Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TUP-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TUP-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 3.40
TUP-5   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.60  
TUP-6   Win (3/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
TUP-7   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TUP-8   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TUP-9   Win (5/4/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $4.20  
TUP-10   Win (4/6/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $8.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:223 :444 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) 5 1 52 2nk   1nk 1½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 3.00 27% 2.70 0.90 W
UNRIVALED QUEEN 2 4 2½ 1nk   3 2½ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 15% 5.70 4.30 P
ELEGANT SWAY 3 6 3 4   44 3 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00 16.00  
JUANA GALLO 1 3 1½ 3.2   2nk 4 (silva rodriguez)RIVERA SANTOS 121 3.50 25% 3.00 2.30  
WILLOWMYGIRL 4 2 4 5   510 5 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 4.90  
ICE N LEMON 6 5 6 6   610½ 69 (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 21.40  
 
TUP-3   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:23 :452 :564     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA SUN 3 2 1 1   1 1 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 35% 1.90 0.60 W
DANCE SHOES 2 4 3 33   2 2 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.50 42% 1.40 2.10 P
LETS DECLARE PEACE 4 3 2 43   3 3 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 9.70 S
HOLY TUTTA BELLA 5 1 4 5   5 4 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 21.40  
V BUCKS 1 5 5 2   46 59 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 4.00 3.60  
 
TUP-4   01/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:242 :462 1:103 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STITZY 5 3 25 2 23 22 11 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 25% 3.10 2.70 W
SHINNY 1 2 39 413 47 3 21 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 2.50 52% 0.90 2.10 P
MY INDY 2 4 4 310½ 37 45 3 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 4.90 S
GOLDEN ALE 4 1 15 1 13 12 4 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 3.90  
COURAGEOUS 3 5 513½ 515 510 58 5 (hop mike)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00 24.30  
SONNY SMACK 6 6 615 618 616 626 631 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 2.60  
 
TUP-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINCHTOWN 2 5 5 4   2nk 11 (esquibel mark)LEON A 124 6.00 2.80  
BESAME MUCHO 5 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 21 (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 46% 1.20 2.40 P
WIND RIVER 4 6 31 32   4 33 (person a)MAWING A 124 4.00 2.60 S
GODGUNSNCOUNTRY 6 2 2nk 1nk   3.2 4 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 3.50 14% 6.00 2.70  
GENERAL THAYER 3 3 6 6   6 5 (wheeler travis)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 13% 6.70 25.50  
CORN POP 1 4 4 5   5 611¾ (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 5.80  
 
TUP-6   01/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ENDEAVOR 2 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (person a)VERGARA P 124 3.00 46% 1.20 2.00 W
HYDROGEN 5 4 5 6   4 2¼ (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 10% 9.00 5.30 P
AFTER THE CANDY 6 1 4¼ 3.2   3.2 2¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 11% 7.80 0.90 P
RINGS OF SATURN 1 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 4½ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 10.10  
ROCKY JACK 4 3 3.2 4¼   5 54 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 10% 9.10 7.50  
RANCHER 7 7 6 5   6 69 (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 21.90  
KAT'S HITMAN 3 6 7100 7100   7100 7100 (torres-casas jes)ANAYA V 124 10.00 85.00  
SCR  ASCOT STORM               (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
 
TUP-7   01/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:214 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIM'S BUDDY 7 2 2nk 1nk   1 12 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 62% 0.60 0.50 W
READY TO FORGIVE 2 3 3 43   3 22 (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 15.00 46.70  
DIAMOND WILLOW 1 6 7 7   4 3 (valerio raym)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 4.20 S
WHOS DALLINS DADDY 6 1 1nk 2nk   2 44 (potts ashley )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 18.80  
BIG SCOTT DADDY 5 5 6 5   76 57 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 13% 6.70 4.40  
GOT EVEN SMARTER 4 7 5 6   66 6 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 49.60  
CATABILITY 3 4 4 3   55 7 (perren lymon )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 6.10  
SCR  ORCADIAN STORM               (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50    
 
TUP-8   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMAN'S PRODIGY 3 4 2nk 1½ 12 1nk 1¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 6% 16.50 2.10 W
AKASI 1 8 78 42 32 2nk 2¼ (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 6.00 2.30 P
SASSY EINSTEIN 7 7 8 8 7 5 3 (pierce l)VERGARA P 124 5.00 7% 14.20 4.20 S
LADY CREATIVE 4 1 33 3 22 45 4 (axmaker w)CORBETT W 124 6.00 9.70  
PREDETERMINATION 5 2 55 7 4 3 5 (gutierrez jua)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 9.20  
EASY DOES IT 8 3 4 52 810¾ 711 611¼ (gangidino lis)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00 31.30  
TALKINGNONSTOP 6 6 66 6 6 6 711¼ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00 61.40  
ROSEBUD RYDE 2 5 1nk 2½ 5 814 876½ (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 2.50 64% 0.60 3.60  
 
TUP-9   01/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:233 :46 1:094 1:35   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLY THE COBBLER 1 1 42 4 3 12 1 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 1.10  
OF GOOD REPORT 6 5 3 22 2nk 22 2 (ruiz lorenzo)LEON A 124 5.00 4.10  
BLUE AZUL 2 2 1 12 1nk 3 39 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 12% 7.50 2.10 S
BLESSED JOURNEY 3 3 5 54 45 410½ 414½ (silva juan )VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 17% 5.00 3.90  
KICK IT 4 6 7 7 6 513 520 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 7% 13.70 84.80  
WESTFEST 5 4 2 33 57 619 621¼ (woolley benni)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 10% 8.70 19.70  
UNCLE FLOYD 7 7 65 6 714½ 723 728¼ (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 46.80  
SCR  FINAL FINAL               (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  TELLER               (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
 
TUP-10   01/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:121 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONALD R (IRE) 7 9 8 6 31 1 1 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 3.10  
PISTOL POWER 6 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 2 2 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 4.00 25% 3.00 3.20 P
10  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 9 11 11 11 7 57 33 (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00 66.80  
SPIRE 3 1 42 3 8 6 46 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 2 5 5 5 5 47 5 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 8% 11.30 12.00  
MANY ROSES 5 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 33 6 (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
OSTINI 1 6 6 7 6 710 7 (weaver gord)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 7.10  
12  ARIMONY 11 8 3 4 4 812½ 816 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00 25.10  
11  BOURBON TAN 10 10 10 8 9 915 917½ (perkinson cc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 7.40  
PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE) 4 7 7 97 1110¾ 1015½ 1018 (cham)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 34% 1.90 2.30  
ROBS LUCKY SPIRIT 8 2 9 10 1010¾ 1118 1120¼ (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 124 20.00 64.20  
SCR  FOUR O'FIVE               (villamar candelar)LEON A 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.