The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 13, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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TUP-1   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
:214 :434 :561     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT DUDE 6 1 1nk 1   15 13 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 21% 3.80 1.10 W
LINCHPIN STORM 1 6 66 6   25 23 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 37% 1.70 8.30 P
GATES OF HEAVEN 4 7 78 7   48 3(eidschun gregory)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 5.30 S
STAND TO 3 5 5 4   58 46 (baze lisa)VERGARA P 124 8.00 12.40  
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO 7 2 2nk 2   35(evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 12% 7.40 2.20  
GOLD CRUSHER 5 3 3 3   710¾ 615¾ (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 21.10  
CANDY ZIP 2 4 42 5   610½ 717 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 4.00 7% 13.10 7.90  
 
TUP-2   12/13/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
:224 :452 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING FAME 5 2 32 4   31 11 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 8.00 4.10  
STAY HAPPY 7 1 2½ 2½   1½ 21 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00 26% 2.80 6.30 P
MORE HONOR 1 7 5 55   43(tate mary)ANAYA V 124 10.00 9% 10.50 37.10 S
HI HO CHEERIO 2 4 64 6   64 4(lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 18% 4.70 2.20  
STALKING SHADOW 3 6 7 79   75(evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 7.90  
DILLON ROCKS 4 5 42 32   56(gutierrez quintana)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 7.10  
UNLEASH THE BEAST 6 3 1½ 1½   2½ 7(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.40  
STEAL HOME 8 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 124 8.00 12.20  
 
TUP-3   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:223 :45 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J T'S A. T. M. 7 1 2nk 1nk   111 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 2.50 1.30  
SANTALUZ DREAMIN 4 3 4 42   43 21 (crotts e)CARRENO J 122 12.00 7% 13.70 5.30 P
ROUSING RUBBLE 2 7 3 3½   23(metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 20% 3.90 4.40 S
TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 5 8 9 7   66 4(brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 6.50  
GOLDEN COWBOY 1 6 6 6   55 5(bullene michael)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00 11% 8.00 31.90  
ZATTER 6 2 1nk 2nk   33 68 (toye joe)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 35% 1.90 7.00  
MORETHANSOULTITLE 9 4 5 5   77(eidschun gregory)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 45.50  
GO ADMIRAL GO 3 9 8 9   89 8(eikleberry kevin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 4.90  
SON OF SMALLS 8 5 7 8   9911¼ (blea jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00 62.40  
 
TUP-4   12/13/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
:212 :442 :564     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER MCLEAN 9 3 22 2   11(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 36% 1.80 1.10 W
BIG ENDEAVOR 6 4 5 4   42(person a)VERGARA P 124 6.00 5% 18.50 8.60 P
WARFRONT FIGHTER 4 8 6 59   53(simpson shannon)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 75.10  
AFTER THE CANDY 8 2 32 3   32 45 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.50 12.90  
BIG SCOTT DADDY 3 6 712¼ 714   65(diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 4.00 5% 17.40 2.80  
10  WINNING MAGIC 10 5 4 611   76(gutierrez quintana)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 12.80  
DREAMER'S REALITY 2 7 914¾ 916   87 7(nelson amy)BARBER R 124 20.00 61.80  
CHUCK NAZTY 7 10 814¾ 1017½   108 8(martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00 11.30  
FIRECRACKER STAND 5 1 12 1   29(potts ann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 24% 3.20 6.70  
ASSETS INCLUDED 1 9 1016¾ 815½   9109 (blea jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 5% 18.60 23.90  
 
TUP-5   12/13/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
1:374         1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANKEE DOLLAR 5 2 32 32 2nk 13 1(vitali j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 16% 5.20 1.50 W
PRANCE 2 6 75 6 3 23 2(hernandez l)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 11% 7.80 6.60 P
FAT AND FURIOUS 3 9 9 9 7 63(woolley l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 10.00 44.90  
FAST TO FORTUNE 8 1 11 1nk 1nk 34(lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 28.00  
STREET SHADOW 7 7 64 7 4 46 510 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 3.00 23% 3.40 1.40  
FLASH FLOOD 1 3 5 4 5 56 611 (asprino alfredo)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 11% 8.40 23.40  
OPAL CREEK 9 8 8 8 6 7713½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 8.00 49.70  
LEMON DROP LADY 4 5 4 5 8 814½ 819¼ (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 6.00 5.80  
CURIOUS INJI 6 4 21 2nk 9 916½ 922¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 18% 4.40 12.90  
 
TUP-6   12/13/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
:222 :454       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOS DALLINS DADDY 2 3 33     32 11 (silva jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00 12% 7.50 3.30 W
DIAMOND WILLOW 9 2 1nk     2nk 21 (baze robert)CRUZ M 121 5.00 3.70  
ORCADIAN STORM 1 4 45     53(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 55% 0.80 1.10 S
BAPTISM 8 1 2nk     1nk 4(torres-casas jesus)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 11.10  
TAINO HOUSE 4 7 6     43 5(alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 13.90  
EXHILARATOR 7 5 5     66(rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 18.30  
10  MO GEE 10 6 7     710½ 7(matt l)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 12% 7.60 11.80  
WE MISS GENO 6 10 8     811½ 88 (nelson amy)LARSEN S 124 20.00 64.60  
LOST THE MINISTER 5 9 1012¾     914½ 910½ (crotts e)CARRENO J 124 20.00 22.50  
BEAU GOSSE 3 8 911¾     1016½ 1012¼ (christian billy)JENSEN P 124 20.00 90.20  
SCR  RESTORING DREAMS               (tate mary)ANAYA V 124 4.00    
SCR  STARZAN               (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   12/13/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
:221 :451 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATABILITY 5 4 2½ 11   11(perren a)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.10 W
12  TENACIOUS LION 12 7 6 5   47 2(lucarelli frank)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 14.50  
10  ROUGE SUNSET 10 1 5 43   36 3(torres-casas jesus)LEON A 122 20.00 52.90  
11  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR 11 2 1½ 21   24(ortiz sr)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00 20% 4.10 3.40  
LIVE A GOOD LIFE 6 8 8 8   657 (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 122 15.00 10% 8.80 5.40  
CAPTAIN DASHI 3 5 7 7   56(rarick wade)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 6.40  
TRACK BOUND 1 11 9 9   711½ 7(alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00 21% 3.70 2.30  
A GEM IS A GEM 4 12 10 10   812½ 8(wheeler travis)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 19.20  
MARK OF VALOR 8 10 1113¾ 1111¾   1013¾ 910¾ (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 20.00 44.30  
PROFOUND ONE 2 3 3½ 33   913½ 1015 (eidschun gregory)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 5.00 20.80  
INDY MOON 9 9 1215¾ 1217¾   1219¼ 1116½ (blea jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 20.00 27.90  
MINEHUNTER 7 6 4 6   1118¾ 1219¼ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 10.00 18% 4.60 7.50  
 
TUP-8   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:222 :442 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR 3 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 1¾ (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 119 6.00 2.60  
RES IPSA LOQUITUR 7 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¾ (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50 17% 5.00 2.50 P
POPS AWESOME 6 5 8 5   33(williams dewey)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 3.00 39% 1.60 6.10 S
GRAVES MILL ROAD 5 8 5 3   54(diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 122 5.00 3.10  
PURE ROCKET 1 9 3 44   45 5(williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.00 10% 9.50 6.90  
10  MAJESTIC STREET 10 1 7 8   6610 (brown jared)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 9% 10.70 10.00  
MARICOPA COUNTY 8 4 6 7   7710¼ (grissom w)CORBETT W 122 20.00 5% 19.00 49.40  
BUGLER 9 6 9 911¾   811¾ 815¾ (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 122 6.00 16.80  
DANNY ZUKO 2 10 10 1015¾   1014¼ 916¾ (garcia l)ANAYA V 119 15.00 46.30  
BROGAN'S INVASION 4 7 4 68   913¼ 1018 (allred jeff)ZUNINO L 122 20.00 60.60  
 
TUP-9   12/13/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:251 :492 1:14     1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROTHERLY LOVE 2 1 1 1½   11(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 44% 1.30 0.80 W
GUEST CHECK 6 6 8 7   44 2(perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 3.10  
SOLANDER 7 7 43 32   33 3(leaney patricia)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 10.00 44.10  
TOUR THE WORLD 1 2 53 43   54 4(lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 6.20  
MINNESOTA RED 8 3 2 2½   255 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00 7.10  
BLUES RAPPER 4 8 7 53   65 6(trejo r)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 17.90  
TRUTH TO POWER 3 5 65 6   710½ 712¼ (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 23% 3.40 9.20  
PICK A LANE FRANK 5 4 32 8   814 816 (christian billy)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00 20.30  
SCR  INCREDIBE MO               (whitehouse r)CARRENO J 124 20.00    
SCR  OUR VALLEY               (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 15.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  PAPA OSCAR WHISKEY               (person a)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50    
SCR  THE THIRD RING               (chattong vichien)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.