Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Monday - December 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   12/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENTH STREET DON Nov05 Oct23 Jul09 May21 Apr16 (cerin vladi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50    
PRECEDENT Nov05 Oct15 Sep17 Sep01 Aug11 (gleason m)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00    
ROBIN'S EMPIRE Dec01 Oct06       (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 10.00    
ROYAL JOKER         (schnell don)CORBETT W 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
TWICE FOOLED         (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
BET ON DAD Dec01         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 8% 11.50    
TEMPTED MISSION Dec01 Nov09       (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-2   12/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY LITTLE TAYLOR Dec16 Oct09 Oct02 Sep09 Aug26 (lucas rober)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
NEVADAN Apr25 Mar15 Feb15 Jan20 Jan12 (asprino alfr)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
WHOS DALLINS DADDY Dec13 Nov09 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.50    
CAUSE AND EFFECT Dec01 Nov04 Sep17 Sep10 Aug29 (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
OLDER BROTHER Oct23 Sep17 Aug28 Aug10 May20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
TIM'S BUDDY Dec15 Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 May02 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  DEVIL'S TEETH Dec10 Nov26 Nov09 Aug19 Jan17 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
 
TUP-3   12/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO ALPHA SIX Dec10 Nov21 Jul27 Jul07 Jun15 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
FAMOUS ROCK STAR Dec01 Nov05 Sep17 Sep10 Aug20 (villamar can)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  CREST DRIVE Dec10 Nov19 Nov09 Sep17 Jun24 (baze lisa)VERGARA P 124 20.00    
TUMAC MOUNTAIN Dec10 Nov26 Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00    
EXHILARATOR Dec13 Nov21 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
EPIC DRAMA Nov09 Sep07 Aug11 Jul07 Jun09 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
MORETHANSOULTITLE Dec13 Nov30 Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 (eidschun greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00    
STARZAN Nov19 Nov09 Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
MO GEE Dec13 Nov15 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5% 17.80    
10  LOST THE MINISTER Dec13 Apr02 Mar05 Jan15 Jan09 (crotts e)CARRENO J 124 20.00    
11  PASSED BY PAUL Nov04 Oct01 Sep14 Sep03 Aug14 (hernandez migue)VALDEZ ALEX 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
TUP-4   12/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 2 F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTISM EXCELLENCE Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Sep25   (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00    
DAHLIA'S DANCER Dec10 Nov12 Sep05 Aug20   (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00    
GOLDEN RACHEL         (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 22% 3.40    
PAISLEY'S VISION Nov30 Nov04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug19 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
SWISS WHISKEY Dec15 Oct11       (axmaker w)CORBETT W 121 8.00    
LOTSA LOU Nov30 Sep19 Aug20     (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00    
RUNAWAY ANNIE         (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 10.00 12% 7.20    
REASON TWO LIVE Dec10 Nov12       (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 20.00    
TOP HAT TIGRESS Dec09 Nov18 Sep03 Aug20   (si)DA FAUSTO 121 10.00 12% 7.60    
10  THE COMRIE RULE Nov30 Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 Jul01 (silva rodr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 8.00    
11  WEST COAST ANDY Dec14 Nov30       (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 20.00    
 
TUP-5   12/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC CANDY Nov21 Nov05 Sep14 Sep07 Aug27 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
RIVER ROSE Dec08 Nov29 Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
MANY ROSES Sep23 Sep16 Aug26 Jul07 Apr11 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 4.50 6% 15.20    
WRAPPED Nov30 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 May21 (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Nov28 Nov12 Sep17 Aug31 Jul23 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
OF GOOD REPORT Dec11 Nov24 Oct10 Sep18 Aug20 (ruiz lore)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
SCR  VICTORY BOULEVARD Oct26 Oct07 Sep22 Sep08 Aug26 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 6% 16.70    
PALACE PRINCE Dec08 Nov24 Nov05 Sep15 Sep01 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00    
 
TUP-6   12/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLESSED JOURNEY Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 Oct11 Sep25 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
MILORDS OATHKEEPER Nov29 Nov16 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 (lucarelli fran)ANAYA V 121 10.00 11% 7.70    
INCLUDE HOO Dec10 Nov29 Nov08 Sep19 Sep12 (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
EROTIC Nov29 Nov05 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 25% 2.90    
REALLY SLOW Dec08 Nov21 Oct28 Oct14 Sep19 (brown jared)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00    
GOOD BYE PUTIN Nov19 Nov04 Sep19 Jul01 May28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00    
GONE SOMEWHERE Nov30 Oct14 Oct08 Aug29 Aug06 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
RUN TAPPY Nov29 Nov16 Sep05 Aug22 Jul10 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 5% 18.90    
CALIBOGEE Nov28 Sep12 Aug08 Jul16 Jun27 (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
10  COMMAND SGT MAJOR Nov19 Sep03 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 (es)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
SCR  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Dec10 Nov21 Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
SCR  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Dec10 Nov21 Nov05 Oct01 Sep03 (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
 
TUP-7   12/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIMBERLAKE GAGE Oct15 Oct10 Aug27 Aug20 Jul04 (baze lisa)VERGARA P 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
TWIRLY GIRL Dec15 Nov15 Jul04 Apr27 Apr14 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
MEAN SHARON Dec15 Nov23 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00    
MULLIGAN Sep10 Aug22 Aug01 Jun25 May27 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 124 15.00    
SHESAHEATWAVE Sep03 Jun25 May28 May13 Apr20 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
APRILINTHEPINES Nov14 Sep20 Aug28 Jul25 Jul11 (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
REIGN OF FIRE Nov14 Nov05 Sep03 Aug08 Jan06 (silva l)LEON A 124 6.00    
SCR  BEAU ROCKS Nov14 Oct15 Oct10 Sep18 Sep03 (nunnally jenni)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00 6% 16.40    
CLUBHOUSE SAINT Nov19 Sep26 Aug30 Aug22 Jul25 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
10  MY EXPRESSION Nov28 Nov05 May22 Apr14 Mar15 (fulmer drew)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00    
11  BONITA RAPIDS Nov21 Oct10 Sep15 Aug11 Jul30 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 20.00    
12  SONGOFTHEDESERT Nov14 Sep10 Aug22 Aug08 Apr28 (reyes n)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   12/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSY WIFE Nov20 Oct21 Jan06     (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 6% 16.00    
DIPLOMATICA Dec01 Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 119 10.00 8% 11.50    
QUEENS RANSOM Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Aug15 Jul23 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00    
SCR  EBB AND FLOW Sep08 Aug31 Aug12 Jul04 Jun25 (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
PRANCE Dec13 Nov12 Aug06 Jul17 Jun22 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
TALES OF MAKENNA Oct19 Sep27 Aug17 May06   (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
LOVE YA MOST Sep17 Aug29 Apr05 Mar07 Feb09 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00    
A THOUSAND DREAMS Nov12 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jun12 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
FAST TO FORTUNE Dec13 Nov12 Sep11 Aug21   (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.