Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/6/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $16.80 $6.80 68%
    EXA (3/6/5/8/2)-(3/6/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-3 $37.00 $17.00 85%
    TRI (3/6/5/8/2)-(3/6/5/8/2)-(3/6/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-3-8 $30.95 $0.95 3%
    DD (4/2/3/5/6)-(3/6/5/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00  6-5 $76.10 $51.10 204%
TUP-4   PK3 (4/2/3/5/6)-(3/6/5/8/2)-(9) 25 $0.50 $12.50  6-5-1/2/6/8/9 $109.70 $97.20 778%
TUP-6   WIN (9/8/2/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $18.40 $8.40 84%
TUP-7   DD (9/8/2/5/4)-(10/6/7/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00  2-6 $38.10 $13.10 52%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:223 :443 :564     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  A LOT OF SPUNK 1 3 2nk 1½   13 14½ (brown jared)MAWING A 122 10.00 1.90  
5  TIME FOR GOLD 3 2 3½ 2½   23 24½ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 15% 5.80 1.00 P
4  MIRACLE OF HOPE 2 1 1nk 32   37 38¼ (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 122 4.00 5% 19.00 1.20 S
SCR  MISS GLORIOUS               (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
SCR  FIRST PROMISE               (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  WHERE'S FRANKIE               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 5% 18.90    
SCR  FIRE ESCAPE               (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
 
TUP-2   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:214 :452 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HEART ON THE RUN 5 1 11½ 12   13 11¾ (nunnally jennif)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 5% 18.80 4.10 W
3  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 3 5 53¼ 55½   55 21¾ (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 10% 8.80 1.40 P
7  YATAHEY 6 2 33 33½   23 34½ (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 22.90  
1  LE TUB 1 6 66¾ 69   66 45 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 6.20  
2  BELLS AND WHISTLES 2 3 21½ 22   45 56¼ (rycroft riley)CARRENO J 124 4.00 19% 4.20 1.60  
5  RAGING LADY 4 4 43 44   33½ 66¾ (torres-casas j)ANAYA V 124 8.00 10% 9.50 9.10  
SCR  LOVELY LINDA               (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  SPEEDY GIGI               (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 2.50    
 
TUP-3   01/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:214 :45 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CASTLE DOCTRINE 5 2 32 31   32 1hd (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 14% 6.30 7.40 W
3  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 3 3 64¼ 42   42 2hd (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 31% 2.20 2.40 P
8  FABSTRACTION 7 5 22 21   21½ 3½ (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 10% 9.20 0.70 S
1  MYBESTISYETTOCOME 1 6 54 62¾   52¼ 4¾ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00 48.80  
6  STYLISH ELEGANCE 6 1 12 11   11½ 52½ (lu)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 18% 4.50 5.40  
2  PHILIPIE FAST 2 4 42½ 52¼   62¾ 69¼ (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 4.50 5% 19.00 12.00  
4  TWIST OF FATE 4 7 79¾ 79¾   714¾ 721 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 124 10.00 35.20  
SCR  DOUBLE PERFECTION               (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHORT RIB 4 2 2nk 21   14 13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 0.90  
4  DEVILS WORKSHOP 2 5 56¾ 55½   24 23 (koler steve)MAWING A 122 6.00 6.60  
5  BUGLER 3 4 32 43½   45½ 36 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 122 4.50 4.10  
7  DEMOCRAT 5 1 42¼ 32½   55¾ 46¼ (peery debb)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 ★ 3.70  
3  UNBRIDLED TIGER 1 3 1nk 11   35½ 518¾ (peery debbi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 ★ 3.80  
SCR  BECKHAM JAMES               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 75% 0.30    
SCR  MAJESTIC STREET               (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST               (perkinson cc)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00    
SCR  ROUGE SUNSET               (torres-casas je)LEON A 122 15.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   01/02/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:103 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  XTREME V. I. P. 2 4 44 32 31½ 1½ 11¼ (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 1.40  
4  POLITICAL RIOT 3 5 55 43 43½ 2½ 21¼ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 2.40  
2  BLUE SKYE JADE 1 1 22 2½ 21½ 45 36¾ (williams dewey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00 8% 11.90 4.60 S
10  BRUIN MAGIC 5 3 12 1½ 11½ 33½ 48 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 ★ 3.20  
8  COLOR ME LEGENDARY 4 2 34 53 55 56½ 59¼ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 5.90  
SCR  FAST GALLITO               (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00    
SCR  FORGOTTEN VOWS               (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00    
SCR  FORT LANGLEY               (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  MOONLITE GRAHAM               (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
TUP-6   01/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:22 :45 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  IMA TROUBLE MAKER 2 3 12½ 13   13 1¾ (eikleberry k)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 14% 6.40 8.20 W
10  WAY TO FIRE 5 4 45½ 34   44½ 2¾ (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 0.80  
1  TOTHEMOONANDBACK 1 2 22½ 45   33½ 33¾ (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00 7.60  
6  WRIGHT WINGED 4 5 33½ 23   23 44½ (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 15.70  
3  RIVER JUMPER 3 1 56½ 511   522½ 533 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 1.20  
SCR  APPOINTED STAR               (potts ashl)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  BABE'S GOT APPEAL               (crotts e)CARRENO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAYBEE A DIVA               (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOUNTAIN PASS               (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00    
SCR  SONGOFTHEDESERT               (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
 
TUP-7   01/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WICKED BLUE 5 3 33 34   33 1½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 19% 4.30 2.70 W
7  TEXAS LONG BOW 6 4 44½ 44   22 2½ (tate mary)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 18% 4.60 2.80 P
5  BIG SCOTT DADDY 4 1 21 21½   43½ 34¼ (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 2.00  
1  TAINO HOUSE 1 2 11 11½   12 44¼ (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 5.40  
9  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 7 7 67 57   67 54½ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
3  ALBANY FRONT 2 5 54½ 67¼   56½ 65¾ (gutierrez juan )LEON A 124 10.00 11.80  
4  KICK IT 3 6 79½ 710¾   79 78½ (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 48.40  
SCR  HERBIE               (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  KATZUMOTO               (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
SCR  WINNING MAGIC               (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
TUP-8   01/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:112 1:252   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY COMMISH 1 2 43¾ 45 37 21½ 12 (kenney rya)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00 4.10  
3  ROSEBUD RYDE 2 3 2nk 32 24 34 22 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00 9% 9.60 2.50 P
10  MANDONA 4 1 1nk 12 14 11½ 32¾ (barraza s)MAWING A 124 8.00 1.70  
4  MISS GHISLAINE 3 4 3.2 22 48½ 48 48½ (silva pabl)LEON A 124 3.50 25% 3.00 1.30  
SCR  SHE'S NOT TO BLAME               (perkinson cc)ENRIQUEZ D 124 20.00    
SCR  SKY HIGH VERONIKA               (le)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
SCR  UPTOWN RHAPSODY               (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
SCR  PANCAKES AND BEER               (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 5.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  MICKEY DOBBS               (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 15.00    
SCR  WALK SOFTLY               (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  COCORITA               (leaney patr)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 10.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  FULLY COMPLIANT               (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.