The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - October 01, 2022

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SWF-2   10/01/2022 2310ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
:401         :401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT DRAMA 6 3 3     1nk 1hd (tsosie terrill)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 6.80  
SMOKIN TY 2 4 2nk     2nk 2hd (taylor josh)CARILLO DANIEL 126 2.00 14% 6.10 3.70 P
WASSUP BRO 1 1 1nk     3.2 3(mitchell r)DOMINGUEZ JOE 126 3.50 36% 1.80 3.70 S
LOVENSEEK 7 2 42     44(bunn shawn)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 2.50 17% 4.80 1.70  
SWEET BEAU ROLL 4 5 5     55(castillo ricardo)LEON A 126 10.00 8% 11.60 18.50  
BLUE CHIP BETTY 3 6 64     76(tsosie terrill)JIMENEZ DAVID 123 10.00 4.60  
THEGREATGENERATION 5 7 7     6710¾ (womochil jeff)RAMEY CASH 126 8.00 9.50  
 
SWF-3   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
1:084         1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TICKET LADY 4 4 3.2 3.2   1nk 1hd (giles chad)CARILLO DANIEL 126 2.50 11% 8.00 8.90 W
SHE'S BLUE DIAMOND 5 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 2hd (hall dru)FINN AISLINN 126 4.50 68% 0.50 1.30 P
CD WINGSOFASOLDIER 3 1 2nk 1nk   32 3(matt r)LARSEN S 126 3.50 4.90 S
CLIPPERVILE GIRL 1 5 6 4   44(scudder mike)LEON A 124 8.00 4.80  
DR GS SWEETIE 6 6 5 5   55(hadley garrett)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 124 2.00 4.30  
SOPHITA 2 3 4¾ 6   6610½ (taylor josh)VALENZUELA R 126 6.00 4.40  
 
SWF-8   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($6.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
1:091         1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIST OF FATE 4 1 1½ 11   11 1(kellett wes)LEON A 124 3.00 2.20  
MIDNIGHT DARE 3 2 31 43   31 2(mitchell r)LARSEN S 121 4.50 37% 1.70 4.20 P
CHAYS CURLIN CANDY 2 6 64 66   42 37 (giles chad)CARILLO DANIEL 121 4.00 5.00 S
IM THE ONLY BEWARE 7 5 4 32   21 4(hall dru)FINN AISLINN 124 2.50 41% 1.40 2.60  
ALLISON'S SURPRISE 1 3 5 55   53 59 (mitchell r)BENN J 123 6.00 6.20  
JOE'S LILIBET 5 4 2½ 21   618 623 (taylor josh)VALENZUELA R 121 5.00 7.50  
RAISE A CROWN 6 7 79 714   748 784 (castillo ricardo)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 15.00 21.30  
 
SWF-9   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
1:132         1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALO JAX 6 1 1½ 11   12 1(womochil jeff)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 5% 17.30 2.50 W
TWO SOCKS MAC 3 3 76 7   35 2(schindler jeff)LEON A 124 2.50 6.10 P
CHARLIE MO 7 6 32 21   22 310¾ (dominguez sr)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 126 4.50 13% 6.60 4.80 S
TURQUOSIE MONSTER 1 5 44 44   4411¾ (tsosie terrill)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 6.00 6.80  
SHACKALOV 5 2 2½ 31   5516¾ (pope stuart)VALENZUELA R 126 2.00 45% 1.20 3.30  
FLIGHT SPEED 2 4 6 5   610½ 618¼ (tsosie terrill)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 8.00 3.80  
FRED 4 7 5 6   715½ 725¼ (dennis g)RAMEY CASH 126 10.00 11% 7.90 11.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.