Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - December 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONY'S TAPIT Nov04 Sep17 Aug27 Jul27 Jun23 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
2  RAMBLIN' MAN Nov04 Sep19 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 (owens kory)VERGARA P 124 2.00 15% 5.50    
3  HEY PILGRIM Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 Apr21 Mar04 (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
4  BANGO FOR BUCKS Apr21 Mar30 Feb18 Jan28   (breashear bill)CORBETT W 119 5.00 ★    
5  BRAZEN NOW Oct04 Sep19 Aug20 Apr21 Mar28 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIZONA SUN Nov05 Jun17 May28 Apr21 Mar04 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  MY FIRST PEARL Nov05 Oct04 Jul24 Jun10 Apr26 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
3  OUTSIDE THE LAW Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 Aug20 Aug08 (campo stacy)BARBER R 124 2.00 15% 5.80    
4  BOOZE RUNNER Feb18 Jan28       (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00 ★    
5  MISS MALIA Nov16 Sep10 Aug20 Jan28   (george cynt)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 4.00 ★    
6  LAST PUNCH Aug20 Aug08 Jul16 Jun27 Apr21 (owens kory)VALDES ALEXIS 120 5.00 13% 6.60    
 
TUP-4   12/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOY IN THE BATTLE Nov30 Nov12 Sep17 Aug15 Jul30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 ★    
2  MISS HARD KNOCKS Nov23 Nov13 Oct15 Sep30 Aug24 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★    
3  BLAZINGBELLABLU Nov26 Nov05 Sep18 Jun26   (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
4  A ROZE AND WINE Nov21 Aug21 Jul17 Jul03 Jun11 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
5  LETS DECLARE PEACE Jul24 Jun24       (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
6  LOOPY Dec08 Nov26 Sep28 Aug16 Aug06 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-5   12/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A WHOLE LOTTA HULA Dec01 Nov19 Sep11 Aug20 Jul17 (to)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 ★    
2  BIG BLUE NOTE Nov19 Sep03 Jun19 May19 Apr25 (woolley ben)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00    
3  LOW DOSE Nov19 Nov05 Sep10 Aug08 Jul23 (silva juan )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
4  CHA Dec10 Nov26 Nov08 Sep15 Sep04 (bullene mic)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 6.00 ★    
5  HEART ON THE RUN Nov29 Nov15 Sep14 Jul09 Jun05 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 ★    
6  MISTY MATT Nov19 Nov08 Sep08 Aug17 Aug03 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 ★    
7  SHE'S BLUE DIAMOND Oct01 Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 Jul30 (chambers mik)LUNA ELEMANIEL 117 3.00 77% 0.30    
 
TUP-6   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODERA Dec09 Oct15 Sep02     (scolamieri j)ZUNINO L 121 4.50 ★    
2  UNRIVALED QUEEN Dec10 Nov14 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
3  RICHARDSBRIGHTSTAR Nov30 Sep17       (baze lisa)VERGARA P 119 10.00 ★    
4  BEYOND AWESOME Dec10 Nov14 May07 Apr13   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
5  DON'T GET PICKLED Nov25 Nov04       (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
6  ALOHA BREEZE Aug07 Jul10 Jun25     (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Dec01 Nov04 Oct14     (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 6.00    
 
TUP-7   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CREED Nov30         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 10.00 9% 10.10    
2  ACCELERITAS Nov15 Oct01 Sep12 Aug06 Jun20 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
3  FLEET OF FLAGS Nov22 Sep18 Aug20     (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
4  LOUDMOUTHSOUP Dec01 Nov08 Aug28 Jun26   (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 119 4.00 10% 9.40    
5  HI YAH Dec08         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.50 ★    
6  ONE IN VERMILLION May07 Apr13       (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 38% 1.70    
7  KATAR Dec01 Nov12       (owens kory)VERGARA P 119 10.00    
8  MAN CHILD Oct08 Sep25 Aug14 Jul03   (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 121 5.00    
9  NOBLE CRUSADER Dec01 Nov15 Sep05 Jul18   (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00    
 
TUP-8   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED BOTTOM REBEL Nov19 Oct03 Sep20 Aug21 Aug01 (martinez o )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  BEAU ROCKS Nov14 Oct15 Oct10 Sep18 Sep03 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 124 10.00 10% 8.50    
3  SHOE GAME Nov28 Nov14 Nov05 Sep12 Aug20 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 6% 15.50    
4  CHICKS DIG MUNNY Mar30 Mar21 Mar07 Feb08 Jan13 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00    
5  SHELBY R. Nov28 Jun24 Jun03 May21   (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 20.00    
6  CAMEO SHORES Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 May22 Apr14 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
7  MOONSHINE MOXY Nov28 Sep15 Sep04 Aug18 Jun25 (silva g)CARRENO J 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
8  BELLS AND WHISTLES Oct28 Oct21 Oct07 Sep18 Aug06 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
9  IZANAMI Nov05 Sep19 Sep10 Aug29 Aug13 (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
10  SHEZ A GRINDER Nov19 Nov05 Oct09 Sep18 Sep11 (nunnally jenni)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
11  WAY TO FIRE Dec01 Nov21 Nov12 Sep19 Sep10 (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00    
 
TUP-9   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACE HOME Sep05 Jul23 Jul04 Apr27 Apr05 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 5.00 50% 1.00    
2  JUSPASSINTHRU Nov14 Sep10 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 (baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
3  COBRA JET Nov29 Nov14 Sep10 Aug25   (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00 13% 6.60    
4  YOU SPLIT TENS Nov29 Nov08 Sep07 Aug20 Aug03 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00    
SCR  PRINCE ALI Nov28 Feb11 Jan12     (perkinson cc)LEON A 122 10.00 ★    
6  COASTAL KID Nov26 Nov04 Jun19     (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 3.00 10% 9.00    
7  LINCHPIN STORM Dec13 Oct29 Sep18 Aug13 Jul16 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
8  JAZZ HANDS Nov28 Apr03 Feb05 Jan09   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
 
TUP-10   12/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLITICAL RIOT Dec01 Oct04 Sep27 Sep06 Jul20 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  GALLANT OAK Nov29 Nov15 Sep03 Aug04 Jul17 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 7% 12.50    
3  WILLTOBELUCKY Nov29 Nov05 Oct02 Sep19 Aug01 (eikleberry k)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 ★    
4  CHROME KING Dec10 Dec01 Nov04 Sep23 Aug13 (hernandez mig)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 6.00    
5  MONGOL ALTAI Nov28 Sep17 Aug24 Jul31 Jun26 (asprino alfr)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 4.50    
6  FOUR O'FIVE Dec10 Nov05 Sep19 Aug27 Jul18 (villamar cande)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00    
7  WARRIORS HERO Nov28 Nov15 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 9% 10.10    
8  IN THE MIDST Dec01 Nov15 Aug27 Aug19 May21 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.