Sep12 Aug29 Aug22 (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
FISHIN THE RIVER Nov29 Nov08 Feb22 Feb10 Jan28 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00    
ROCKED Nov15 Sep09 Aug12 Jul24 Jul08 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 7% 13.90    
ABRIERWIN Oct22 Oct09 Sep25 Aug30 Aug14 (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
ATLATL Nov15 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
FORGOTTEN VOWS Dec10 Nov08 Aug26 Aug04 Jun25 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
10  J C EXPRESS Nov30 Nov08 Oct15 Oct09 Sep18 (nunnally jenni)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   12/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH GUNNER         (gleason m)MAWING A 121 10.00    
MINING CRYPTO Oct21 Sep17 Sep05 Mar18 Feb25 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00    
SIGNATURE COLORS Sep17 Aug27 Aug06     (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 12.00    
MUNNINGS TALE Sep17         (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
C'MON LETS SWITCH Nov15 Sep17       (whitehouse wil)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00    
WHAT A WAY TO GO         (trela rosemary)ZUNINO L 121 12.00    
FINE POINT ASSAY Nov15 Sep19       (martinez a)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 8% 12.00    
DOWNTOWN CUTIE Sep17 Aug29 May07 Apr07 Mar17 (o'brien debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 124 20.00    
I'LL TAKE THE SOUP Jun11         (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 121 4.00 56% 0.80    
10  BELLE MY BELLE Nov15 Sep17 Aug29 Jul23 Jul11 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 8.00    
11  TAKING CHARGE DESI Nov28 Nov15 Sep01 Aug10 Jun22 (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 13% 6.90    
12  UNUSUAL DANCER Jan14         (dillenbeck bru)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   12/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATTLEME Oct14 Sep15 Sep03 Jul30 Jul03 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
NIP NAP Sep14 Aug27       (perkinson cc)LEON A 124 20.00    
TAM TRICKY Nov25 Aug20 Jul29 Jul01 May22 (person kennet)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00    
MIDNIGHT BABY Nov15 Sep17 Sep10 Aug29 Jul23 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
IT'S CURLIN TIME Nov15 Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
PAYNT THE KITTY Nov29 May06 Apr18 Apr08 Mar09 (silva pab)LUNA ELEMANIEL 119 10.00    
HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY Nov09         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 44% 1.30    
MISYA GIRL Nov05 Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 Jul30 (nelson amy)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00    
SWEET LADY LANA Nov21 Nov05 Sep12 Sep03 Jul30 (gleason m)MAWING A 121 12.00 6% 15.90    
10  SHE'S NOT TO BLAME Nov16 Nov05 Sep01 Aug21 Aug13 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 121 10.00    
11  BOLD INTENTION Nov15 Sep19 Aug27 May07 Apr21 (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-9   12/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOLLY EXPRESS Nov26 Nov07 Sep17 Aug11 Jul30 (bullene micha)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00    
CLEOPATRA'S STRIKE Nov28 Nov05 Oct01 Aug27 May15 (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM Nov28 Nov08 Sep08 Jul30 Jul09 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 6.00    
FIRE WHEN READY Nov26 Nov07 Sep03 Aug14 Apr19 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 7% 13.60    
PEACE OF EKATI Dec01 Nov08 Oct17 Aug21 Jul30 (silva jose )VALENZUELA A 122 4.50    
MOONLITE GRAHAM Nov21 Nov05 Jul23 Jun26 Apr21 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
CASHANOVA Nov12 Sep08 Aug27 Aug18 Jul09 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00    
UPO Nov21 Nov08 Sep09 Aug05 Jul02 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 12.00 7% 12.60    
BOB'S ALL IN Nov21 Nov08 Sep17 Aug20 Aug11 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
10  ZUMURUDEE Nov08 Sep17 Sep07 Aug14 Jul31 (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.