Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-5   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-6   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-7   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-9   Win (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-10   Win (8/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-5   01/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX SHOTS OF T Dec08 Oct10 Sep10 Aug13 Jul17 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00    
2  I AM FREAKY FAST Apr28 Apr08       (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 3.00 ★    
3  THE RONALD Nov07         (buechler simon)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00    
4  FLASHIN ACES Nov30         (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 37% 1.70    
5  BURNIN VERNON         (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 6.00 ★    
6  AIR JOCK         (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
7  GRAZE STONE         (gleason m)MAWING A 121 8.00 ★    
8  I'M NOBLE Aug14         (person a)ZUNINO L 121 10.00    
 
TUP-6   01/05/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIKE OPERATOR Nov23 Aug28 Aug05 Jul09 Jun24 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 14% 6.40    
2  MIAMI CROCKETT Nov21 Aug31 Aug17 Jun26 Jun04 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00    
3  THICK HAZE Nov28 Nov12 Sep10 Sep01 Jul16 (martinez est)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 ★    
4  START A RUNNIN Dec10 Apr19 Mar30 Mar10 Feb01 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB) Dec20 Dec08 Nov21 Sep09 Aug07 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 1.60 36% 1.70    
SCR  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE) Dec04 Oct21 Sep17     (chambers mike)CORBETT W 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
7  FRANKS FIX IT Nov28 Nov05 Sep04 Aug07 Jul23 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   01/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIM'S BUDDY Dec26 Dec15 Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  JAZZ TOWN Nov25 Nov05 Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00 ★    
3  DIAMOND WILLOW Dec13 Nov16 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 (valerio g)CARRENO J 124 8.00 ★    
4  D K'S CROWN Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 Aug06 Jul18 (villamar ca)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  FOREVER GOLD Dec15 Nov08 Sep02 Jul29 Jul02 (pott)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 6% 17.10    
6  FIRECRACKER STAND Dec13 Nov09 Oct02 Sep25 Sep04 (bullene michael)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
7  FIGHT ME Dec15 Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 Aug08 (nelson amy)LEON A 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Dec10 Nov21 Nov05 Oct01 Sep03 (wheeler travis)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00    
2  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Dec22 Dec10 Sep18 Aug08 Jun18 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 6% 16.30    
3  KALINE Oct07 Aug28 Aug19 Aug04 Jul02 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 6.00 ★    
4  LINEMANS CHECK Dec10 Nov29 Nov08 Sep05 Aug20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 ★    
5  TALKIN MALICE Dec20 Apr26 Apr18 Mar24 Feb28 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
6  REALLY SLOW Dec26 Dec08 Nov21 Oct28 Oct14 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Dec10 Nov21 Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 (ortiz s)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.50    
8  FINAL FINAL Dec10 Nov29 Nov07 Sep19 Sep10 (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 59% 0.70    
 
TUP-9   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBS WILD Dec08 Nov07 Sep18     (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 11% 8.30    
2  REIGN OF SPEED Nov07 Oct15 Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 46% 1.20    
3  OUR BOY ROY         (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 8.00    
4  MONGOLIAN APPLE         (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00    
5  RESPECT THE UNION Sep18 Sep01       (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 ★    
6  CAPIAT         (ortiz s)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 12.00    
7  SMOKIN' GOOD TIME Dec08 Sep18       (lucarelli frank)ANAYA V 121 8.00    
8  THE GOLDEN EGG         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
9  MISTER MAFIOSO Dec08 Nov25 Sep18     (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-10   01/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKED Dec14 Nov15 Sep09 Aug12 Jul24 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 ★    
2  MUSICAL GEM Dec08 Sep05 Aug22 Apr03 Mar11 (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
3  TRUTH TO POWER Dec13 Nov14 Sep12 Aug29 Aug06 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
4  RAVINA LANE Sep30 Sep23 Sep09 Aug27 Aug20 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
5  TRIBUTE TO AFLEET Dec02 Nov06 Oct21 Sep11 Aug26 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 6.00    
6  BALI STAR Nov14 Sep23 Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
7  KOVACS Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 Aug27 Aug11 (silva rodrigu)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 12% 7.20    
8  BUMPY CUP Dec17 Nov30       (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 33% 2.10    
9  FULL OF LIFE Aug06 Jul24 Jul08 Jun05 May08 (silva gab)CARRENO J 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.