Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINCHPIN STORM Oct29 Sep18 Aug13 Jul16 May14 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
2  CANDY ZIP Nov07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug12 Jul24 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 4.00 7% 13.10    
3  STAND TO Nov21 Sep17 Sep09 Aug07 Jul17 (baze lisa)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
4  GATES OF HEAVEN Nov19 Nov04 Sep19 Jul30 Jul18 (eidschun greg)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 ★    
5  GOLD CRUSHER Nov14 Sep17 Mar19 Feb18 Jan22 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00    
6  PERFECT DUDE Nov04 Aug13 Jul09 Jun15 May06 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
7  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 May14 Apr22 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
 
TUP-2   12/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE HONOR Sep10 Aug29 Aug15 Jul30 Jul09 (tate mary)ANAYA V 124 10.00 9% 10.50    
2  HI HO CHEERIO Nov07 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Aug03 (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
3  STALKING SHADOW Oct01 Jul16 Jun11 May01 Apr09 (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 ★    
4  DILLON ROCKS Nov21 Sep23 Sep05 Aug13 Aug01 (gutierrez qu)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
5  CHASING FAME Jul30 Jul09 Apr05 Mar09 Feb17 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
6  UNLEASH THE BEAST Nov26 Nov07 Aug21 Jun23 Mar02 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
7  STAY HAPPY Nov23 Aug28 Jul03 May29   (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
8  STEAL HOME Oct15 Sep25 Aug13 Jun25 Jun11 (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
 
TUP-3   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN COWBOY Aug28 Jul30 Jul16 Jun05   (bullene mich)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00 11% 8.00    
2  ROUSING RUBBLE Nov26 Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul10 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
3  GO ADMIRAL GO Nov28 Sep24 Aug01 Jul18 Jun25 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50    
4  SANTALUZ DREAMIN Nov21 Sep04 Aug19 Aug10 Jul18 (crotts e)CARRENO J 122 12.00 7% 13.70    
5  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Nov05 Oct28 Oct15 Sep25 Sep02 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
6  ZATTER Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 (toye joe)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
7  J T'S A. T. M. Nov21 Nov04 Sep17 Aug26 Jul30 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 2.50    
8  SON OF SMALLS Sep05 Aug20 Jul31 Jul16 Jul10 (blea jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00    
9  MORETHANSOULTITLE Nov30 Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 (eidschun greg)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00    
 
TUP-4   12/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASSETS INCLUDED Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul03 Jun18 (blea jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 5% 18.60    
2  DREAMER'S REALITY Aug27 Aug19 Aug10 Jul15 Jul04 (nelson amy)BARBER R 124 20.00    
3  BIG SCOTT DADDY Nov14 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Jul22 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 4.00 5% 17.40    
4  WARFRONT FIGHTER Nov05 Sep17 Sep11 Aug06 Jul23 (simpson shanno)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
5  FIRECRACKER STAND Nov09 Oct02 Sep25 Sep04 Aug12 (potts an)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
6  BIG ENDEAVOR Nov14 Sep11 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 (person a)VERGARA P 124 6.00 5% 18.50    
7  CHUCK NAZTY Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00    
8  AFTER THE CANDY Nov25 Oct14 Oct07 Sep10 Aug27 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
9  MISTER MCLEAN Nov23 Nov05 Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
10  WINNING MAGIC Sep10 Jul18 Jun27 May02 Apr20 (gutierrez jua)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   12/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH FLOOD Aug27 Aug20 Jul31 Jul04 Jun25 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
2  PRANCE Nov12 Aug06 Jul17 Jun22 May25 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
3  FAT AND FURIOUS Nov12 Aug28 Jul31 Jun19 Apr28 (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 10.00    
4  LEMON DROP LADY Nov01 Oct18 Mar17 Mar04 Feb02 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
5  YANKEE DOLLAR Nov29 Nov07 Sep30     (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
6  CURIOUS INJI Jul03 May26 Apr08 Mar31 Mar03 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
7  STREET SHADOW Nov14 Sep05 Aug06 Jun25 May02 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
8  FAST TO FORTUNE Nov12 Sep11 Aug21     (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
9  OPAL CREEK Nov08 Sep10 May02 Apr08 Mar11 (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 8.00    
 
TUP-6   12/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORCADIAN STORM Nov26 Nov15 Sep17 Aug26 Aug07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
2  WHOS DALLINS DADDY Nov09 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul03 (silva jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00 12% 7.50    
3  BEAU GOSSE Nov15 Sep13 Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 (christian b)JENSEN P 124 20.00    
4  TAINO HOUSE Nov15 Sep14 Aug10 May27 Apr29 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 ★    
5  LOST THE MINISTER Apr02 Mar05 Jan15 Jan09   (crotts e)CARRENO J 124 20.00    
6  WE MISS GENO Nov21 Oct01 Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 (nelson amy)LARSEN S 124 20.00 ★    
7  EXHILARATOR Nov21 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
8  BAPTISM (GB) Nov21 Nov09 Jun20 Jun14 Jun06 (torres-casas)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50    
9  DIAMOND WILLOW Nov16 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 (baze robert)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
10  MO GEE Nov15 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 May21 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  RESTORING DREAMS Nov25 Sep23 May29     (tate mary)ANAYA V 124 4.00    
SCR  STARZAN Nov19 Nov09 Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   12/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACK BOUND Nov23 Nov05 Sep14 Aug26 Aug17 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  PROFOUND ONE Nov09 Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 Aug04 (eidschun greg)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 5.00    
3  CAPTAIN DASHI Nov16 Sep04 Aug13 Jul17 Jun11 (rarick wade)ZUNINO L 122 4.00    
4  A GEM IS A GEM Sep02 Aug01 Jul09 Jun27 May07 (wheeler trav)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
5  CATABILITY Nov16 Oct25 Aug03 Apr30 Apr03 (perren lymon )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIVE A GOOD LIFE Oct16 Oct08 Sep11 Jun19 Jun05 (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 122 15.00 10% 8.80    
7  MINEHUNTER Feb25 Jan26 Jan11     (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 10.00 18% 4.60    
8  MARK OF VALOR Nov05 Sep08 Aug27 Aug11 Jul03 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 20.00    
9  INDY MOON Sep17 Aug14 Aug03     (blea jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 20.00    
10  ROUGE SUNSET Nov16 Nov05 Sep19 Aug27 Aug08 (torres-casas jesu)LEON A 122 20.00    
11  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR Nov16 Oct22 Sep24 Aug23 Jul24 (ortiz manuel )CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
12  TENACIOUS LION Sep11 Aug28 Jul04 Jun23 May19 (lucarelli frank)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE ROCKET Nov19 Sep17 Aug03 Jul14 Jul04 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.00 10% 9.50    
2  DANNY ZUKO Nov25 Sep11 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 119 15.00    
3  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Nov28 Nov09       (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 119 6.00    
4  BROGAN'S INVASION Nov25 Aug31 Mar08     (allred jeff)ZUNINO L 122 20.00    
5  GRAVES MILL ROAD Nov28 Nov04 Aug17 Jul01 Apr30 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 122 5.00    
6  POPS AWESOME Nov25 Nov08 Jul16 Jun25 Apr26 (williams dewey)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
7  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Nov19 Nov04 Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50 17% 5.00    
8  MARICOPA COUNTY May06 Apr21 Feb18 Feb02 Jan06 (grissom w)CORBETT W 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BUGLER Nov04 Sep03 Jul27 Jun29 Jun12 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
10  MAJESTIC STREET Nov19 Sep19 Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 (brown jared)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
 
TUP-9   12/13/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUR THE WORLD Nov15 Sep04 Jun29 Jun08 May19 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 ★    
2  BROTHERLY LOVE Nov23 Nov15 Oct05 Sep03 Aug06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  TRUTH TO POWER Nov14 Sep12 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  BLUES RAPPER Nov23 May07 Apr28 Apr12 Apr04 (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
5  PICK A LANE FRANK Nov09 Sep18 Aug28 Aug06 Jul19 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00 ★    
6  GUEST CHECK Nov15 Oct28 Sep14 Sep03 Aug20 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
7  SOLANDER Oct02 Sep17 Aug23 Jul23 Jun26 (leaney patric)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
8  MINNESOTA RED Nov23 Sep10 Aug21 Jul31 Jul14 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00    
SCR  PAPA OSCAR WHISKEY Nov16 Oct11 Jul31 Jun22 Feb16 (person kennet)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50    
SCR  THE THIRD RING Nov23 Nov09 Sep12 Sep05 Aug27 (chattong vichi)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
SCR  OUR VALLEY Nov29 Nov12 Oct15 Aug29 Aug06 (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 15.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  INCREDIBE MO Aug29 Aug06 May07 Apr27 Mar18 (whitehouse r)CARRENO J 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.