Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $20.60 $14.60 243%
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-5 $23.30 $11.30 94%
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/2/7)-(5/3/6/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-5-3 $28.45 $10.45 58%
TUP-6   EXA (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-1 $22.90 $6.90 43%
    TRI (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5/1)-(6/4/3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-1-4 $43.15 $19.15 80%
    SFT (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5/1)-(6/4/3/5/1)-(6/4/3/5/1) 96 $0.10 $9.60  6-1-4-5 $45.24 $35.64 371%
TUP-7   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $12.00 $4.00 50%
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-7 $21.10 $5.10 32%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:222 :443       :504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BIG BLUE NOTE 5 1 16     17 14¾ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 ★ 0.40  
3  KEEPINMYPROMISE 2 3 36     37½ 24¾ (pierce mi)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
1  YELLEN 1 2 26     27 37¼ (toye joe)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 2.00 ★ 2.50 S
5  MY CLASSY WIFE 4 5 510     411 48¼ (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 62% 0.60 21.50  
4  DELAWARE DESTINY 3 4 47½     513 59 (guillen rigobe)ANAYA V 122 6.00 5.40  
SCR  A WHOLE LOTTA HULA               (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-3   01/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:213 :442 :56     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUR BOY ROY 5 1 11½ 12½   16 18½ (pe)DA FAUSTO 121 10.00 8.90  
2  SUGAR SHANE 1 5 31½ 22½   26 28½ (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 121 5.00 9% 10.40 5.60 P
4  MONGOLIAN APPLE 3 6 56 58½   510 38¾ (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00 16% 5.30 3.40 S
8  HE'S A FLYIN 7 2 21½ 33½   38 411½ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00 26.80  
3  SPECIAL MOMENT 2 7 43 45   410 511¾ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 46% 1.20 1.30  
7  LITTLE AXE SOUL 6 3 613 617½   630 623½ (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 12.00 34.50  
5  MISTER MAFIOSO 4 4 7100 7100   7100 7100 (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 ★ 2.40  
SCR  MY KACEJJ               (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:212 :433       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOTERO 6 6 56½ 56¼   46¼ 1¼ (soto antonio)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 7% 13.90 9.30 W
5  LONELY PRIVATE 5 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 2¼ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 60% 0.70 1.10 P
3  GOOD BYE CHARLIE 3 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 31¼ (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 8% 11.10 1.10 S
4  EL MAESTRO 4 7 78½ 77¾   66¾ 45¼ (buffalo marvin)MAWING A 122 5.00 12.90  
7  PERFECT FANNY 7 5 31½ 32½   36 56½ (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 ★ 11.30  
1  NEW EVERY MORNING 1 4 68 66¼   56¾ 66½ (villamar can)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 26.90  
2  MYSTICAL IMAGE 2 2 44½ 46   77¼ 76¾ (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 122 6.00 ★ 20.10  
 
TUP-5   01/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:102 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MAD LUTHER 6 2 1½ 1½ 11½ 14 13¾ (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 2.70  
3  UPO 1 5 31½ 43 45½ 45 23¾ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 8.00 6% 15.90 2.10 P
7  PALACE PRINCE 4 3 64½ 55½ 57 56½ 34 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 5.40  
10  FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM 7 1 2½ 2½ 31½ 34 46 (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 ★ 5.90  
6  EROTIC 3 4 41½ 3½ 21½ 24 56 (evans justin)LEON A 124 6.00 2.50  
4  VINTAGE KITTEN 2 7 79 612½ 612 611½ 69 (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 ★ 11.70  
8  IMISSBAYMEADOWS 5 6 53 714 724 729½ 730¼ (fearon )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 40.70  
SCR  MY CALL               (moreno car)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00    
SCR  START A RUNNIN               (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  UNCLE JEFF               (cerin vla)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
 
TUP-6   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:101 1:223   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PERFECT COME BACK 5 2 41¼ 42 2nk 1nk 1¼ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 26% 2.80 2.40 W
2  GOOD BYE PUTIN 2 5 51¼ 52¼ 51¼ 31½ 2¼ (evans justin)LEON A 124 3.00 0.80 DQ↓6
1  DYNAMIC RULER 1 1 1nk 3½ 1nk 2nk 32 (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 ★ 6.50 P
4  SHOTGUN RIDER 3 6 31 2½ 3½ 45½ 45 (bullene michael)CRUZ M 124 4.50 24% 3.20 3.60 S
5  HEY SEQUOIA 4 4 613¼ 614¼ 68¼ 66½ 55½ (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 11% 7.80 16.50  
7  EL CHUMELITO 6 3 2nk 1½ 4¾ 56 67½ (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 40.50  
SCR  PAINT ME LUCKY               (he)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
 
TUP-7   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:41
See original race card.
:214 :443       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NEVADAN 5 2 1nk 1½   11½ 1¾ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 42% 1.40 5.00 W
7  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO 6 5 2nk 2½   21½ 2¾ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 20% 3.90 1.50 P
3  ZATTER 2 7 77 56   44 31½ (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 5.20  
4  ROUSING RUBBLE 3 4 3½ 31   31½ 41¾ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 3.50 5% 19.00 2.60  
8  MO GEE 7 6 55 66   55½ 53½ (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 ★ 32.20  
5  LIMITED OFFER 4 1 41½ 44   67 65½ (blea jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 6.60 DQ↓7
1  D K'S CROWN 1 3 66 77½   711 712¼ (villamar candel)LEON A 124 12.00 8.50  
SCR  TAINO HOUSE               (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 12% 7.70    
 
TUP-8   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:103 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GYPSY WIFE 10 10 914¼ 97¼ 64¼ 4¼ 1¼ (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 6.00 10.80  
8  IF YOU WANT IT 8 8 87¼ 75¼ 74½ 5½ 2¼ (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 6% 17.00 5.20 P
5  PRANCE 5 5 51¾ 41¾ 42¼ 1nk 31½ (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 2.70  
7  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 7 7 64¼ 62¼ 52¼ 72 44¾ (van ta)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 11% 7.90 7.50  
1  LADY NOGUEZ 1 9 1014¾ 107½ 96 82½ 54¾ (cerin vla)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 23% 3.40 2.30  
3  CIDSTAYINURLAINE 3 3 1nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 65¾ (axmaker w)MAWING A 122 15.00 15.80  
2  MS SALLY 2 4 41½ 51¾ 86 93½ 76½ (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 17.20  
9  QUEEN OF LOVE 9 2 3½ 3.2 32 62 810¾ (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
4  MISS AGGIE BLING 4 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 3.2 913½ (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 30% 2.30 10.50  
6  DADDY'S GIRL 6 6 74¾ 85¾ 1012 1018½ 1029½ (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 122 15.00 17.10  
SCR  BORN TO REIGN               (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
SCR  WEGOTTODRINKING               (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.