Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $7.40 $3.40 85%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/6/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-1 $12.30 $4.30 54%
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/6/4/2)-(1/5/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-1-2 $20.45 $8.45 70%
    SFT (1/5)-(1/5/6/4/2)-(1/5/6/4/2)-(1/5/6/4/2) 48 $0.10 $4.80  5-1-2-4 $9.67 $4.87 101%
    DD (2/3)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00  3-5 $8.20 $4.20 105%
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/3)-(1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00  5-3-5 $9.85 $3.85 64%
TUP-8   DD (7/5)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3 $7.60 $1.60 27%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE)   (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 3.00 27% 2.70 0.90 W
2  UNRIVALED QUEEN   (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 15% 5.70 4.30 P
3  ELEGANT SWAY   (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00 16.00  
1  JUANA GALLO   (silva rodrigu)RIVERA SANTOS 121 3.50 25% 3.00 2.30  
4  WILLOWMYGIRL   (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★ 4.90  
6  ICE N LEMON   (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 ★ 21.40  
 
TUP-3   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ARIZONA SUN   (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 35% 1.90 0.60 W
2  DANCE SHOES   (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.50 42% 1.40 2.10 P
4  LETS DECLARE PEACE   (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 ★ 9.70 S
5  HOLY TUTTA BELLA   (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 ★ 21.40  
1  V BUCKS   (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 4.00 ★ 3.60  
 
TUP-4   01/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STITZY   (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 25% 3.10 2.70 W
1  SHINNY   (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 2.50 52% 0.90 2.10 P
2  MY INDY   (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 ★ 4.90 S
4  GOLDEN ALE   (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★ 3.90  
3  COURAGEOUS   (hop mike)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00 24.30  
6  SONNY SMACK   (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 ★ 2.60  
 
TUP-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LINCHTOWN   (esquibel mark)LEON A 124 6.00 2.80  
5  BESAME MUCHO   (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 46% 1.20 2.40 P
4  WIND RIVER   (person a)MAWING A 124 4.00 ★ 2.60 S
6  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY   (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 3.50 14% 6.00 2.70  
3  GENERAL THAYER   (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 13% 6.70 25.50  
1  CORN POP   (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 ★ 5.80  
 
TUP-6   01/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG ENDEAVOR   (person kenneth )VERGARA P 124 3.00 46% 1.20 2.00 W
6  HYDROGEN   (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 10% 9.00 5.30 P
7  AFTER THE CANDY   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 11% 7.80 0.90 P
2  RINGS OF SATURN   (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 10.10  
5  ROCKY JACK   (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 10% 9.10 7.50  
8  RANCHER   (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 21.90  
4  KAT'S HITMAN   (torres-casas j)ANAYA V 124 10.00 85.00  
SCR  ASCOT STORM   (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   01/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TIM'S BUDDY   (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 62% 0.60 0.50 W
2  READY TO FORGIVE   (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 15.00 46.70  
1  DIAMOND WILLOW   (valerio ra)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 ★ 4.20 S
6  WHOS DALLINS DADDY   (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 ★ 18.80  
5  BIG SCOTT DADDY   (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 13% 6.70 4.40  
4  GOT EVEN SMARTER   (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 49.60  
3  CATABILITY   (perren lymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 6.10  
SCR  ORCADIAN STORM   (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-8   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHAMAN'S PRODIGY   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 6% 16.50 2.10 W
1  AKASI   (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★ 2.30 P
7  SASSY EINSTEIN   (pierce michael )VERGARA P 124 5.00 7% 14.20 4.20 S
4  LADY CREATIVE   (axmaker w)CORBETT W 124 6.00 9.70  
5  PREDETERMINATION   (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★ 9.20  
8  EASY DOES IT   (gangidino l)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00 31.30  
6  TALKINGNONSTOP   (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00 61.40  
2  ROSEBUD RYDE   (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 2.50 64% 0.60 3.60  
 
TUP-9   01/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLY THE COBBLER   (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 1.10  
8  OF GOOD REPORT   (ruiz lorenzo)LEON A 124 5.00 4.10  
3  BLUE AZUL   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 12% 7.50 2.10 S
4  BLESSED JOURNEY   (silva jua)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 17% 5.00 3.90  
6  KICK IT   (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 7% 13.70 84.80  
7  WESTFEST   (woolley ben)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 10% 8.70 19.70  
9  UNCLE FLOYD   (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 46.80  
SCR  FINAL FINAL   (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  TELLER   (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
 
TUP-10   01/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RONALD R (IRE)   (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 3.10  
6  PISTOL POWER   (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 4.00 25% 3.00 3.20 P
10  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE   (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00 66.80  
3  SPIRE   (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
2  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES   (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 8% 11.30 12.00  
5  MANY ROSES   (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
1  OSTINI   (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 7.10  
12  ARIMONY   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00 25.10  
11  BOURBON TAN   (perkinson c)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 7.40  
4  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE)   (ch)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 34% 1.90 2.30  
9  ROBS LUCKY SPIRIT   (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 20.00 64.20  
SCR  FOUR O'FIVE   (villamar candel)LEON A 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.