Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - October 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-2   10/01/2022 2310ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WASSUP BRO Sep03 Aug20 Jul24 Jun12 Apr03 (mitchell chri)DOMINGUEZ JOE 126 3.50 36% 1.80    
SMOKIN TY Jul24 Jun12       (taylor josh)CARILLO DANIEL 126 2.00 14% 6.10    
BLUE CHIP BETTY Aug28 Jul17 Jul09 Jun12 May13 (tsosie terril)JIMENEZ DAVID 123 10.00    
SWEET BEAU ROLL Sep25 Sep02 Aug20 Jul31 Jul03 (castillo ricard)LEON A 126 10.00 8% 11.60    
THEGREATGENERATION Sep18 Sep11 Sep04 Aug28 Jul15 (womochil jeff)RAMEY CASH 126 8.00    
MIDNIGHT DRAMA Sep11 Jul11 Jun18 May21 May13 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00    
LOVENSEEK Aug28 Aug07 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (bunn shawn)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
SWF-3   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLIPPERVILE GIRL Sep11 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul17 (scudder mike)LEON A 124 8.00    
SOPHITA Sep18 Jul16 Jun19 Jun05   (taylor josh)VALENZUELA R 126 6.00    
CD WINGSOFASOLDIER Sep18 Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 (matt r)LARSEN S 126 3.50    
TICKET LADY Sep18 Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 Jul30 (giles chad)CARILLO DANIEL 126 2.50 11% 8.00    
SHE'S BLUE DIAMOND Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 Jul30   (hall dru)FINN AISLINN 126 4.50 68% 0.50    
DR GS SWEETIE Sep18 Sep10 Aug27 Jul31 Jul16 (hadley garr)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 124 2.00    
 
SWF-8   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLISON'S SURPRISE Sep16 Aug07 Jul30 Jul17 Jun19 (mitchell chr)BETHKE A 123 6.00    
CHAYS CURLIN CANDY Sep11 Sep03 Jul31     (giles chad)CARILLO DANIEL 121 4.00    
MIDNIGHT DARE Sep16 Sep04 Aug27 Aug20 Jul31 (mitchell r)LARSEN S 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
TWIST OF FATE Sep25 Jul09 Jun18 Jun05 May07 (kellett wes)LEON A 124 3.00    
JOE'S LILIBET Sep11 Aug27 Jul23 Jul02   (taylor josh)VALENZUELA R 121 5.00    
RAISE A CROWN Sep25 Sep16       (castillo )KELLENBERGER KODY 126 15.00    
IM THE ONLY BEWARE Sep25 Sep10       (hall dru)FINN AISLINN 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
SWF-9   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURQUOSIE MONSTER Sep10 Aug27 Aug07 Jul09 Jun26 (tsosie terril)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 6.00    
FLIGHT SPEED Sep24 Sep16 Sep09 Jul17 Jul03 (tsosie terr)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 8.00    
TWO SOCKS MAC Sep24 Sep16 Sep09 Aug27 Jul29 (schindler jeff)LEON A 124 2.50    
FRED Sep25 Aug12 Jul31 Jul29 Jul17 (dennis g)RAMEY CASH 126 10.00 11% 7.90    
SHACKALOV Sep02 Aug27 Aug20 Aug07 Jul02 (pope stuart)VALENZUELA R 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
HALO JAX Sep11 Sep04 Aug28 Jul31 Jun11 (womochil )KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 5% 17.30    
CHARLIE MO Sep18 Aug20 Aug07 Jul31 Jul02 (dominguez u)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 126 4.50 13% 6.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.