Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-3   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $3.20  
TUP-4   Win (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
TUP-5   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.00  
TUP-6   Win (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 4.60
TUP-7   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $9.00  
TUP-8   Win (4/2/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $15.00  
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   01/19/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:10 1:223   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MALIBU MARIE 2 3 11 11 2nk 2nk 1½ (capestro paul)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 0.60  
6  TIME FOR GOLD 3 4 32 31 1nk 1nk 2½ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 42% 1.40 1.40 P
7  MI REYNA 4 1 21 21 34 35½ 37¼ (palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00 6.70  
2  YES PLEASE 1 2 43½ 42½ 46½ 411 411 (o'brien deb)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 ★ 7.40  
SCR  FLYING TO THE LINE               (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  IN THE RED               (pierce l)VERGARA P 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  LOOKIN SO LUCKY               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-4   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:214 :442 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FABSTRACTION 3 1 3.2 2nk   12 1½ (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 15% 5.80 2.60 W
2  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 2 3 52¾ 42¼   43 2½ (delp corey)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 20% 3.90 2.60 P
6  DOUBLE PERFECTION 5 6 2nk 3.2   32 31 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 10.00 16.30  
7  WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 6 5 42¼ 53¼   55 44 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 4.50 30% 2.40 1.00  
4  SILVER KING BAIN 4 2 1nk 1nk   22 54½ (mccartney jac)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 10% 9.00 8.10  
1  INSTIGATE 1 4 63¾ 66¼   68 68¾ (barraza sosa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 ★ 12.60  
SCR  SAYERS               (silva l)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:22 :441 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GRAVES MILL ROAD 3 6 53¾ 41¾   43 11¼ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.00 ★ 0.50  
2  MAJESTIC STREET 2 5 3.2 1nk   1½ 21¼ (brown jared)CRUZ M 122 6.00 3.50  
6  DEVILS WORKSHOP 6 7 65¼ 63¼   53½ 33¼ (koler steve)MAWING A 122 3.50 9% 9.60 7.50 S
5  JUST PICK IT UP 5 3 4¼ 2nk   2½ 45¾ (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 6% 15.90 7.20  
1  BUMPY CUP 1 4 1nk 3.2   31½ 57¼ (villamar cand)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 64% 0.60 11.00  
4  AWESOME BID 4 1 2nk 51¾   66½ 610¾ (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★ 14.90  
7  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 7 2 76¾ 75¾   79 711 (perkinson cc)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 12.00 57.80  
 
TUP-6   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:081     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  YOU SPLIT TENS 5 2 31½ 31   1½ 12¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 8% 12.30 5.30 W
5  MOSQUITO FLEET 4 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 22¾ (pierce mich)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 5% 18.00 3.70 P
8  TWO GUNS 7 1 1½ 2nk   33 34½ (schnell don)CORBETT W 122 3.50 ★ 1.60 S
1  XTREME MAYHEM 1 5 52½ 42½   43 44¾ (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 14% 6.30 1.90  
4  LOLLY EXPRESS 3 6 66½ 64   55½ 55¼ (bullene micha)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00 8.60  
7  FORGOTTEN VOWS 6 4 41½ 53   67 67 (dennis cl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 12.00 33.40  
2  FULL VISION 2 7 715½ 713   710½ 79¾ (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 16.10  
SCR  UNBROKEN STAR               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 49% 1.00    
 
TUP-7   01/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:212 :442       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WAY TO FIRE 8 1 53½ 54¼   11½ 11¼ (silva l)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 3.50  
11  MADISON'S QUARTERS 10 6 43 42¼   21½ 21¼ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 ★ 3.40 P
2  REIGN OF FIRE 2 5 64 66¾   32 31¾ (silva pablo)LEON A 124 3.00 66% 0.50 1.10 S
7  LE TUB 7 8 96¾ 810¼   75½ 44¾ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 8.00 10.50  
6  APPOINTED STAR 6 3 31 32   54½ 55¼ (potts ashley)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 ★ 10.60  
3  SHESAHEATWAVE 3 10 109¼ 913¼   96½ 65¾ (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 25.80  
4  SONGOFTHEDESERT 4 4 2nk 1nk   43½ 76 (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00 11% 8.50 23.30  
10  IZANAMI 9 9 76½ 1013¼   109 87½ (soto antoni)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 65.50  
1  MULLIGAN 1 7 86¾ 79¾   86 97¾ (villamar candel)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00 35.60  
12  BABE'S GOT APPEAL 11 2 1nk 2nk   65 1011 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 ★ 22.30  
5  NO KITTEN 5 11 119¾ 1115¾   1114 1112¾ (denny travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 56.60  
SCR  WRIGHT WINGED               (gutierrez juan )VALDES ALEXIS 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:092 1:213   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ATOMIC CANDY 5 1 1½ 11½ 12½ 12½ 14 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 6.50  
2  THIRTY SECONDS OUT 2 2 42 53½ 43½ 22½ 24 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 16% 5.20 2.70 P
1  CLUB MESQUITE 1 6 52¼ 42 22½ 33 37¾ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 11.50  
6  THICK HAZE 4 4 62¼ 76¼ 58 59 411 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 6.00 5.60  
9  FORT LANGLEY 6 3 2½ 21½ 33 47 511¾ (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 122 4.50 6% 16.10 1.30  
10  BLUE SKYE JADE 7 5 3½ 31½ 68½ 611 616¾ (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
4  PINTXOS 3 7 75¼ 66 710 716½ 722¾ (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 49% 1.00 4.90  
SCR  MARICOPA COUNTY               (grissom w)CORBETT W 122 20.00 ★    
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB)               (silva pablo)SANCHEZ OBED 122 5.00    
SCR  NEW EAGLE               (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 122 8.00    
SCR  POLITICAL RIOT               (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.