Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. TROUTMAN Nov28 Nov07 Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  STALKING SHADOW Dec13 Oct01 Jul16 Jun11 May01 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  UNLEASH THE BEAST Dec13 Nov26 Nov07 Aug21 Jun23 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
4  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Nov28 Nov04 Sep08 Aug21 Aug03 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
5  BERNALINHO Dec08 Nov16 Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 (bullene mi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 5% 17.50    
6  LOOKIN FOR EIGHT Nov08 Sep08 Aug14 Jul27 Jul13 (silva rodrig)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  LOLLY EXPRESS Dec14 Nov26 Nov07 Sep17 Aug11 (bullene mic)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00    
 
TUP-4   12/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE LILY LU Apr21 Apr11       (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
2  SHE SAID MY WAY Nov09 Sep10 Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 (salinas linda)LEON A 121 5.00 13% 7.00    
3  LEGAL MISCHIEF Sep17         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00    
4  EASTER GRACE Nov28 Aug19 Aug06 Jul17 Jul02 (dillenbeck b)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00    
5  PLUM ROSE Apr01 Mar15 Feb21     (gleason m)MAWING A 121 6.00 ★    
6  HELLO BABY May03         (breashear bi)LUNA ELEMANIEL 116 10.00 ★    
7  MIZHIPZLETUS Nov29 Nov07 Sep03 Aug07 Jul18 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
8  DEELITEFUL LIZZY Mar11 Feb11 Jan16     (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00    
 
TUP-5   12/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J C EXPRESS Dec14 Nov30 Nov08 Oct15 Oct09 (nunnally jen)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
2  KATZUMOTO Dec10 Nov19 Oct28 May06 Apr03 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
3  BLUE SKYE JADE Dec10 Nov19 Nov04 Sep28 Sep14 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  EXCALIBUR RIDGE Nov29 Nov05 Sep01 Jul23 Jun17 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00    
5  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Dec10 Sep18 Aug08 Jun18 Jun04 (vitali marcu)LUNA ELEMANIEL 119 6.00 ★    
6  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Dec13 Nov05 Oct28 Oct15 Sep25 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
7  AUTISM WARRIOR Sep19 Aug22 Jul18 Apr01 Jan07 (elston brent)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00    
8  WILLY THE COBBLER Dec10 Nov19 Oct15 Sep18 Aug12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00    
9  RINGS OF SATURN Nov30 Nov21 Nov07 Sep18 Sep10 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
10  EARNEST Nov29 Nov08 Aug04 Jul10 Jun17 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 12.00    
SCR  FULL DRAW Dec10 Nov29 Nov21 Oct15 Sep16 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  ECHO ALPHA SIX Dec10 Nov21 Jul27 Jul07 Jun15 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5% 17.90    
 
TUP-6   12/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISAWA Dec08 Sep04 Aug18 Jun30 Jun01 (chamberlin ti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  ROYAL TAP Nov05 Sep19 Sep10 Aug27 Jul19 (torres-casas alex)CARRENO J 119 20.00    
3  SOLEROCKER Nov29 Nov09 Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 4.50 ★    
4  INDIAN GAMBLER Sep14 Aug26 Aug13 May27 Apr26 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 ★    
5  TURQUOSIE MONSTER Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Aug07 Jul09 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00    
6  BRON AND THE BROW Nov04 Oct09 Sep30 Jul04 May08 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00    
7  AUTISM CAN DO Sep17 Aug22 Aug06 Jul18 Apr18 (wolf ashlee)LEON A 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
8  SQUARE ROOT Aug06 Jul10 Jun18 Feb14 Feb02 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  OUR EMPIRE Dec08 Oct30 Sep24 Sep04 Jul30 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
 
TUP-7   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANDY BOBBY Nov30 Oct01 Sep03     (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
2  LINCHTOWN Nov29 Nov15 Oct02 Sep20 Jul03 (esquibel mark)LEON A 124 20.00    
3  WEARENOTBADPEOPLE Nov14 Sep03 Mar07 Feb05 Jan17 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 5.00 6% 15.10    
4  SPEEDING STYLE Nov30 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Apr26 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 20.00 5% 18.00    
5  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Nov25 Sep05 Aug20 Aug01 Jul18 (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 6% 16.70    
6  DIRT ROAD DOLLARS Nov14 Oct22 Sep10 Aug13 Jul10 (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 10% 8.80    
7  DEPUTY'S DANCER Nov25 Nov09 Aug27 Aug15 Aug01 (belloc umbe)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 5.00    
8  INSTIGATE Nov28 Oct15 Sep09 Aug14   (chambers mik)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 4.00 46% 1.20    
9  HEY JASPER Oct30 Sep18 Sep04 Aug13 Jul10 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00    
10  BOBBY BUCKETS Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul16 Jul02 (bullene mich)BEVERLY JR 121 15.00    
11  LIE AND DENY Nov09 Sep11 Aug12 May19 Apr08 (lucarelli fran)ANAYA V 121 12.00    
12  JOKERIN Aug20 Aug06 Jun27 Apr21 Mar28 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00    
 
TUP-8   12/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MENSA Nov09 Oct15 Aug25 Jun18 May14 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
2  BREAKFAST BALL Nov15 Sep18 Aug28 Aug05 Jul22 (whitehouse w)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00    
3  COME CORRECT Aug25 Jul24 Jun26 May28 May06 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00    
4  TOP REFERENCES Nov12 Oct10 Aug29 Jul23 Jul11 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00    
5  PINK CHANNEL Sep28 Aug28 Aug16 Jul31 Jul03 (eidschun greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  LADY CREATIVE Sep28 Sep02 Aug16 Jul21 Jul07 (axmaker w)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
7  AKASI Nov12 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Jul10 (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 121 6.00    
8  MICKEY DOBBS Nov08 Aug17 Jul09 Jun15 Mar16 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  PREDETERMINATION May06 Apr13 Mar22 Mar09 Feb21 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 15% 5.90    
10  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Nov05 Aug16 Aug02 Jul27 Jul10 (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RENEGADE PRINCESS Nov16 May01 Mar25 Feb18 Jan09 (chambers mike)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50    
SCR  WALK SOFTLY Nov19 Oct26 Aug21 Jul30 Jul13 (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00 6% 15.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.