Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Zia Park
Wednesday - November 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   11/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
1:003         1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE SAMURAI 7 4 53 53   32 1¾ (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 123 10.00 12% 7.70 5.60 W
MINDOFMYOWN 8 8 3 2½   1½ 2¾ (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 1.00 28% 2.60 1.10 P
ALLIE'S PAL 2 1 11 1½   2½ 3 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 19% 4.30 1.20 S
IMGOINOUTTONIGHT 6 5 65 6   5 45 (cappellucci)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 38.80  
ATHENA'S STORM 4 3 4 4   43 5 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 6.00 26.50  
HEY ROXY 5 7 7 7   6 6 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 15.00 41.60  
ROBTHEQUEEN 3 6 8 8   88 715¼ (barrios bernadet)CHAVEZ R 123 20.00 75.60  
PEARL DRAGON 1 2 21 32   7 819¼ (smith pa)BENN J 123 12.00 17% 4.80 13.00  
 
ZIA-2   11/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:132     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIABOLICAL RULER 3 1 1½ 1nk   11 1 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.40 31% 2.20 0.50 W
STRYDER 6 5 2½ 2nk   21 2 (rojero luis)SCRIVER L 123 6.00 15% 5.60 4.20 P
SCOTTY WHO 4 2 3½ 3.2   3 36 (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 123 4.50 30% 2.40 8.00 S
COLOR ME GONE 5 4 41 5   54 4 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.50 7.30  
HENRY ON THE RUN 1 3 5 4¾   43 5 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00 10.10  
HIT A NOTE 2 6 6 610¼   612 620½ (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00 14.80  
SCR  IMATBTHTWHTSHESAID               (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 30.00    
SCR  PULPITS FOX               (esparza s)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-3   11/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:221 :462       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE FIREWATER 3 4 4 3   3½ 1¼ (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30 W
BYE BYE MATTY P 7 3 32 42   2nk 2¼ (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.00 5.50  
DANZ AT COLFAX 6 1 1nk 2½   1nk 3¾ (morale)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 3.00 11% 8.30 3.00 S
RISKY REVENGE 9 6 5 63   42 42 (gonzales joel)JUAREZ J 123 20.00 14.60  
MR GOLD MAN 8 9 7 74   6 5 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 12.00 11.60  
DESERT REWARD 2 8 8 86   85 6 (marr h)FUENTES A 123 8.00 6.10  
LIFE JACKET 4 5 6 53   74 78 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00 40.70  
WHEREDOESTHECASHGO 5 2 2nk 1½   53 810¼ (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 2.00 64% 0.60 1.80  
MAJORWAYHOME 1 7 9 98   9 913 (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00 33.90  
 
ZIA-4   11/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:233 :48       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREDIT CARD FRAUD 6 4 2½ 2½   1nk 1 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50 2.80  
CYNICAL GIRL 8 2 6 3   2nk 2 (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 11% 8.20 11.20 P
FAST AND FEVEROUS 1 8 4 5   42 3 (cross gary)CEBALLOS F 121 10.00 17.30  
REAL ME 3 1 1½ 1½   3½ 4 (munoz guadal)FUENTES A 121 20.00 7% 12.90 3.80  
SHAKE RAG 4 7 8 7   64 5 (van robe)CHAVEZ R 123 15.00 56.70  
DIAMOND ONTHE TOE 7 6 74 64   7 6 (smith a)SALAZAR TERESA 116 15.00 28.40  
OUR TEN ANGELS 5 5 3½ 42   5 7 (valdez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 1.20 30% 2.40 1.10  
DANIEL'S GIRL 2 3 52 85   86 811 (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00 12% 7.00 8.20  
SCR  RAPPERS THIEF               (chavez alej)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00 18% 4.40    
 
ZIA-5   11/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:584         :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO APPEAL 4 1 3 3   22 1½ (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 123 3.50 33% 2.10 3.40 W
SEEULATERGATOR 8 3 11 11   12 2½ (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 1.20 33% 2.00 0.30 P
SHANGHAI MIKE 5 6 55 5   35 3 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00 8% 10.80 12.10 S
WILD FIREMAKER 7 4 21 21   4 410 (chavez j)BENN J 123 15.00 40.30  
ZESTY JAZZMAN 6 5 44 6   68 511½ (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 30.00 ######  
SALTIE FIRE 3 2 65 44   57 612½ (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 31.50  
OKIE CITY 2 7 715 715½   733 744 (smith )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00 36.00  
COYSTER 1 8 827 827½   842 853¼ (williams stev)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 8.40  
SCR  LANGUAGE BARRIER               (roman manue)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 12.00    
 
ZIA-6   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
1:123         1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMAICA JOY 3 5 4 2nk   1 1 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 3.50 9% 10.10 2.40 W
BELLE REBELLE 5 4 52 41   33 2 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 26% 2.80 2.00 P
MISS LUCKY LADY 2 7 7 64   5 3 (cross gary)CEBALLOS F 121 15.00 25.40  
TAP ME A TEXT 6 6 63 52   4 4 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 2.50 40% 1.50 4.20  
NATION OF LAWS 7 1 1nk 1nk   2 5 (gonzalez andres)TOHILL S 121 6.00 4.40  
ELI DANCER 4 3 2nk 3½   67 620¾ (ashford r)SCRIVER L 121 4.50 4.80  
CHOCOLATE FRECKLES 1 2 31 7   712 730½ (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 33.90  
SCR  CHEERFUL SPENDER               (merrick d)JUAREZ J 123 20.00    
SCR  CUZ I CAN DARLING               (villalobos miguel)PEREZ A 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-7   11/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOS REALES 7 1 11 1½   11 1 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 12% 7.00 0.70 W
BOB'SALLWICKED 2 5 6 6   32 2 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00 8% 10.90 13.00 P
SMOKEN HOUDINI 3 7 76 7   5 3 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 20.00 10% 8.70 27.60 S
ABSTRACT KAT 5 2 3 41   63 45 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 5.00 3.30  
CHIPPSTER 1 6 5 31   42 5 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 6.00 12% 7.60 15.10  
MARK'S WARRIOR 6 4 42 2½   21 6 (munoz guada)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 15.10  
SPINNING RED 4 3 21 5   79 721½ (green g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 3.50 3.70  
SCR  C D POLDARC               (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  SIXTH GEAR               (douglas natalie)CHAVEZ R 123 8.00    
 
ZIA-8   11/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:223 :591         :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADEDTOTHESTARS 4 2 3½ 3½   1nk 11 (williams stev)JUAREZ J 123 15.00 9.40  
BONFIRE PARTY 2 3 1½ 1½   2nk 21 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00 21% 3.70 1.90 P
10  YES ITSA STAR 6 5 5 5   4 32 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00 45% 1.20 1.10 S
FEEL THE BERNING 5 6 6 64   52 4 (ashford r)SCRIVER L 123 10.00 5.20  
BISCUIT SNATCHER 1 1 4 2½   31 5 (rust terri)TOHILL S 123 10.00 11.30  
ROCKTHEPULPIT 3 4 2½ 41   6 6 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 12.00 10.70  
SCR  DOCTOR TINK               (armstrong sherry)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50 8% 12.00    
SCR  JORNALERO               (ascencio a)RODRIGUEZ H 123 8.00    
SCR  QUANTICO JOE               (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 120 5.00    
SCR  SATURNCLOUD               (loma p)CHAVEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  SILVER PONZI               (armstr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:15 1:281   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUBRONSKY 3 7 7 3.2 2½ 13 111 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 6.00 4.20  
FLAT FAST 1 5 6 6 3 23 211 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 9% 9.80 3.60 P
INQUISITEUR 9 3 5¾ 5¾ 1½ 3 311½ (marquez)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 11.50  
CHUCKIES CHANCE 5 2 3.2 4¼ 6 4 415 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 12.00 14.10  
RUN FOR MATTY 8 6 1nk 2nk 5 56 519¾ (chavez jose)VORRATH VALENTE 123 20.00 61.80  
11  ESTEEMED 10 10 8 8 86 6 620¼ (hone b)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 12.00 21.80  
DIGGER'S GOLD 2 9 9 9 9 910 720½ (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 4.00 6% 16.50 6.60  
CLIFTON PARK 6 8 10 1013¼ 1012½ 89 827½ (williams )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 12.00 25.90  
ARIMONY 4 1 4¾ 7 75 78 932¾ (armstrong sherry)MEDELLIN A 123 15.00 12.30  
LEATHERNECK 7 4 2nk 1nk 42 1012½ 1041¾ (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 5.00 60% 0.70 1.60  
SCR  FLICKERING LIGHT               (morales d)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 30.00    
SCR  NOT THAT SERIOUS               (morales danny)CHAVEZ R 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-10   11/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 35 M/F PT- 6:03
See original race card.
1:19         1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TRICKING TRIXIE 9 4 6 3.2   1nk 1¼ (muno)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 44.00  
11  CATTY DOM 10 5 7 4¾   3½ 2¼ (summers nancy)TOHILL S 123 5.00 4.60 P
HALEY WHO 5 6 21 6   4 3 (fincher tod)SCRIVER L 121 2.50 61% 0.60 0.50 S
12  ALLIE R 11 1 11 1nk   2nk 4 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 20.00 78.30  
INDIAN AFFAIR 8 9 5 5   64 510¼ (hudson )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 21.40  
SHESALLINCLUSIVE 6 10 10 9   7 613¼ (valdez-cabral )CEBALLOS F 121 20.00 66.20  
POW WOW 4 2 31 2nk   53 717½ (olguin ever)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
WHAT A MEMORY 3 3 9 1011¼   9 818¼ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 20.40  
HIGH ON WINS 7 7 4 7   8 919¾ (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00 22.10  
FANCY DIVA 2 11 1115½ 1115¼   1113¼ 1023½ (williams s)RODRIGUEZ H 123 12.00 67.60  
SHE'S ALL ATTITUDE 1 8 83 8   1011¼ 1128 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 6.00 7% 12.40 9.70  
SCR  SPACE GIRL               (quiroz fili)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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