The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - December 28, 2022

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Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

 
TUP-2   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
:223 :443 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RES IPSA LOQUITUR 3 2 1½ 1   15 16 (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 0.80  
CAUCUS RULES 6 1 2½ 2   25 26 (woolley l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 10.40  
TOIL AND TROUBLE 1 7 54 4   35 3(peery debbie)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 28% 2.60 2.70 S
EXECUTIVE ACTION 2 6 6 710½   610¾ 411½ (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 18.40  
WIND RIVER 7 3 3 3   48 511½ (person a)MAWING A 119 5.00 10.80  
POPS AWESOME 5 5 75 610½   510½ 612 (williams dewey)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 6.00 5.60  
TOOL TIME 4 4 4 59   711¼ 716 (palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 10.00 24% 3.10 12.80  
SCR  POVERTY BAY               (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
 
TUP-3   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
:241 :483 1:13 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF LOVE 1 2 11 11 12 12 1(metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 9% 10.00 4.60 W
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 4 3 3 33 22 22 2(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 38% 1.70 0.60 P
GOLD INCLUDED 2 5 57 55 57 437 (caraman michael)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 18.00  
BIG CYN 5 4 44 4 35 34(chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 8.00 7% 13.50 5.50  
Y NOT SIZZLE 3 1 21 21 4 517½ 524¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 2.60  
SCR  ALL NATIVE               (eidschun gregory)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
SCR  LADY PHYLLIS               (sanderson bruce)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.