Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:103 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOLLY EXPRESS 6 5 6 6 65 3.2 1½ (bullene micha)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00 14.40  
LOOKIN FOR EIGHT 5 1 5 5 4 4¾ 2½ (silva rodrigue)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 29% 2.40 2.80 P
BERNALINHO 4 4 4 4 5 5 3¾ (bullene mich)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 5% 17.50 5.40 S
HPNOTIQ RHYTHM 3 2 1 1½ 12 1nk 42 (eikleberry ke)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 4.00  
STALKING SHADOW 2 3 2 3 32 2nk 52 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 3.20  
DR. TROUTMAN 1 6 32 2½ 22 6 6 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 26% 2.90 1.80  
SCR  UNLEASH THE BEAST               (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
 
TUP-4   12/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO BABY 6 8 6 5   2nk 1¼ (brea)DA FAUSTO 116 10.00 41.10  
SHE SAID MY WAY 2 7 8 8   5 2¼ (salinas linda)LEON A 121 5.00 13% 7.00 8.30 P
MIZHIPZLETUS 7 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 3¾ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 2.50 30% 2.30 1.00 S
PLUM ROSE 5 6 53 6   31 4 (gleason m)MAWING A 121 6.00 2.80  
DEELITEFUL LIZZY 8 3 3½ 2nk   4 5 (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 31.10  
EASTER GRACE 4 4 7 7   87 6 (dillenbeck bru)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00 13.20  
LITTLE LILY LU 1 5 41 3.2   6 710¼ (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 35% 1.90 4.30  
LEGAL MISCHIEF 3 2 2½ 4¼   75 810¾ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00 10.00  
 
TUP-5   12/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
See original race card.
1:351         1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE SKYE JADE 3 1 1nk 11 12 1 1 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.30 W
WILLY THE COBBLER 8 9 78 77 55 4 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 2.10  
TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 6 5 6 5 4 33 3 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 29% 2.50 4.80 S
KATZUMOTO 2 4 4 32 22 2 4 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 12.30  
10  EARNEST 10 10 1012¾ 1012 79 6 5 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 12.00 29.60  
THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN 5 8 8 8 6 76 69 (vitali marc)VALENZUELA A 119 6.00 9.60  
EXCALIBUR RIDGE 4 3 32 4 33 5 7 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 13.90  
J C EXPRESS 1 6 9 910 910 812 819¾ (nunnally jenni)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 73.10  
RINGS OF SATURN 9 7 54 6 1011½ 1015½ 926 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 21.80  
AUTISM WARRIOR 7 2 2nk 21 8 915 1027¼ (elston brent)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 38.10  
SCR  ECHO ALPHA SIX               (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  FULL DRAW               (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50    
 
TUP-6   12/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:511         :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLEROCKER 2 7 1nk     12 13 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 4.50 4.40  
OUR EMPIRE 8 4 4¾     3 23 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 3.50 1.60  
AUTISM CAN DO 6 8 6     7 3 (wolf ashlee)LEON A 122 5.00 9% 10.00 4.10 S
ROYAL TAP 1 2 5     22 4 (torres-casas )MORALES ALLYSSA 119 20.00 15.30  
INDIAN GAMBLER 3 6 3.2     4 5 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 13.40  
BRON AND THE BROW 5 1 7     6 6 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 2.70  
SQUARE ROOT 7 5 2nk     5 7 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
TURQUOSIE MONSTER 4 3 8     813¾ 815 (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 34.90  
SCR  MISAWA               (chamberlin tina)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
TUP-7   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:223 :451 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDING STYLE 4 7 1nk 1nk   12 1½ (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 20.00 5% 18.00 9.90 W
LINCHTOWN 2 9 85 43   22 2½ (esquibel mark)LEON A 124 20.00 10.20  
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 3 8 43 6   32 3 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 5.00 6% 15.10 2.70 S
ANDY BOBBY 1 12 11 8   6 4 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 14.80  
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 5 5 32 3   4 5 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 6% 16.70 7.40  
INSTIGATE 8 3 2nk 2nk   5 6 (chambers mike)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 4.00 46% 1.20 4.80  
DEPUTY'S DANCER 7 6 10 10   7 7 (belloc umbert)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 5.00 7.20  
HEY JASPER 9 2 6 54   8 8 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00 15.40  
11  LIE AND DENY 11 10 7 9   1012¼ 912¼ (lucarelli frank)ANAYA V 121 12.00 29.70  
DIRT ROAD DOLLARS 6 4 5 7   910¼ 1013½ (pierce michae)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 10% 8.80 4.60  
12  JOKERIN 12 1 95 11   1116¾ 1118 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 23.90  
10  BOBBY BUCKETS 10 11 128 1210¼   1218¼ 1219½ (bullene michael)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 15.00 31.40  
 
TUP-8   12/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:59
See original race card.
:462 1:111 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP REFERENCES 4 3 42 5 4¾ 2nk 1¼ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 12.00  
BREAKFAST BALL 2 4 63 4 3½ 1nk 2¼ (whitehouse wil)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00 2.90  
PINK CHANNEL 5 8 9 10 95 7 3¾ (eidschun gregor)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 45% 1.20 4.30 S
COME CORRECT 3 10 10 9 5 3 4 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00 28.20  
AKASI 7 5 5 6 7 6 5 (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 121 6.00 2.90  
PREDETERMINATION 9 9 8 7 6 4 6 (gutierrez jua)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 15% 5.90 6.10  
LADY CREATIVE 6 2 2nk 1nk 1½ 5 7 (axmaker w)CORBETT W 121 4.00 7.40  
MISS MENSA 1 1 1nk 2nk 2½ 8 815¼ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 8.00 8.70  
MICKEY DOBBS 8 6 7 8 10 911¾ 921½ (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
10  ROSES FOR SUZZETT 10 7 3½ 31 8 1017¾ 1032¾ (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
SCR  RENEGADE PRINCESS               (chambers mike)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50    
SCR  WALK SOFTLY               (martinez est)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00 6% 15.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.