Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $7.40 $3.40 85%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/6/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-1 $12.30 $4.30 54%
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/6/4/2)-(1/5/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-1-2 $20.45 $8.45 70%
    SFT (1/5)-(1/5/6/4/2)-(1/5/6/4/2)-(1/5/6/4/2) 48 $0.10 $4.80  5-1-2-4 $9.67 $4.87 101%
    DD (2/3)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00  3-5 $8.20 $4.20 105%
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/3)-(1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00  5-3-5 $9.85 $3.85 64%
TUP-8   DD (7/5)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3 $7.60 $1.60 27%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:223 :444 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) 5 1 52 2nk   1nk 1½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 3.00 27% 2.70 0.90 W
2  UNRIVALED QUEEN 2 4 2½ 1nk   32½ 2½ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 15% 5.70 4.30 P
3  ELEGANT SWAY 3 6 31½ 44¾   44 31½ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00 16.00  
1  JUANA GALLO 1 3 1½ 3.2   2nk 46¾ (silva rodrigu)RIVERA SANTOS 121 3.50 25% 3.00 2.30  
4  WILLOWMYGIRL 4 2 41½ 57¼   510 58¼ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★ 4.90  
6  ICE N LEMON 6 5 65½ 67¾   610½ 69 (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 ★ 21.40  
 
TUP-3   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:23 :452 :564     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ARIZONA SUN 3 2 11½ 12½   12½ 12½ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 35% 1.90 0.60 W
2  DANCE SHOES 2 4 31½ 33   22½ 22½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.50 42% 1.40 2.10 P
4  LETS DECLARE PEACE 4 3 21½ 43   34½ 34½ (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 ★ 9.70 S
5  HOLY TUTTA BELLA 5 1 41¾ 55½   56½ 46½ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 ★ 21.40  
1  V BUCKS 1 5 53¼ 22½   46 59 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 4.00 ★ 3.60  
 
TUP-4   01/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:242 :462 1:103 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STITZY 5 3 25 24½ 23 22 11 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 25% 3.10 2.70 W
1  SHINNY 1 2 39 413 47 33½ 21 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 2.50 52% 0.90 2.10 P
2  MY INDY 2 4 49½ 310½ 37 45 31¼ (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 ★ 4.90 S
4  GOLDEN ALE 4 1 15 14½ 13 12 41½ (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★ 3.90  
3  COURAGEOUS 3 5 513½ 515 510 58 55½ (hop mike)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00 24.30  
6  SONNY SMACK 6 6 615 618 616 626 631 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 ★ 2.60  
 
TUP-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LINCHTOWN 2 5 51¾ 42¼   2nk 11 (esquibel mark)LEON A 124 6.00 2.80  
5  BESAME MUCHO 5 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 21 (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 46% 1.20 2.40 P
4  WIND RIVER 4 6 31 32   43¼ 33 (person a)MAWING A 124 4.00 ★ 2.60 S
6  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY 6 2 2nk 1nk   3.2 44¼ (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 3.50 14% 6.00 2.70  
3  GENERAL THAYER 3 3 62¾ 65¼   65¾ 59¼ (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 13% 6.70 25.50  
1  CORN POP 1 4 41¼ 53¾   55¾ 611¾ (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 ★ 5.80  
 
TUP-6   01/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG ENDEAVOR 2 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (person kenneth )VERGARA P 124 3.00 46% 1.20 2.00 W
6  HYDROGEN 5 4 53¼ 64¼   41¾ 2¼ (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 10% 9.00 5.30 P
7  AFTER THE CANDY 6 1 4¼ 3.2   3.2 2¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 11% 7.80 0.90 P
2  RINGS OF SATURN 1 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 4½ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 10.10  
5  ROCKY JACK 4 3 3.2 4¼   54¼ 54 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 10% 9.10 7.50  
8  RANCHER 7 7 63½ 53¾   67¾ 69 (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 21.90  
4  KAT'S HITMAN 3 6 7100 7100   7100 7100 (torres-casas j)ANAYA V 124 10.00 85.00  
SCR  ASCOT STORM               (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   01/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:214 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TIM'S BUDDY 7 2 2nk 1nk   11½ 12 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 62% 0.60 0.50 W
2  READY TO FORGIVE 2 3 31½ 43   32½ 22 (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 15.00 46.70  
1  DIAMOND WILLOW 1 6 74¼ 75¾   44½ 33¾ (valerio ra)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 ★ 4.20 S
6  WHOS DALLINS DADDY 6 1 1nk 2nk   21½ 44 (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 ★ 18.80  
5  BIG SCOTT DADDY 5 5 62¾ 55½   76 57 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 13% 6.70 4.40  
4  GOT EVEN SMARTER 4 7 52¾ 65¾   66 67½ (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 49.60  
3  CATABILITY 3 4 41¾ 32½   55 78¾ (perren lymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 6.10  
SCR  ORCADIAN STORM               (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-8   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHAMAN'S PRODIGY 3 4 2nk 1½ 12 1nk 1¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 6% 16.50 2.10 W
1  AKASI 1 8 78 42 32 2nk 2¼ (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★ 2.30 P
7  SASSY EINSTEIN 7 7 88½ 84¾ 77¾ 56½ 36½ (pierce michael )VERGARA P 124 5.00 7% 14.20 4.20 S
4  LADY CREATIVE 4 1 33 31½ 22 45 47¼ (axmaker w)CORBETT W 124 6.00 9.70  
5  PREDETERMINATION 5 2 55 72¾ 43½ 34½ 57¾ (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★ 9.20  
8  EASY DOES IT 8 3 43½ 52 810¾ 711 611¼ (gangidino l)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00 31.30  
6  TALKINGNONSTOP 6 6 66 62½ 66¾ 67½ 711¼ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00 61.40  
2  ROSEBUD RYDE 2 5 1nk 2½ 56½ 814 876½ (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 2.50 64% 0.60 3.60  
 
TUP-9   01/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:233 :46 1:094 1:35   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLY THE COBBLER 1 1 42 43½ 31½ 12 15¼ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 1.10  
8  OF GOOD REPORT 6 5 31½ 22 2nk 22 25¼ (ruiz lorenzo)LEON A 124 5.00 4.10  
3  BLUE AZUL 2 2 11½ 12 1nk 34½ 39 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 12% 7.50 2.10 S
4  BLESSED JOURNEY 3 3 52½ 54 45 410½ 414½ (silva jua)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 17% 5.00 3.90  
6  KICK IT 4 6 75½ 78½ 68½ 513 520 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 7% 13.70 84.80  
7  WESTFEST 5 4 21½ 33 57 619 621¼ (woolley ben)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 10% 8.70 19.70  
9  UNCLE FLOYD 7 7 65 68½ 714½ 723 728¼ (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 46.80  
SCR  FINAL FINAL               (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  TELLER               (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
 
TUP-10   01/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:121 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RONALD R (IRE) 7 9 84¼ 65¼ 31 11½ 11¾ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 3.10  
6  PISTOL POWER 6 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 21½ 21¾ (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 4.00 25% 3.00 3.20 P
10  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 9 11 117¾ 117½ 74¾ 57 33 (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00 66.80  
3  SPIRE 3 1 42 33½ 86¼ 67½ 46 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
2  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 2 5 52¼ 53¾ 52½ 47 56½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 8% 11.30 12.00  
5  MANY ROSES 5 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 33 67½ (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
1  OSTINI 1 6 63¼ 76¼ 64½ 710 78¼ (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 7.10  
12  ARIMONY 11 8 31½ 43¾ 41½ 812½ 816 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00 25.10  
11  BOURBON TAN 10 10 105¼ 86¾ 98¾ 915 917½ (perkinson c)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 7.40  
4  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE) 4 7 74¼ 97 1110¾ 1015½ 1018 (ch)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 34% 1.90 2.30  
9  ROBS LUCKY SPIRIT 8 2 94¾ 107½ 1010¾ 1118 1120¼ (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 20.00 64.20  
SCR  FOUR O'FIVE               (villamar candel)LEON A 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.