The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 19, 2023

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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TUP-3   01/19/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
:233 :464 1:10 1:223   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU MARIE 2 3 11 11 2nk 2nk 1½ (capestro s)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 0.60  
TIME FOR GOLD 3 4 32 31 1nk 1nk 2½ (diodoro robertino)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 42% 1.40 1.40 P
MI REYNA 4 1 21 21 34 33(palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00 6.70  
YES PLEASE 1 2 4 4 4 411 411 (o'brien debbie)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 7.40  
SCR  FLYING TO THE LINE               (hernandez l)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
SCR  IN THE RED               (pierce l)VERGARA P 122 3.50    
SCR  LOOKIN SO LUCKY               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-4   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
:214 :442 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABSTRACTION 3 1 3.2 2nk   12 1½ (hernandez l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 15% 5.80 2.60 W
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 2 3 5 4   43 2½ (delp corey)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 20% 3.90 2.60 P
DOUBLE PERFECTION 5 6 2nk 3.2   32 31 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 10.00 16.30  
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 6 5 4 5   55 44 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 4.50 30% 2.40 1.00  
SILVER KING BAIN 4 2 1nk 1nk   22 5(mccartney jack)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 10% 9.00 8.10  
INSTIGATE 1 4 6 6   68 6(barraza ramiro)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 12.60  
SCR  SAYERS               (silva l)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
:22 :441 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAVES MILL ROAD 3 6 5 4   43 1(diodoro robertino)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.00 0.50  
MAJESTIC STREET 2 5 3.2 1nk   1½ 2(brown jared)CRUZ M 122 6.00 3.50  
DEVILS WORKSHOP 6 7 6 6   53(koler steve)MAWING A 122 3.50 9% 9.60 7.50 S
JUST PICK IT UP 5 3 4¼ 2nk   2½ 4(metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 6% 15.90 7.20  
BUMPY CUP 1 4 1nk 3.2   35(villamar candelario)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 64% 0.60 11.00  
AWESOME BID 4 1 2nk 5   6610¾ (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 14.90  
NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 7 2 7 7   79 711 (perkinson cc)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 12.00 57.80  
 
TUP-6   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
:222 :443 1:081     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU SPLIT TENS 5 2 3 31   1½ 1(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 8% 12.30 5.30 W
MOSQUITO FLEET 4 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 2(pierce l)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 5% 18.00 3.70 P
TWO GUNS 7 1 1½ 2nk   33 3(schnell don)CORBETT W 122 3.50 1.60 S
XTREME MAYHEM 1 5 5 4   43 4(martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 14% 6.30 1.90  
LOLLY EXPRESS 3 6 6 64   55(bullene michael)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00 8.60  
FORGOTTEN VOWS 6 4 4 53   67 67 (dennis g)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 12.00 33.40  
FULL VISION 2 7 715½ 713   710½ 7(owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 16.10  
SCR  UNBROKEN STAR               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 49% 1.00    
 
TUP-7   01/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:35
:212 :442       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY TO FIRE 8 1 5 5   11(silva l)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 3.50  
11  MADISON'S QUARTERS 10 6 43 4   22(diodoro robertino)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 3.40 P
REIGN OF FIRE 2 5 64 6   32 3(silva pablo)LEON A 124 3.00 66% 0.50 1.10 S
LE TUB 7 8 9 810¼   74(toye joe)ANAYA V 124 8.00 10.50  
APPOINTED STAR 6 3 31 32   55(potts ann)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 10.60  
SHESAHEATWAVE 3 10 10 913¼   96(ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 25.80  
SONGOFTHEDESERT 4 4 2nk 1nk   476 (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00 11% 8.50 23.30  
10  IZANAMI 9 9 7 1013¼   109 8(soto antonio)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 65.50  
MULLIGAN 1 7 8 7   86 9(villamar candelario)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00 35.60  
12  BABE'S GOT APPEAL 11 2 1nk 2nk   65 1011 (crotts e)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 22.30  
NO KITTEN 5 11 11 1115¾   1114 1112¾ (denny travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 56.60  
SCR  WRIGHT WINGED               (gutierrez quintana)VALDES ALEXIS 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
:224 :454 1:092 1:213   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC CANDY 5 1 1½ 1 1 114 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 6.50  
THIRTY SECONDS OUT 2 2 42 5 4 224 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 16% 5.20 2.70 P
CLUB MESQUITE 1 6 5 42 2 33 3(williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 11.50  
THICK HAZE 4 4 6 7 58 59 411 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 6.00 5.60  
FORT LANGLEY 6 3 2½ 2 33 47 511¾ (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 122 4.50 6% 16.10 1.30  
10  BLUE SKYE JADE 7 5 3½ 3 6 611 616¾ (williams dewey)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
PINTXOS 3 7 7 66 710 716½ 722¾ (woolley l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 49% 1.00 4.90  
SCR  MARICOPA COUNTY               (grissom w)CORBETT W 122 20.00    
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB)               (silva pablo)SANCHEZ OBED 122 5.00    
SCR  NEW EAGLE               (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 122 8.00    
SCR  POLITICAL RIOT               (silva pablo)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.