Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/4/6)-(5/1/2/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/3)-(1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5/4/1)-(2/3/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/5)-(5/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/6/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/6/4/2)-(1/5/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/6/3)-(3/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/4/1)-(5/6/3/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(3/7/6/5)-(7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-6   WIN (3/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/5)-(7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/5)-(7/5)-(2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(2/7/3)-(4/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/5/1)-(2/7/3/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(4/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/6/2/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-9   WIN (4/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/6)-(4/6/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-10   WIN (4/6/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/5/3)-(4/6/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/5/3)-(4/6/2/5/3)-(4/6/2/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUANA GALLO Dec11 Nov25 Oct29 Oct10 Sep23 (silva rodrigu)RIVERA SANTOS 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  UNRIVALED QUEEN Dec21 Dec10 Nov14 Sep17 Sep03 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 15% 5.70    
3  ELEGANT SWAY Oct07 Sep22 Sep09 Jul29   (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00    
4  WILLOWMYGIRL Nov22 Oct04 Jul04     (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★    
5  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Dec21 Dec01 Nov04 Oct14   (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  ICE N LEMON Nov22 Oct24 Oct11 Sep10 Aug28 (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  V BUCKS Dec27 Nov21 Nov05 Aug18 Jul31 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 4.00 ★    
2  DANCE SHOES Oct29 Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  ARIZONA SUN Dec21 Nov05 Jun17 May28 Apr21 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
4  LETS DECLARE PEACE Dec21 Jul24 Jun24     (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 ★    
5  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Nov27 Sep12 Aug22 Aug08 Apr19 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   01/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINNY Dec27 Dec08 Nov15 Sep17 Jul04 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  MY INDY Dec19 Nov26 Sep07 Aug13 Jun22 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 ★    
3  COURAGEOUS Dec19 Dec08 Nov08 Sep26 Sep13 (hop mike)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00    
4  GOLDEN ALE Dec08 Nov19 Jun17 May27 May06 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★    
5  STITZY Dec19 Nov26 Nov08 Sep10 Aug14 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
6  SONNY SMACK Dec19 Dec08 Sep07 Aug13 Jul27 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORN POP Dec08 Nov19 Oct02 Sep20 Aug13 (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 ★    
2  LINCHTOWN Dec22 Nov29 Nov15 Oct02 Sep20 (esquibel mark)LEON A 124 6.00    
3  GENERAL THAYER Aug01 Jul09 Jun27 May22 Mar07 (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
4  WIND RIVER Dec28 Dec08 Mar28 Feb22 Jan20 (person a)MAWING A 124 4.00 ★    
5  BESAME MUCHO Dec20 Nov09 Aug18 Jun19 May29 (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Dec20 Nov23 Nov09 Sep05 Aug01 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
TUP-6   01/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASCOT STORM Dec27 Nov25 Nov09 Aug17 Aug03 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 ★    
2  RINGS OF SATURN Dec22 Nov30 Nov21 Nov07 Sep18 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
3  BIG ENDEAVOR Dec13 Nov14 Sep11 Aug28 Aug12 (person kenneth )VERGARA P 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  KAT'S HITMAN Dec19 Nov30 Nov09 Sep19 Aug29 (torres-casas j)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
5  ROCKY JACK Dec27 Nov21 Oct03 Sep18 Aug23 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 10% 9.10    
6  HYDROGEN Dec19 Nov26 Nov07 Sep17 Aug26 (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
7  AFTER THE CANDY Dec27 Dec13 Nov25 Oct14 Oct07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 11% 7.80    
8  RANCHER Dec19 Nov23 Oct02 Sep05 Aug22 (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   01/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND WILLOW Jan05 Dec13 Nov16 Sep18 Sep04 (valerio g)CARRENO J 122 3.50 ★    
2  READY TO FORGIVE Dec27 Dec15 Nov25 Jun25 Apr27 (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 15.00    
3  CATABILITY Dec13 Nov16 Oct25 Aug03 Apr30 (perren lymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
4  GOT EVEN SMARTER Dec01 Sep10 Aug29 Aug15 Aug08 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00    
5  BIG SCOTT DADDY Jan02 Dec13 Nov14 Oct08 Sep15 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 13% 6.70    
6  WHOS DALLINS DADDY Dec26 Dec13 Nov09 Sep02 Aug19 (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 ★    
7  TIM'S BUDDY Jan05 Dec26 Dec15 Sep07 Aug24 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  ORCADIAN STORM Dec13 Nov26 Nov15 Sep17 Aug26 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-8   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKASI Dec22 Nov12 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★    
2  ROSEBUD RYDE Jan02 Nov26 Nov05 Oct16 Oct10 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
3  SHAMAN'S PRODIGY Dec09 Nov24 Sep15 Aug14 Jun29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 6% 16.50    
4  LADY CREATIVE Dec22 Sep28 Sep02 Aug16 Jul21 (axmaker w)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
5  PREDETERMINATION Dec22 May06 Apr13 Mar22 Mar09 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
6  TALKINGNONSTOP Dec15 Nov12 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00    
7  SASSY EINSTEIN Dec14 Nov05 Oct21 Oct02 Sep18 (pierce michael )VERGARA P 124 5.00 7% 14.20    
8  EASY DOES IT Nov12 Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul17 (gangidino l)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
 
TUP-9   01/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLY THE COBBLER Dec22 Dec10 Nov19 Oct15 Sep18 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
SCR  TELLER Nov29 Sep27 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
3  BLUE AZUL Nov29 Nov05 Feb28 Feb07 Jan25 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
4  BLESSED JOURNEY Dec26 Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 Oct11 (silva jua)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  FINAL FINAL Jan05 Dec10 Nov29 Nov07 Sep19 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  KICK IT Jan02 Dec15 Nov15 Oct11 Sep30 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 7% 13.70    
7  WESTFEST Nov29 Nov08 Sep17 Sep05 Aug22 (woolley ben)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 10% 8.70    
8  OF GOOD REPORT Dec26 Dec11 Nov24 Oct10 Sep18 (ruiz lorenzo)LEON A 124 5.00    
9  UNCLE FLOYD Dec20 Dec10 Nov19 Nov04 Sep12 (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
 
TUP-10   01/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSTINI Dec15 Nov16 Sep10 Aug22 Jul23 (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
2  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Dec22 Dec13 Nov05 Oct28 Oct15 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 8% 11.30    
3  SPIRE Dec20 Oct28 Oct14 Sep19 Aug16 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE) Dec04 Oct21 Sep17     (ch)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
5  MANY ROSES Dec26 Sep23 Sep16 Aug26 Jul07 (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PISTOL POWER Dec15 Nov15 Sep17 Aug26 Aug05 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  FOUR O'FIVE Dec21 Dec10 Nov05 Sep19 Aug27 (villamar candel)LEON A 124 20.00    
8  RONALD R (IRE) Dec15 Nov16 Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00    
9  ROBS LUCKY SPIRIT Dec15 Sep17 Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
10  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Dec15 Nov16 Sep17 Sep05 Aug22 (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00    
11  BOURBON TAN Dec15 Nov16 Nov05 Sep07 Aug27 (perkinson c)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
12  ARIMONY Nov30 Aug24 Aug06 May07 Mar27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.