Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - December 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   12/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:224 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPTED MISSION 7 4 42 4¼   3 1¼ (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 13% 6.80 2.80 W
TWICE FOOLED 5 6 6 5½   4 2¼ (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50 39% 1.60 5.60 P
PRECEDENT 2 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 3 (gleason m)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00 13.60 S
ROYAL JOKER 4 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 4 (schnell don)CORBETT W 121 5.00 16% 5.30 9.00  
BET ON DAD 6 3 3 3.2   54 5 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 8% 11.50 3.60  
TENTH STREET DON 1 7 7 62   6 6 (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 1.20  
ROBIN'S EMPIRE 3 5 5 7   712½ 718¾ (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 10.00 47.60  
 
TUP-2   12/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE AND EFFECT 3 4 5 5   5 11 (wheeler travi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 4.40  
OLDER BROTHER 4 5 4 4   21 21 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 14% 6.30 0.50 P
TIM'S BUDDY 5 3 3.2 2nk   11 3 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 19% 4.10 2.70 S
NEVADAN 1 1 1nk 3.2   31 4 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 4.00 31% 2.20 8.60  
WHOS DALLINS DADDY 2 2 2nk 1nk   4 512 (potts ashley )CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.50 12.00  
SCR  DEVIL'S TEETH               (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  MY LITTLE TAYLOR               (lucas robert )MARTI ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
 
TUP-3   12/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMOUS ROCK STAR 2 3 1½ 1   13 1 (villamar cande)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 19% 4.30 2.20 W
11  PASSED BY PAUL 10 10 108 7   76 2 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 23% 3.40 2.70 P
TUMAC MOUNTAIN 3 8 4 4   23 34 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 4.70  
STARZAN 7 4 3 3   6 4 (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00 32.40  
MORETHANSOULTITLE 6 9 9 89   54 5 (eidschun gregor)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 7.20  
MO GEE 8 5 56 57   8 66 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5% 17.80 18.10  
EPIC DRAMA 5 2 2½ 2   3 7 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 24% 3.10 5.80  
EXHILARATOR 4 6 6 6   44 8 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00 22.60  
ECHO ALPHA SIX 1 7 8 911   98 9 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 10.60  
10  LOST THE MINISTER 9 1 77 1012   1014 1015 (crotts e)CARRENO J 124 20.00 25.90  
SCR  CREST DRIVE               (baze lisa)VERGARA P 124 20.00    
 
TUP-4   12/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 2 F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:22 :46       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAISLEY'S VISION 4 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 3.00 29% 2.40 0.80 W
TOP HAT TIGRESS 9 9 68 7   6 2 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 10.00 12% 7.60 7.40 P
10  THE COMRIE RULE 10 4 5 56   33 3 (silva rodrig)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 8.00 10.90 S
LOTSA LOU 6 1 3 4   43 46 (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00 19.00  
AUTISM EXCELLENCE 1 6 7 68   7 56 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 23.30  
DAHLIA'S DANCER 2 3 1½ 2nk   2½ 6 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00 5.80  
11  WEST COAST ANDY 11 5 43 32   5 7 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 20.00 78.00  
GOLDEN RACHEL 3 7 811½ 1114¾   8 89 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 22% 3.40 21.10  
SWISS WHISKEY 5 8 1013½ 1014¾   1011¼ 910¼ (axmaker w)CORBETT W 121 8.00 20.00  
REASON TWO LIVE 8 11 913 812   910¼ 1010¾ (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 20.00 ######  
RUNAWAY ANNIE 7 10 1114 914½   1113¼ 1112¼ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 10.00 12% 7.20 4.90  
 
TUP-5   12/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:461 1:101 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC CANDY 1 1 1 1½ 1nk 1 1¾ (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 27% 2.70 2.30 W
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) 5 6 6 5 3 33 2¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 4.40 P
RIVER ROSE 2 3 2 2½ 2nk 2 3¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 26% 2.90 1.20 S
PALACE PRINCE 7 2 5 64 6 5 4 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 5.30  
OF GOOD REPORT 6 5 4 42 5 4 5 (ruiz lorenz)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 9.60  
MANY ROSES 3 4 32 32 43 65 6 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 4.50 6% 15.20 15.00  
WRAPPED 4 7 710½ 712 714¾ 725 734¼ (lavanway days)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 68.60  
SCR  VICTORY BOULEVARD               (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 6% 16.70    
 
TUP-6   12/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:111 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD BYE PUTIN 6 9 7 5 3 3½ 12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 1.00  
BLESSED JOURNEY 1 7 8 85 43 4 22 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 4.50 16% 5.20 4.20 P
CALIBOGEE 9 6 3 3.2 1nk 2½ 3 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 18% 4.70 4.40 S
EROTIC 4 3 2½ 1nk 2nk 1½ 4 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 25% 2.90 4.60  
RUN TAPPY 8 10 10 98 57 57 5 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 5% 18.90 65.00  
REALLY SLOW 5 4 6 6 6 611 616¼ (brown jared)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00 12.40  
MILORDS OATHKEEPER 2 2 1½ 2nk 7 711½ 718 (lucarelli frank)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 11% 7.70 12.20  
INCLUDE HOO 3 8 9 10 1010 918 821¾ (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00 ######  
GONE SOMEWHERE 7 5 44 7 98 817½ 922 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 25.80  
10  COMMAND SGT MAJOR 10 1 54 4 8 1019½ 1023¼ (essex charles)ROSALES G 124 20.00 54.20  
SCR  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND               (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
SCR  NORTHERN QUEST (FR)               (wheeler travis)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
 
TUP-7   12/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:22
See original race card.
:214 :451 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGN OF FIRE 6 1 24 2   2 13 (silva l)LEON A 124 6.00 2.30  
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 7 6 67 67   4 23 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 17% 4.80 2.90 P
12  SONGOFTHEDESERT 10 2 14 1   1 3 (reyes nor)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00 9.70 S
SHESAHEATWAVE 4 4 46 57   6 4 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 6.80  
MEAN SHARON 2 10 56 46   57 510 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 4.50  
APRILINTHEPINES 5 5 78 7   78 610½ (martinez a)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 13.10  
MULLIGAN 3 3 3 3   3 710¾ (villamar candelario)CARRENO J 124 15.00 5.00  
TWIRLY GIRL 1 7 811 812½   811 811¼ (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 65.30  
11  BONITA RAPIDS 9 8 911¼ 914   912½ 912¾ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 20.00 23.60  
10  MY EXPRESSION 8 9 1012¼ 1015½   1015½ 1016 (fulmer drew)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 48.90  
SCR  BEAU ROCKS               (nunnally jennife)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  TIMBERLAKE GAGE               (baze lisa)VERGARA P 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-8   12/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:453 1:103 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRANCE 4 6 610 6 31 21 1hd (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.00 28% 2.60 1.40 W
GYPSY WIFE 1 8 812¼ 78 4 31 2hd (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 6% 16.00 5.60 P
TALES OF MAKENNA 5 7 57 3 2nk 11 3 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 23% 3.40 3.60 S
A THOUSAND DREAMS 7 4 4 55 5 4 4 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 4.80  
DIPLOMATICA 2 2 34 4 7 6 5 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 119 10.00 8% 11.50 19.20  
FAST TO FORTUNE 8 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 5 610¾ (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 12% 7.20 5.90  
QUEENS RANSOM 3 3 1nk 2nk 6 7 715 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00 8.20  
LOVE YA MOST 6 5 712 813½ 8 811¼ 820¾ (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00 49.00  
SCR  EBB AND FLOW               (lavanway days)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.