Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/3/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/3/5/6)-(3/6/5/8/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-2   WIN (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/6)-(3/6/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/6/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/8/2)-(3/6/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/8/2)-(3/6/5/8/2)-(3/6/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
TUP-4   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/10) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2)-(2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (2)-(2)-(6/7/9) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
TUP-6   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2)-(6/7/9) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(6/7/9)-(4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/9)-(6/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/9)-(6/7/9)-(6/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/9)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS GLORIOUS Nov21 Nov05 Sep30 Sep16 Sep04 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
SCR  FIRE ESCAPE Nov21 Nov07 Aug27 Aug07 Jul01 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
3  A LOT OF SPUNK Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep25 Aug29 (brown jared)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00    
4  MIRACLE OF HOPE Dec14 Nov23 Nov05 Sep10 Aug27 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIME FOR GOLD Dec14 Aug19 Jul03 Jun12 Apr07 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  FIRST PROMISE Dec14 Nov21 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  WHERE'S FRANKIE Dec17 Nov24 Sep14 Aug21 Jun02 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 5% 18.90    
 
TUP-2   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LE TUB Dec17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul29 Jul16 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
2  BELLS AND WHISTLES Dec21 Oct28 Oct21 Oct07 Sep18 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
3  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Dec17 Nov23 Nov04 Oct23 Aug30 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 10% 8.80    
SCR  LOVELY LINDA Jun26 Jun11 May26 May03 Apr19 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 31% 2.30    
5  RAGING LADY         (torres-casas j)ANAYA V 124 8.00 10% 9.50    
6  HEART ON THE RUN Dec21 Nov29 Nov15 Sep14 Jul09 (nunnally jennif)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 5% 18.80    
7  YATAHEY Dec15 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 Jul02 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
SCR  SPEEDY GIGI Dec15 Nov23 Nov07 Sep12 Aug13 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 2.50    
 
TUP-3   01/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYBESTISYETTOCOME Dec08 Nov14 Jun25 Jun10 May06 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
2  PHILIPIE FAST Sep18 Sep09 Aug27 Jun11 May28 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Dec22 Nov25 Sep05 Aug20 Aug01 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
4  TWIST OF FATE Dec20 Nov21 Oct01 Sep25 Jul09 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 124 10.00    
5  CASTLE DOCTRINE Aug14         (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 14% 6.30    
6  STYLISH ELEGANCE Aug13 Jul22 Jun18 May28   (lu)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  DOUBLE PERFECTION         (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 5.00    
8  FABSTRACTION Nov19 Nov08 Sep17     (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
 
TUP-4   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST Dec20         (perkinson cc)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC STREET Dec13 Nov19 Sep19 Aug24 Aug03 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 6.00 ★    
3  UNBRIDLED TIGER Nov23 Nov08 Sep19 Aug27 Aug15 (peery debbi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 ★    
4  DEVILS WORKSHOP Nov29 Sep18 Aug14 Jul23 Jul08 (koler steve)MAWING A 122 6.00    
5  BUGLER Dec13 Nov04 Sep03 Jul27 Jun29 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 122 4.50    
6  SHORT RIB Dec19 Dec08 Oct30 Oct15 Oct07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
7  DEMOCRAT Dec15 Sep10 Aug13 Jul02 Jun04 (peery debb)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  ROUGE SUNSET Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 Sep19 Aug27 (torres-casas je)LEON A 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  BECKHAM JAMES Jul09 Jun18 May20 May07 Mar24 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 75% 0.30    
 
TUP-5   01/02/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOONLITE GRAHAM Dec14 Nov21 Nov05 Jul23 Jun26 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  BLUE SKYE JADE Dec22 Dec10 Nov19 Nov04 Sep28 (williams dewey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00 8% 11.90    
3  XTREME V. I. P. Dec20 Sep14 Jul31 Jul13 Jun16 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
4  POLITICAL RIOT Dec21 Dec01 Oct04 Sep27 Sep06 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
SCR  FAST GALLITO Apr26 Apr01 Feb21 Feb01 Jan12 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Nov28 Nov12 Aug31 Aug11 Jul04 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  FORGOTTEN VOWS Dec14 Dec10 Nov08 Aug26 Aug04 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00    
8  COLOR ME LEGENDARY Dec20 Nov19 Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
SCR  FORT LANGLEY Dec20 Nov16 Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
10  BRUIN MAGIC Aug15 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 May29 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   01/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Dec17 Nov19 Nov07 Oct10 Sep30 (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00    
2  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Dec17 Nov14 Sep04 Aug13 Jan28 (eikleberry k)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
3  RIVER JUMPER Nov26 Nov14 Sep24 Aug17 Aug06 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00    
SCR  BABE'S GOT APPEAL Dec17 Nov14 Jul08 Jun12 May14 (crotts e)CARRENO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAYBEE A DIVA Nov28 Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WRIGHT WINGED Dec17 Nov14 Sep10 Aug08 Jun25 (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
SCR  MOUNTAIN PASS Nov28 Nov14 Sep10 Aug08 Jul04 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00    
SCR  SONGOFTHEDESERT Dec26 Nov14 Sep10 Aug22 Aug08 (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  APPOINTED STAR Dec17 Nov19 Nov07 Sep11 Aug20 (potts ashl)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
10  WAY TO FIRE Dec21 Dec01 Nov21 Nov12 Sep19 (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   01/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAINO HOUSE Dec27 Dec13 Nov15 Sep14 Aug10 (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
SCR  HERBIE Dec15 Nov15 Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00 14% 6.40    
3  ALBANY FRONT Nov30 Nov19 Nov04 Sep17 Aug22 (gutierrez juan )LEON A 124 10.00    
4  KICK IT Dec15 Nov15 Oct11 Sep30 Sep16 (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
5  BIG SCOTT DADDY Dec13 Nov14 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
6  WICKED BLUE Oct28 Oct16 Oct07 Sep24 Sep03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
7  TEXAS LONG BOW Dec20 Dec01 Nov14 Sep25 Aug21 (tate mary)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  KATZUMOTO Dec22 Dec10 Nov19 Oct28 May06 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
9  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Dec20 Nov26 Nov04 Sep03 Aug13 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WINNING MAGIC Dec13 Sep10 Jul18 Jun27 May02 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
TUP-8   01/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY COMMISH Dec15 Nov12 Oct15 Oct02 Sep23 (kenney ryan)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
SCR  MICKEY DOBBS Dec22 Nov08 Aug17 Jul09 Jun15 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 15.00    
3  ROSEBUD RYDE Nov26 Nov05 Oct16 Oct10 Sep02 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00 9% 9.60    
4  MISS GHISLAINE Jul01 Apr20 Mar09 Feb04   (silva pabl)LEON A 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S NOT TO BLAME Dec14 Nov16 Nov05 Sep01 Aug21 (perkinson cc)ENRIQUEZ D 124 20.00    
SCR  PANCAKES AND BEER Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 5.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  COCORITA Dec15 Nov24 Oct29 Sep10 Jul30 (leaney patr)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 10.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Dec10 Nov16 Sep17 Aug15 Jul30 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
SCR  FULLY COMPLIANT Dec15 Nov21 Nov12 Aug20 Aug06 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
10  MANDONA Dec15 Nov22 Nov09 Sep17 Aug27 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 8.00    
SCR  SKY HIGH VERONIKA Nov05 Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 Jun27 (le)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
SCR  WALK SOFTLY Nov19 Oct26 Aug21 Jul30 Jul13 (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.