Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-5   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $6.40  
TUP-6   Win (5/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.40  
TUP-7   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TUP-8   Win (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $12.60  
TUP-9   Win (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.00  
TUP-10   Win (8/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $17.80 $17.80 9.80
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-5   01/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:223 :45 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  I AM FREAKY FAST 2 5 32 23   21 14½ (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 3.00 ★ 2.20  
8  I'M NOBLE 8 1 69 59   56 24½ (person a)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 5.30  
1  SIX SHOTS OF T 1 4 11 13   11 35¼ (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 5.40 DQ↓4
4  FLASHIN ACES 4 3 42½ 47   35½ 48¼ (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 37% 1.70 17.20 S
3  THE RONALD 3 8 712 69½   45½ 58¾ (buechler simon)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 29.70  
5  BURNIN VERNON 5 7 817 817   816 620¼ (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 6.00 ★ 6.20  
7  GRAZE STONE 7 6 53 710   712½ 724½ (gleason m)MAWING A 121 8.00 ★ 8.90  
6  AIR JOCK 6 2 21 33   611 826 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 34% 2.00 2.10  
 
TUP-6   01/05/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:103 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THICK HAZE 3 3 2nk 12 12 11½ 11¼ (martinez est)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 ★ 2.20  
1  MIKE OPERATOR 1 2 1nk 32 22 21½ 21¼ (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 14% 6.40 1.90 P
4  START A RUNNIN 4 4 54¾ 57¼ 45 33½ 32¼ (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 11% 7.80 2.40 S
7  FRANKS FIX IT 5 5 3.2 22 33½ 46 49½ (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 3.40  
2  MIAMI CROCKETT 2 1 42¼ 47 59 513 511¾ (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 9.50  
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB)               (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 1.60 36% 1.70    
SCR  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE)               (chambers mike)CORBETT W 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
 
TUP-7   01/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:213 :442       :503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIM'S BUDDY 1 3 22     2½ 11 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.60 W
6  FIRECRACKER STAND 6 2 12     1½ 21 (bullene michael)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 1.50  
2  JAZZ TOWN 2 5 35½     35 35 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00 ★ 9.50 S
3  DIAMOND WILLOW 3 1 47     47 45½ (valerio g)CARRENO J 124 8.00 ★ 6.20  
7  FIGHT ME 7 4 510½     59 510¼ (nelson amy)LEON A 124 10.00 45.40  
4  D K'S CROWN 4 6 714     613½ 611¾ (villamar ca)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 32% 2.10 4.10  
5  FOREVER GOLD 5 7 612     713½ 716½ (pott)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 6% 17.10 17.70  
 
TUP-8   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:113 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KALINE 3 4 44 45 32½ 21½ 12½ (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 6.00 ★ 5.30  
2  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN 2 2 1nk 11½ 12½ 11½ 22½ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 6% 16.30 5.30 P
7  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 7 3 66¾ 57 66 44 32¾ (ortiz s)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.50 13.50  
6  REALLY SLOW 6 7 710¼ 79 76½ 34 44¾ (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 33.20  
1  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 1 6 56½ 67½ 45 64¼ 55¼ (wheeler travis)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 5.50  
4  LINEMANS CHECK 4 1 2nk 21½ 55½ 76¼ 66¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 ★ 3.70  
8  FINAL FINAL 8 8 811¼ 89½ 87½ 87¼ 77½ (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 59% 0.70 1.30  
5  TALKIN MALICE 5 5 31 32½ 22½ 54¼ 88 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 18.40  
 
TUP-9   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:22
See original race card.
:222 :444 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RESPECT THE UNION 5 2 1nk 1nk   12½ 11½ (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 ★ 1.50  
8  THE GOLDEN EGG 8 1 3½ 32½   32½ 21½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 4.50 16% 5.40 7.30 P
4  MONGOLIAN APPLE 4 8 89¼ 78¼   55¼ 36 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00 27.90  
1  DEBS WILD 1 5 4¾ 45½   42¾ 46¼ (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 11% 8.30 3.00  
9  MISTER MAFIOSO 9 3 2nk 2nk   22½ 56½ (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 ★ 6.40  
6  CAPIAT 6 9 910¾ 911¾   78¼ 67¼ (ortiz s)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 12.00 29.20  
7  SMOKIN' GOOD TIME 7 4 62¼ 67¼   66¾ 79½ (lucarelli frank)ANAYA V 121 8.00 14.60  
3  OUR BOY ROY 3 7 78¼ 89¼   810¼ 810¾ (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 8.00 16.70  
2  REIGN OF SPEED 2 6 51¼ 55¾   913¾ 923¾ (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 46% 1.20 4.40  
 
TUP-10   01/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:223 :45 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BUMPY CUP 8 1 11½ 12   12½ 1nk (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 33% 2.10 7.90 W
1  ROCKED 1 9 54 53¼   22½ 2nk (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 ★ 3.70 P
4  RAVINA LANE 4 4 74¾ 65¼   33 32¾ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 18% 4.50 1.50 S
6  BALI STAR 6 3 43½ 43   55 44¼ (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 124 6.00 5.80  
3  TRUTH TO POWER 3 6 95¼ 89¾   78 55¼ (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 9% 10.40 10.80  
2  MUSICAL GEM 2 5 31½ 32   44½ 66¼ (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 124 8.00 12.40  
9  FULL OF LIFE 9 2 21½ 22   66 710¾ (silva gab)CARRENO J 124 10.00 9.10  
7  KOVACS 7 8 64½ 77¾   811 812 (silva rodrigu)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 12% 7.20 8.00  
5  TRIBUTE TO AFLEET 5 7 85¼ 912¼   913½ 913 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 6.00 35.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.