Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Monday - December 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   12/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TEMPTED MISSION   (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 13% 6.80 2.80 W
5  TWICE FOOLED   (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50 39% 1.60 5.60 P
2  PRECEDENT   (gleason m)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00 ★ 13.60 S
4  ROYAL JOKER   (schnell don)CORBETT W 121 5.00 16% 5.30 9.00  
6  BET ON DAD   (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 8% 11.50 3.60  
1  TENTH STREET DON   (cerin vladi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 1.20  
3  ROBIN'S EMPIRE   (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 10.00 47.60  
 
TUP-2   12/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAUSE AND EFFECT   (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 ★ 4.40  
5  OLDER BROTHER   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 14% 6.30 0.50 P
6  TIM'S BUDDY   (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 19% 4.10 2.70 S
2  NEVADAN   (asprino alfr)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 4.00 31% 2.20 8.60  
3  WHOS DALLINS DADDY   (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.50 12.00  
SCR  DEVIL'S TEETH   (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  MY LITTLE TAYLOR   (lucas rober)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
 
TUP-3   12/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FAMOUS ROCK STAR   (villamar can)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 19% 4.30 2.20 W
11  PASSED BY PAUL   (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 23% 3.40 2.70 P
4  TUMAC MOUNTAIN   (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 4.70  
8  STARZAN   (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00 32.40  
7  MORETHANSOULTITLE   (eidschun greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 7.20  
9  MO GEE   (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5% 17.80 18.10  
6  EPIC DRAMA   (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 24% 3.10 5.80  
5  EXHILARATOR   (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00 22.60  
1  ECHO ALPHA SIX   (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 ★ 10.60  
10  LOST THE MINISTER   (crotts e)CARRENO J 124 20.00 25.90  
SCR  CREST DRIVE   (baze lisa)VERGARA P 124 20.00    
 
TUP-4   12/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 2 F PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PAISLEY'S VISION   (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 3.00 29% 2.40 0.80 W
9  TOP HAT TIGRESS   (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 10.00 12% 7.60 7.40 P
10  THE COMRIE RULE   (silva rodr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 8.00 ★ 10.90 S
6  LOTSA LOU   (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00 19.00  
1  AUTISM EXCELLENCE   (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 23.30  
2  DAHLIA'S DANCER   (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00 5.80  
11  WEST COAST ANDY   (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 20.00 78.00  
3  GOLDEN RACHEL   (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 22% 3.40 21.10  
5  SWISS WHISKEY   (axmaker w)CORBETT W 121 8.00 20.00  
8  REASON TWO LIVE   (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 20.00 ######  
7  RUNAWAY ANNIE   (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 10.00 12% 7.20 4.90  
 
TUP-5   12/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATOMIC CANDY   (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 27% 2.70 2.30 W
5  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS)   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★ 4.40 P
2  RIVER ROSE   (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 26% 2.90 1.20 S
8  PALACE PRINCE   (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 5.30  
6  OF GOOD REPORT   (ruiz lore)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 9.60  
3  MANY ROSES   (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 4.50 6% 15.20 15.00  
4  WRAPPED   (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 68.60  
SCR  VICTORY BOULEVARD   (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 6% 16.70    
 
TUP-6   12/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GOOD BYE PUTIN   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 1.00  
1  BLESSED JOURNEY   (silva pabl)LEON A 124 4.50 16% 5.20 4.20 P
9  CALIBOGEE   (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 18% 4.70 4.40 S
4  EROTIC   (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 25% 2.90 4.60  
8  RUN TAPPY   (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 5% 18.90 65.00  
5  REALLY SLOW   (brown jared)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00 12.40  
2  MILORDS OATHKEEPER   (lucarelli fra)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 11% 7.70 12.20  
3  INCLUDE HOO   (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00 ######  
7  GONE SOMEWHERE   (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 25.80  
10  COMMAND SGT MAJOR   (essex charles)ROSALES G 124 20.00 54.20  
SCR  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND   (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
SCR  NORTHERN QUEST (FR)   (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
 
TUP-7   12/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  REIGN OF FIRE   (silva l)LEON A 124 6.00 2.30  
9  CLUBHOUSE SAINT   (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 17% 4.80 2.90 P
12  SONGOFTHEDESERT   (reyes n)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00 9.70 S
5  SHESAHEATWAVE   (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 6.80  
3  MEAN SHARON   (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 ★ 4.50  
6  APRILINTHEPINES   (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 13.10  
4  MULLIGAN   (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 124 15.00 5.00  
2  TWIRLY GIRL   (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 65.30  
11  BONITA RAPIDS   (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 20.00 23.60  
10  MY EXPRESSION   (fulmer drew)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 48.90  
SCR  BEAU ROCKS   (nunnally jenni)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  TIMBERLAKE GAGE   (baze lisa)VERGARA P 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-8   12/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRANCE   (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.00 28% 2.60 1.40 W
1  GYPSY WIFE   (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 6% 16.00 5.60 P
6  TALES OF MAKENNA   (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 23% 3.40 3.60 S
8  A THOUSAND DREAMS   (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 4.80  
2  DIPLOMATICA   (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 119 10.00 8% 11.50 19.20  
9  FAST TO FORTUNE   (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 12% 7.20 5.90  
3  QUEENS RANSOM   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00 8.20  
7  LOVE YA MOST   (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00 49.00  
SCR  EBB AND FLOW   (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.