Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - December 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST RENEGADE Nov19 Feb07 Jan23     (chambers mike)MAWING A 119 5.00    
SCR  THE GLADIATOR (CHI) Oct23 Oct10 Sep26     (silva pabl)LEON A 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
3  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Nov19 Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 Jun12 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 3.00    
4  KIND OF GALLANT Jun11 Jun03 Jan22     (lucarelli fr)LUNA ELEMANIEL 117 4.50 14% 6.10    
5  NEW EVERY MORNING Nov29 Nov09 Sep10 Aug21 Aug05 (potts ashle)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 ★    
6  TRY TO CAPTURE Nov25 Oct10 Mar23 Jan24 Jan07 (dennison dan)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
7  MINDSHARE Nov29 Nov04       (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
 
TUP-2   12/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONNY SMACK Dec08 Sep07 Aug13 Jul27 Jun11 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 ★    
2  MY INDY Nov26 Sep07 Aug13 Jun22 May25 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 6.00 ★    
3  AX MAN Sep07 Jun11 Apr27 Feb11   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
4  STITZY Nov26 Nov08 Sep10 Aug14 Jul31 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  COURAGEOUS Dec08 Nov08 Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 (hop mike)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 15.00    
6  TARTINI Nov26 Nov08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug07 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-3   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME IT ON KITTY Oct15 Aug13 Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  PAINT ME LUCKY Dec10 Nov29 Sep18 Aug27 Jul28 (he)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
3  CLUB MESQUITE Dec01 Nov15 Nov04 Sep15 Aug31 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★    
4  HEY SEQUOIA Dec08 Nov21 Nov07 Oct14 Sep09 (baze lisa)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
5  HAPI HAPI Nov28 Oct22 Oct01 Sep11 Aug20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00    
SCR  BLUE AZUL Nov29 Nov05 Feb28 Feb07 Jan25 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
7  WE'RE JUST SAYIN Nov16 Nov05 Oct01 Aug15 Jul23 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 9% 9.70    
8  HYDROGEN Nov26 Nov07 Sep17 Aug26 Aug07 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 122 6.00 11% 7.70    
 
TUP-4   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID CAT Nov07 Sep17 Aug29 Jul16 May03 (whitehouse w)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00    
2  FEARLESS FACTOR Aug12 Jul23 Jun18 May29 Apr28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
3  WAHASHA Nov25 Nov07 Oct10 Sep11 Sep03 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 122 6.00 ★    
4  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Dec01 Nov19 Nov07 Sep03 Aug22 (gutierrez q)ZUNINO L 119 10.00    
5  METAROSE Nov25 Nov12 Sep30 Aug31 Aug10 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
6  JAZZY EINSTEIN Nov25 Sep17 Aug15 Apr05 Feb16 (finch sherr)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  KEEPINMYPROMISE Dec01 Nov19 Aug26 Jun17 May29 (pierce l)CARRENO J 122 12.00    
8  ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Aug26 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
9  LADY JADE May06 Mar22 Mar01 Feb18 Jan19 (leon priscil)LUNA ELEMANIEL 117 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
TUP-5   12/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANTERBURY GOLD Nov30 Sep14 Sep01 Jul30 Jul14 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
2  LEXOPHILIA Nov12 Oct06 Sep21 Sep13 Aug17 (axmaker w)CRUZ M 124 6.00 ★    
3  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Nov19 Nov04 Sep19 Sep12 Sep03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
4  AND I KNOW Nov21 Jul17 Jun24     (me)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00 ★    
5  ELEGANT CRICKET Nov21 Nov05 Sep30 Aug27 Aug10 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00    
6  SUPERSTAR BEA Nov19 Nov04 Sep14 Aug28 Aug11 (silva rodrigu)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00    
7  PIPER ROSE Nov04 Oct24 Aug31 Jun18 Jun04 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
8  KALLINIKI Nov30 Nov14 Aug28 Aug18 Jul30 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 ★    
9  COLLECTING STARS Nov26 Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 (person a)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 59% 0.70    
 
TUP-6   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANE ZAIN Nov23 Nov05 Sep10 Aug08 Jul23 (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 124 15.00    
2  UNBROKEN STAR Dec10 Nov07 Jul28 Jul10 Jul04 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50    
3  KAT'S HITMAN Nov30 Nov09 Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 (torres-casas je)LEON A 124 20.00    
4  THE BEAT Nov26 Nov15 Sep10 Aug15 Jul28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
5  NIGHT'S WATCH Aug31 May15 Apr11     (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
6  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Dec01 Nov21 Sep28 Sep05 Aug16 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★    
7  EL CHUMELITO Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 Jul04 May22 (wheeler tr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 6% 16.90    
8  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Nov28 Nov07 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.50 ★    
9  ALLEVA Nov21 Nov07 Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHFUL WON Aug29 Jul31 Jul04 Apr14 Mar31 (wheeler travis)ANAYA V 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  LUCKY LONG LEGS         (peery debbie)LUNA ELEMANIEL 117 12.00    
3  SECRET MISTRESS Nov15 Sep14 Sep03 Aug03 Feb20 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
4  FLYIN BY Nov25 Nov08 Jul30 Jul02 Jun18 (johnston kimber)LEON A 119 20.00    
5  MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT Nov08 Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 Jun27 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 8.00    
6  RODEO ROSE Nov26 Sep10 Sep03 Aug20 Jul15 (baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
7  BANDON BRIDGE Nov12 Oct15 Sep30 Sep11 Aug14 (pierce michael )VERGARA P 122 10.00    
8  LATER DAYS Nov26 Nov08 Sep03 Aug04 Jul10 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 4.50    
9  PIRATES CROSS Nov26 Sep09 Aug19     (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
10  INDY'S STAR Nov07 Aug27 Aug04 Jun19 May02 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
TUP-8   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VICTORY AT LAST Dec01 Nov04 Oct15 Oct07 Sep23 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
2  RANCHER Nov23 Oct02 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00    
3  HELLO HANDSOME Nov23 Aug27 Jul18 Apr26 Mar24 (breashear bi)LUNA ELEMANIEL 117 8.00 15% 5.80    
4  BREXTON Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 Oct05 Sep04 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
5  IRISH KNIGHT Nov29 Sep18 Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 (lucarelli fran)ANAYA V 119 4.50    
6  FOREMAN Nov29 Nov16 Nov05 Sep03 Jun17 (gangidino lisa)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  TOX Nov09 Aug20 Aug08 Jul09 May28 (urias p)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00 6% 16.70    
8  MY PAL Nov23 Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Jul31 (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 7% 12.70    
9  BLESSED BROTHER Nov23 Nov05 Sep11 Aug20 Jul31 (ramnarine larry)MAWING A 119 12.00 12% 7.50    
 
TUP-9   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYZSLAK Nov30 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 (rumsey cor)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 4.00 ★    
2  SILENT DECLARATION Nov30 Nov08 Sep02 Aug06 Jul08 (pierce l)CARRENO J 121 8.00    
3  RI' PIN SNAP Nov30 Nov04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug27 (barrio sergi)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
SCR  PICK A LANE FRANK Dec13 Nov09 Sep18 Aug28 Aug06 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 3.00    
5  JUST PICK IT UP Nov29 Nov04       (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
6  MORE ACTION Dec08         (lavanway day)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 7% 14.10    
7  LAZARUS COME FORTH Nov30 Feb26 Feb10 Jan19   (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
8  ROMEO'S GLORY Nov29 Nov08 Sep14 Aug25 Aug10 (silva pabl)LEON A 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
9  SHORT RIB Dec08 Oct30 Oct15 Oct07 Sep09 (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 34% 2.00    
10  DOUBLE THE GOLD Nov29 Nov14 Oct07 Sep09 Jul30 (crotts james )VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
 
TUP-10   12/19/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS OF MALIBU Nov29 Nov07 Sep03 Jul13 Jun23 (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00    
2  TED'S CANDY GIRL Nov28         (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 20.00    
3  FLY ROBYN FLY Nov28 Nov15 Sep17 Aug27 Jul15 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
4  GOLDEN SUN DROPS Jan26 Jan06       (vitali marc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 6% 17.10    
5  VERY SCARY Nov29 Nov06 Oct08 Sep02   (kruljac ian)CORBETT W 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
6  KEEPMEINPOWER Nov28 Oct21 Sep24 Aug27 Jul15 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 ★    
7  BARBIE WARS Nov29 Nov07 Sep29 Sep14 Jul24 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
8  IMPECCABLE TASTE Nov28         (rollins scott)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
9  FIRST IMPRESSION Nov29 Jul02       (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 8.00    
10  REAL GOOD VYBZ May14 Apr24 Apr15 Mar17 Mar05 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.