Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - December 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRY TO CAPTURE 5 4 33 3   2nk 13 (dennison h)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 5.00 9% 10.30 5.80 W
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 2 3 5 4   3½ 23 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 3.00 1.20  
NEW EVERY MORNING 4 2 2nk 22   4 35 (potts ashley )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 11.20 S
LAST RENEGADE 1 5 6 6   5 4 (chambers mike)MAWING A 119 5.00 4.10  
KIND OF GALLANT 3 1 1nk 12   1nk 510½ (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 117 4.50 14% 6.10 7.00  
MINDSHARE 6 6 4 5   611½ 620½ (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 4.00 33% 2.00 2.50  
SCR  THE GLADIATOR (CHI)               (silva pablo)LEON A 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
TUP-2   12/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:493 1:124 1:372   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONNY SMACK 1 4 4 55 6 32 1¾ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 3.40  
TARTINI 6 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 12 2¾ (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 27% 2.70 2.00 P
MY INDY 2 5 6 67 55 43 31 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 6.00 12.50 S
STITZY 4 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 22 4 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.10  
AX MAN 3 1 31 31 3 5 5 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 16% 5.20 7.80  
COURAGEOUS 5 6 54 4 4 67 6 (hop mike)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 15.00 18.90  
 
TUP-3   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:113 1:234   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPI HAPI 5 3 32 2 2½ 2nk 1¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 2.80  
PAINT ME LUCKY 2 2 1 1 1½ 1nk 2¼ (hern)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 1.00  
CLUB MESQUITE 3 4 42 3 3 3 3 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 8.60 S
WE'RE JUST SAYIN 6 6 54 5 4 4 4 (gutierrez jua)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 9% 9.70 4.20  
BLAME IT ON KITTY 1 7 76 67 611½ 511 514¼ (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 27% 2.70 13.70  
HYDROGEN 7 1 2 44 5 611¼ 616½ (baze lisa)CRUZ M 122 6.00 11% 7.70 7.00  
HEY SEQUOIA 4 5 6 711½ 717½ 717¼ 721¾ (baze lisa)VERGARA P 122 8.00 28.10  
SCR  BLUE AZUL               (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
 
TUP-4   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD 8 1 13 12   1 13 (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 31% 2.20 1.40 W
FEARLESS FACTOR 2 4 4 32   2 23 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 10% 9.00 7.90 P
METAROSE 5 2 23 22   3 3 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 1.60  
LADY JADE 9 3 6 7   6 47 (leon)DA FAUSTO 117 8.00 21% 3.80 4.90  
KID CAT 1 7 76 54   4 5 (whitehouse wil)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 39.90  
WORKIN NINETOFIVE 4 6 55 6   5 6 (gutierrez qui)ZUNINO L 119 10.00 12.30  
WAHASHA 3 8 9 8   711½ 713¾ (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 122 6.00 25.80  
JAZZY EINSTEIN 6 9 8 9   813 815¼ (finch sherry)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 66.00  
KEEPINMYPROMISE 7 5 34 4   914½ 918 (pierce l)CARRENO J 122 12.00 29.40  
 
TUP-5   12/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:221 :454 1:102 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEXOPHILIA 2 9 66 4 31 2nk 1½ (axmaker w)CRUZ M 124 6.00 8.70  
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 3 2 5 52 1nk 1nk 2½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 11% 7.80 1.50 P
KALLINIKI 8 5 3 11 2nk 3½ 3 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 2.00 S
AND I KNOW 4 3 4 6 43 42 43 (mend)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00 21.40  
COLLECTING STARS 9 6 78 76 6 5 5 (person a)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 59% 0.70 10.40  
SUPERSTAR BEA 6 7 8 8 8 6 67 (silva rodriguez)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 12.10  
PIPER ROSE 7 8 9 9 76 7 7 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 5.60  
CANTERBURY GOLD 1 1 1½ 21 5 8 8 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 18.30  
ELEGANT CRICKET 5 4 2½ 31 911 920¼ 929½ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00 32.10  
 
TUP-6   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBROKEN STAR 2 8 7 5   2½ 1 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 3.50  
THE BEAT 4 6 21 4   31 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 68% 0.50 1.10 P
ALLEVA 9 1 11 1   1½ 3 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 2.00 S
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI 6 2 5 2   4 4 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 6.00 10.80  
EL CHUMELITO 7 7 9 8   7 5 (wheeler trav)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 6% 16.90 59.00  
TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY 8 3 6 64   5 69 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.50 12.00  
NIGHT'S WATCH 5 4 42 7   67 7 (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 52.10  
SHANE ZAIN 1 9 8 97   813½ 820½ (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 124 15.00 28.90  
KAT'S HITMAN 3 5 31 33   915 930½ (torres-casas jesu)LEON A 124 20.00 71.30  
 
TUP-7   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT 5 1 11 11   11 1 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 8.00 6.00  
10  INDY'S STAR 10 5 3 21   31 2 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 11% 7.90 1.20 P
SECRET MISTRESS 3 7 65 5   5 3 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 22% 3.50 2.40 S
RODEO ROSE 6 2 21 31   43 4 (baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.00 28% 2.50 7.00  
FLYIN BY 4 3 5 4   21 54 (johnston kimberle)LEON A 119 20.00 36.60  
LATER DAYS 8 4 4 6   6 6 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 15.10  
BANDON BRIDGE 7 6 76 7   7 7 (pierce l)VERGARA P 122 10.00 12.50  
PIRATES CROSS 9 8 9 8   8 8 (rari)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 13% 6.80 14.10  
LUCKY LONG LEGS 2 10 10 10   910¾ 910¾ (peer)DA FAUSTO 117 12.00 31.40  
WISHFUL WON 1 9 8 9   1012¼ 1013¾ (wheeler travis)ANAYA V 122 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
 
TUP-8   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANCHER 1 7 3 3   1 1 (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 33.70  
FOREMAN 5 1 2nk 2nk   2 2 (gangidino lisa)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 30% 2.30 0.70 P
BREXTON 3 6 4 4   44 34 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 3.60  
HELLO HANDSOME 2 5 1nk 1nk   3 4 (brea)DA FAUSTO 117 8.00 15% 5.80 16.20  
BLESSED BROTHER 8 2 62 6   6 5 (ramnarine larry)MAWING A 119 12.00 12% 7.50 7.60  
IRISH KNIGHT 4 8 7 7   5 6 (lucarelli frank)ANAYA V 119 4.50 3.90  
MY PAL 7 3 5 5   7 7 (martinez a)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 7% 12.70 16.40  
TOX 6 4 86 8   811¾ 813 (urias ped)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00 6% 16.70 55.10  
SCR  VICTORY AT LAST               (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
TUP-9   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT RIB 8 1 2½ 1½   1 1 (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 34% 2.00 4.50 W
SILENT DECLARATION 2 7 31 2½   2 2 (pierce l)CARRENO J 121 8.00 10.60  
ROMEO'S GLORY 7 5 5 6   4 311¾ (silva pablo)LEON A 121 6.00 17% 4.90 3.80 S
10  DOUBLE THE GOLD 9 2 4 5   5 412¼ (crotts e)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 12% 7.30 2.80  
SYZSLAK 1 8 7 3   3 514 (rumsey cory)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 4.00 4.60  
MORE ACTION 5 6 8 8   715 615 (lavanway dayso)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 7% 14.10 20.60  
JUST PICK IT UP 4 3 1½ 4   611 717¾ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00 2.70  
LAZARUS COME FORTH 6 4 63 7   816 823½ (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 38.00  
RI' PIN SNAP 3 9 912½ 914¾   920½ 924¼ (barrio sergio)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 74.60  
SCR  PICK A LANE FRANK               (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 3.00    
 
TUP-10   12/19/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:461 1:104     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERY SCARY 5 4 2nk 1   14 1 (kruljac ian)CORBETT W 121 1.80 56% 0.80 0.30 W
BARBIE WARS 7 10 9 7   3 2 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 4.00 17% 4.80 4.80 P
GOLDEN SUN DROPS 4 2 3.2 43   24 38 (vitali marcus)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 6% 17.10 18.10 S
PRINCESS OF MALIBU 1 5 6 65   5 412¼ (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00 29.30  
10  REAL GOOD VYBZ 10 7 4 33   47 512¾ (williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 5.00 23.60  
FIRST IMPRESSION 9 3 5 2   610½ 617 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 8.00 10.60  
KEEPMEINPOWER 6 8 7 5   712½ 718¾ (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 29.40  
TED'S CANDY GIRL 2 6 8 87   813 819¾ (rollins scott)VALDES ALEXIS 121 20.00 68.10  
IMPECCABLE TASTE 8 9 10 9   914 922¼ (rollins scott)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 17.00  
FLY ROBYN FLY 3 1 1nk 10   1028 1048¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 15.00 60.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.