The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 05, 2023

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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TUP-5   01/05/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
:223 :45 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM FREAKY FAST 2 5 32 23   21 1(ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 3.00 2.20  
I'M NOBLE 8 1 69 59   56 2(person a)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 5.30  
SIX SHOTS OF T 1 4 11 13   11 3(metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 5.40 DQ↓4
FLASHIN ACES 4 3 4 47   34(belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 37% 1.70 17.20 S
THE RONALD 3 8 712 6   45(buechler j)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 29.70  
BURNIN VERNON 5 7 817 817   816 620¼ (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 6.00 6.20  
GRAZE STONE 7 6 53 710   712½ 724½ (gleason m)MAWING A 121 8.00 8.90  
AIR JOCK 6 2 21 33   611 826 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 34% 2.00 2.10  
 
TUP-6   01/05/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
:23 :462 1:103 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THICK HAZE 3 3 2nk 12 12 11(martinez esteban)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 2.20  
MIKE OPERATOR 1 2 1nk 32 22 22(rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 14% 6.40 1.90 P
START A RUNNIN 4 4 5 5 45 33(asprino alfredo)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 11% 7.80 2.40 S
FRANKS FIX IT 5 5 3.2 22 3 46 4(lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 3.40  
MIAMI CROCKETT 2 1 4 47 59 513 511¾ (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 9.50  
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB)               (silva pablo)DA FAUSTO 124 1.60 36% 1.70    
SCR  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE)               (chambers mike)CORBETT W 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
 
TUP-7   01/05/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
:213 :442       :503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIM'S BUDDY 1 3 22     2½ 11 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.60 W
FIRECRACKER STAND 6 2 12     1½ 21 (bullene michael)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 1.50  
JAZZ TOWN 2 5 3     35 35 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00 9.50 S
DIAMOND WILLOW 3 1 47     47 4(valerio g)CARRENO J 124 8.00 6.20  
FIGHT ME 7 4 510½     59 510¼ (nelson amy)LEON A 124 10.00 45.40  
D K'S CROWN 4 6 714     613½ 611¾ (villamar candelario)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 32% 2.10 4.10  
FOREVER GOLD 5 7 612     713½ 716½ (potts ann)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 6% 17.10 17.70  
 
TUP-8   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
:241 :473 1:113 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALINE 3 4 44 45 3 21(howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 6.00 5.30  
THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN 2 2 1nk 1 1 12(vitali j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 6% 16.30 5.30 P
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 7 3 6 57 66 44 3(ortiz sr)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.50 13.50  
REALLY SLOW 6 7 710¼ 79 7 34 4(brown jared)CARRENO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 33.20  
NORTHERN QUEST 1 6 5 6 45 65(wheeler travis)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 5.50  
LINEMANS CHECK 4 1 2nk 2 5 76(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 3.70  
FINAL FINAL 8 8 811¼ 8 8 87(evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 59% 0.70 1.30  
TALKIN MALICE 5 5 31 3 2 588 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 18.40  
 
TUP-9   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:22
:222 :444 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESPECT THE UNION 5 2 1nk 1nk   11(ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 1.50  
THE GOLDEN EGG 8 1 3½ 3   32(essex charles)CRUZ M 121 4.50 16% 5.40 7.30 P
MONGOLIAN APPLE 4 8 8 7   536 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00 27.90  
DEBS WILD 1 5 4¾ 4   44(lucarelli frank)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 11% 8.30 3.00  
MISTER MAFIOSO 9 3 2nk 2nk   25(baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 6.40  
CAPIAT 6 9 910¾ 911¾   76(ortiz sr)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 12.00 29.20  
SMOKIN' GOOD TIME 7 4 6 6   67(lucarelli frank)ANAYA V 121 8.00 14.60  
OUR BOY ROY 3 7 7 8   810¼ 810¾ (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 8.00 16.70  
REIGN OF SPEED 2 6 5 5   913¾ 923¾ (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 46% 1.20 4.40  
 
TUP-10   01/05/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
:223 :45 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUMPY CUP 8 1 1 12   11nk (hernandez l)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 33% 2.10 7.90 W
ROCKED 1 9 54 5   22nk (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 3.70 P
RAVINA LANE 4 4 7 6   33 3(diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 18% 4.50 1.50 S
BALI STAR 6 3 4 43   55 4(mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 124 6.00 5.80  
TRUTH TO POWER 3 6 9 8   78 5(kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 9% 10.40 10.80  
MUSICAL GEM 2 5 3 32   46(torres-casas j)CRUZ M 124 8.00 12.40  
FULL OF LIFE 9 2 2 22   66 710¾ (silva gabriel)CARRENO J 124 10.00 9.10  
KOVACS 7 8 6 7   811 812 (silva gabriel)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 12% 7.20 8.00  
TRIBUTE TO AFLEET 5 7 8 912¼   913½ 913 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 6.00 35.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.