Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - December 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOIL AND TROUBLE Sep02 Aug13 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (peery debbie)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  POVERTY BAY Dec01 Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
3  EXECUTIVE ACTION Dec08 Sep11 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 ★    
4  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Dec13 Nov19 Nov04 Sep05 Aug20 (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 ★    
5  TOOL TIME Nov04         (palma milto)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 10.00 24% 3.10    
6  POPS AWESOME Dec13 Nov25 Nov08 Jul16 Jun25 (wi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 6.00    
7  CAUCUS RULES Nov25 Oct10 Jul27 Jul07 Jun29 (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
8  WIND RIVER Dec08 Mar28 Feb22 Jan20   (person a)MAWING A 119 5.00    
 
TUP-3   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF LOVE Nov30 Nov19 Sep19 Aug21 Aug07 (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 9% 10.00    
2  GOLD INCLUDED Dec14 Sep27 Sep06 Aug20 Jul30 (caraman micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
3  Y NOT SIZZLE Nov30 Sep03 Aug14 Jul02 Jun12 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
4  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Dec19 Nov19 Nov04 Sep19 Sep12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  LADY PHYLLIS Nov30 Nov14 Nov04 Sep29 Aug28 (sanderson b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  ALL NATIVE Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Sep07 Aug24 (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 ★    
7  BIG CYN Dec10 Nov26 Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 8.00 7% 13.50    
 
TUP-4   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAMMERING LEMON Dec10 Nov30 Jun27 Apr12 Mar24 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00    
2  LIVE A GOOD LIFE Dec13 Oct16 Oct08 Sep11 Jun19 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 122 8.00 26% 2.80    
3  A GEM IS A GEM Dec13 Sep02 Aug01 Jul09 Jun27 (wheeler travi)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 20.00    
4  ELUSIVE LOVE Oct16 Oct10 Mar07 Feb13 Jan17 (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
5  MARK OF VALOR Dec13 Nov05 Sep08 Aug27 Aug11 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 20.00    
6  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR Dec13 Nov16 Oct22 Sep24 Aug23 (ortiz manue)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
7  FOREMAN Dec19 Nov29 Nov16 Nov05 Sep03 (silva jose )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.00    
8  ALPHABETICAL Dec02 Nov20 Oct30 Oct15 Oct07 (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 122 15.00    
9  TRACK BOUND Dec13 Nov23 Nov05 Sep14 Aug26 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
10  MINEHUNTER Dec13 Feb25 Jan26 Jan11   (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   12/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAVINA LANE Sep30 Sep23 Sep09 Aug27 Aug20 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 17% 4.70    
2  BUMPY CUP Dec17 Nov30       (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 6.00 9% 9.90    
3  FULL OF LIFE Aug06 Jul24 Jul08 Jun05 May08 (silva g)CARRENO J 121 3.50 25% 2.90    
4  KOVACS Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 Aug27 Aug11 (silva rodrigue)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 11% 7.70    
5  TRIBUTE TO AFLEET Dec02 Nov06 Oct21 Sep11 Aug26 (baze robert)ANAYA V 121 10.00    
6  BALI STAR Nov14 Sep23 Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 121 5.00 11% 8.20    
7  SYZSLAK Dec19 Nov30 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 (rumsey cor)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 10.00    
8  BEL RAGAZZO Dec14 Nov15 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 (villamar candel)LEON A 121 20.00    
9  MUSICAL GEM Dec08 Sep05 Aug22 Apr03 Mar11 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00    
10  ROCKED Dec14 Nov15 Sep09 Aug12 Jul24 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00    
 
TUP-6   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBS WILD Dec08 Nov07 Sep18     (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 11% 8.50    
2  CAPIAT         (ortiz manuel)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 12.00    
3  MONGOLIAN APPLE         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00    
4  REIGN OF SPEED Nov07 Oct15 Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 44% 1.30    
5  RESPECT THE UNION Sep18 Sep01       (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISTER MAFIOSO Dec08 Nov25 Sep18     (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00    
7  HENRIETTA MAE Dec14         (soto antonio)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 20.00    
8  THE GOLDEN EGG         (essex charles)VERGARA P 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
9  OUR BOY ROY         (peery debb)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00    
10  FLASHIN ACES Nov30         (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TELLER Nov29 Sep27 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 15.00    
2  JEDI WARRIOR Nov08 Oct01 Sep18 Aug28 Jul23 (blea jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 ★    
3  UPO Dec14 Nov21 Nov08 Sep09 Aug05 (rosales jorge)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  LINEMANS CHECK Dec10 Nov29 Nov08 Sep05 Aug20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 ★    
5  KALINE Oct07 Aug28 Aug19 Aug04 Jul02 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 6.00 ★    
6  I'M AN EIGHT Dec03 Sep08 Jun23 May29 Mar10 (moreno carl)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00    
7  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Dec10 Nov21 Nov05 Oct01 Sep03 (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
8  INDY MOON Dec13 Sep17 Aug14 Aug03   (blea jr)ENRIQUEZ D 124 20.00    
9  FINAL FINAL Dec10 Nov29 Nov07 Sep19 Sep10 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 49% 1.00    
10  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Dec10 Nov21 Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 (ortiz manuel)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   12/28/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THICK HAZE Nov28 Nov12 Sep10 Sep01 Jul16 (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 ★    
2  START A RUNNIN Dec10 Apr19 Mar30 Mar10 Feb01 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.50 11% 7.90    
3  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE) Dec04 Oct21 Sep17     (chambers mike)CORBETT W 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
4  FRANKS FIX IT Nov28 Nov05 Sep04 Aug07 Jul23 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
5  PROVOST Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 Sep24 Aug21 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00    
6  MIKE OPERATOR Nov23 Aug28 Aug05 Jul09 Jun24 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 16% 5.10    
7  MOVE OVER (GB) Dec20 Dec08 Nov21 Sep09 Aug07 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
8  MIAMI CROCKETT Nov21 Aug31 Aug17 Jun26 Jun04 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.