Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - December 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:224 :444 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMBLIN' MAN 2 5 3.2 11   1½ 1¾ (owens kory)VERGARA P 124 2.00 15% 5.50 2.10 W
BRAZEN NOW 5 1 2nk 21   2½ 2¾ (eikleberry ke)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 7.00 P
TONY'S TAPIT 1 4 1nk 32   3½ 3 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 1.80 50% 1.00 0.70 S
HEY PILGRIM 3 2 4 4   4 4 (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.00 12% 7.60 5.00  
BANGO FOR BUCKS 4 3 5 54   56 5 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 119 5.00 10.00  
 
TUP-3   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:222 :443 :562     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA SUN 1 6 4¾ 2½   1½ 12 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.80 W
OUTSIDE THE LAW 3 3 1nk 1½   2½ 22 (campo stacy)BARBER R 124 2.00 15% 5.80 0.90 P
MISS MALIA 5 1 2nk 3   32 3 (george cynthi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 4.00 9.30 S
MY FIRST PEARL 2 5 6 6   4 4 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 122 8.00 15.80  
BOOZE RUNNER 4 4 5 55   5 5 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00 7.30  
LAST PUNCH 6 2 3½ 45   6 611½ (owens kory)VALDES ALEXIS 120 5.00 13% 6.60 7.50  
 
TUP-4   12/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
See original race card.
1:31         1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY IN THE BATTLE 1 1 1 1   1 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 1.40  
MISS HARD KNOCKS 2 4 44 2   2 2 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 6.00 P
BLAZINGBELLABLU 3 6 6 5   3 3 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 2.00 62% 0.60 1.40 S
LETS DECLARE PEACE 5 5 2 33   49 410¾ (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 16.60  
LOOPY 6 3 54 65   513 516 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 6.80  
A ROZE AND WINE 4 2 33 4   621 628¼ (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 8.00 10% 9.10 7.70  
 
TUP-5   12/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
See original race card.
:221 :45       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART ON THE RUN 5 1 11     1 1 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 0.70  
BIG BLUE NOTE 2 4 21     2 2 (woolley benni)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 11.40  
CHA 4 6 7     3 3 (bullene micha)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 6.00 12.90 S
MISTY MATT 6 2 5     6 4 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 11.40  
A WHOLE LOTTA HULA 1 3 33     4 57 (toye)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 21.50  
LOW DOSE 3 5 6     5 68 (silva pa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 3.10  
SHE'S BLUE DIAMOND 7 7 43     711¼ 711½ (chambers mike)SARMIENTO RIGO 117 3.00 77% 0.30 4.40  
 
TUP-6   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND AWESOME 4 1 31 31   2½ 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 5.00 22% 3.50 3.50 W
ALOHA BREEZE 6 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 2 (rari)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 2.00 40% 1.50 2.10 P
UNRIVALED QUEEN 2 5 4 4   42 3 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 37.00  
DON'T GET PICKLED 5 4 5 5   54 4 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.50 15% 5.80 2.50  
CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) 7 2 2½ 2nk   32 56 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 6.00 2.90  
RICHARDSBRIGHTSTAR 3 7 63 6   6 6 (baze lisa)VERGARA P 119 10.00 12.90  
MODERA 1 6 7 7   7 7 (scolamieri j)ZUNINO L 121 4.50 9.00  
 
TUP-7   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
1:151         1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE IN VERMILLION 6 1 11 1   1nk 1nk (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 38% 1.70 2.50 W
MAN CHILD 8 3 21 2   2nk 2nk (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 121 5.00 1.30  
LOUDMOUTHSOUP 4 6 9 7   5 3 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 119 4.00 10% 9.40 6.90 S
FLEET OF FLAGS 3 5 42 3   32 4 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 18% 4.50 9.60  
KATAR 7 2 6 8   6 5 (owens kory)VERGARA P 119 10.00 16.60  
ACCELERITAS 2 9 7 910¼   8 611¾ (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 43.40  
BIG CREED 1 8 8 6   7 712 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 10.00 9% 10.10 11.50  
HI YAH 5 7 32 4   4 812½ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.50 6.30  
NOBLE CRUSADER 9 4 5 5   914¾ 924¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 25.40  
 
TUP-8   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
See original race card.
1:094         1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLS AND WHISTLES 7 1 2½ 1   1 1 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 22% 3.60 5.50 W
SHOE GAME 2 6 3 4   2 2 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 6% 15.50 10.30 P
11  WAY TO FIRE 10 3 52 2   3 3 (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 1.00  
CAMEO SHORES 5 7 8 6   59 4 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00 70.60  
SHELBY R. 4 2 6 710½   711¼ 510¾ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 20.00 46.90  
IZANAMI 8 4 42 34   4 611¾ (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 48.40  
MOONSHINE MOXY 6 8 7 5   611 712¼ (silva gab)CARRENO J 124 6.00 7% 14.30 3.70  
10  SHEZ A GRINDER 9 9 9 814½   814¼ 813¼ (nunnally jennife)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00 63.40  
CHICKS DIG MUNNY 3 10 1011¼ 916   917¼ 917¾ (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00 26.70  
RED BOTTOM REBEL 1 5 1½ 10100   10100 10100 (martinez a)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 24% 3.20 3.80  
SCR  BEAU ROCKS               (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 124 10.00 10% 8.50    
 
TUP-9   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:214 :441 1:09     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACE HOME 1 6 7 5   4 1 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 5.00 50% 1.00 4.20 W
COASTAL KID 5 5 53 2½   3 2 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 3.00 10% 9.00 3.10 P
COBRA JET 3 3 3 31   1 33 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00 13% 6.60 5.30 S
JAZZ HANDS 7 1 1 1½   2 43 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 1.10  
LINCHPIN STORM 6 2 4 6   5 5 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 5.40  
YOU SPLIT TENS 4 7 65 7   6 611½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 23.90  
JUSPASSINTHRU 2 4 2 42   7 714 (baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 48.30  
SCR  PRINCE ALI               (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
 
TUP-10   12/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
1:382         1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLITICAL RIOT 1 4 4 42 22 1nk 12 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 21% 3.70 1.50 W
GALLANT OAK 2 1 1 11 12 2nk 22 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 7% 12.50 4.90 P
WILLTOBELUCKY 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 (eikleberry kev)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 13.00 S
MONGOL ALTAI 5 8 7 64 5 5 4 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 4.50 9.40  
IN THE MIDST 8 3 3 21 4 4 5 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.60  
CHROME KING 4 7 89 8 7 7 6 (hernandez migue)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 6.00 3.50  
WARRIORS HERO 7 5 55 53 6 6 710½ (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 9% 10.10 39.60  
FOUR O'FIVE 6 6 67 7 8 8 812 (villamar candela)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 45.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.