Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-6   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $12.60 $4.60 58%
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-5 $43.50 $27.50 172%
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5/8)-(3/1/6/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-5-8 $51.50 $27.50 115%
    SFT (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5/8)-(3/1/6/5/8)-(3/1/6/5/8) 96 $0.10 $9.60  6-5-8-1 $22.34 $12.74 133%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   01/19/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:10 1:223   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU MARIE 2 3 11 11 2nk 2nk 1½ (capestro pa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 0.60  
TIME FOR GOLD 3 4 32 31 1nk 1nk 2½ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 42% 1.40 1.40 P
MI REYNA 4 1 21 21 34 3 3 (palma milto)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00 6.70  
YES PLEASE 1 2 4 4 4 411 411 (o'brien d)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 7.40  
SCR  FLYING TO THE LINE               (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
SCR  IN THE RED               (pierce michael )VERGARA P 122 3.50    
SCR  LOOKIN SO LUCKY               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-4   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:214 :442 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABSTRACTION 3 1 3.2 2nk   12 1½ (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 15% 5.80 2.60 W
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 2 3 5 4   43 2½ (delp core)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 20% 3.90 2.60 P
DOUBLE PERFECTION 5 6 2nk 3.2   32 31 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 10.00 16.30  
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 6 5 4 5   55 44 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 4.50 30% 2.40 1.00  
SILVER KING BAIN 4 2 1nk 1nk   22 5 (mccartney j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 10% 9.00 8.10  
INSTIGATE 1 4 6 6   68 6 (barraza so)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 12.60  
SCR  SAYERS               (silva l)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:22 :441 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAVES MILL ROAD 3 6 5 4   43 1 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.00 0.50  
MAJESTIC STREET 2 5 3.2 1nk   1½ 2 (brown jared)CRUZ M 122 6.00 3.50  
DEVILS WORKSHOP 6 7 6 6   5 3 (koler steve)MAWING A 122 3.50 9% 9.60 7.50 S
JUST PICK IT UP 5 3 4¼ 2nk   2½ 4 (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 6% 15.90 7.20  
BUMPY CUP 1 4 1nk 3.2   3 5 (villamar ca)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 64% 0.60 11.00  
AWESOME BID 4 1 2nk 5   6 610¾ (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 14.90  
NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 7 2 7 7   79 711 (perkinson c)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 12.00 57.80  
 
TUP-6   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:081     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU SPLIT TENS 5 2 3 31   1½ 1 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 8% 12.30 5.30 W
MOSQUITO FLEET 4 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 2 (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 5% 18.00 3.70 P
TWO GUNS 7 1 1½ 2nk   33 3 (schnell don)CORBETT W 122 3.50 1.60 S
XTREME MAYHEM 1 5 5 4   43 4 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 14% 6.30 1.90  
LOLLY EXPRESS 3 6 6 64   5 5 (bullene mic)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00 8.60  
FORGOTTEN VOWS 6 4 4 53   67 67 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 12.00 33.40  
FULL VISION 2 7 715½ 713   710½ 7 (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 16.10  
SCR  UNBROKEN STAR               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 49% 1.00    
 
TUP-7   01/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:212 :442       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY TO FIRE 8 1 5 5   1 1 (silva jose )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 3.50  
11  MADISON'S QUARTERS 10 6 43 4   2 2 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 3.40 P
REIGN OF FIRE 2 5 64 6   32 3 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 3.00 66% 0.50 1.10 S
LE TUB 7 8 9 810¼   7 4 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 8.00 10.50  
APPOINTED STAR 6 3 31 32   5 5 (potts ashl)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 10.60  
SHESAHEATWAVE 3 10 10 913¼   9 6 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 25.80  
SONGOFTHEDESERT 4 4 2nk 1nk   4 76 (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00 11% 8.50 23.30  
10  IZANAMI 9 9 7 1013¼   109 8 (soto anto)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 65.50  
MULLIGAN 1 7 8 7   86 9 (villamar cand)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00 35.60  
12  BABE'S GOT APPEAL 11 2 1nk 2nk   65 1011 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 22.30  
NO KITTEN 5 11 11 1115¾   1114 1112¾ (denny travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 56.60  
SCR  WRIGHT WINGED               (gutierrez jua)VALDES ALEXIS 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:092 1:213   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC CANDY 5 1 1½ 1 1 1 14 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 6.50  
THIRTY SECONDS OUT 2 2 42 5 4 2 24 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 16% 5.20 2.70 P
CLUB MESQUITE 1 6 5 42 2 33 3 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 11.50  
THICK HAZE 4 4 6 7 58 59 411 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 124 6.00 5.60  
FORT LANGLEY 6 3 2½ 2 33 47 511¾ (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 122 4.50 6% 16.10 1.30  
10  BLUE SKYE JADE 7 5 3½ 3 6 611 616¾ (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
PINTXOS 3 7 7 66 710 716½ 722¾ (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 49% 1.00 4.90  
SCR  MARICOPA COUNTY               (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 122 20.00    
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB)               (silva pab)SANCHEZ OBED 122 5.00    
SCR  NEW EAGLE               (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 122 8.00    
SCR  POLITICAL RIOT               (si)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.