Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $2.80  
TUP-3   Win (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $19.80  
TUP-4   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $20.60 $20.60 14.60
TUP-5   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $7.40  
TUP-6   Win (6/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
TUP-7   Win (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 4.00
TUP-8   Win (4/1/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $23.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:222 :443       :504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BLUE NOTE 5 1 16     17 1 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 0.40  
KEEPINMYPROMISE 2 3 36     3 2 (pierce mich)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
YELLEN 1 2 26     27 3 (toye joe)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 2.00 2.50 S
MY CLASSY WIFE 4 5 510     411 4 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 62% 0.60 21.50  
DELAWARE DESTINY 3 4 4     513 59 (guillen rigobert)ANAYA V 122 6.00 5.40  
SCR  A WHOLE LOTTA HULA               (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 2.50    
 
TUP-3   01/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:213 :442 :56     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR BOY ROY 5 1 1 1   16 1 (peer)DA FAUSTO 121 10.00 8.90  
SUGAR SHANE 1 5 3 2   26 2 (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 121 5.00 9% 10.40 5.60 P
MONGOLIAN APPLE 3 6 56 5   510 3 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00 16% 5.30 3.40 S
HE'S A FLYIN 7 2 2 3   38 411½ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00 26.80  
SPECIAL MOMENT 2 7 43 45   410 511¾ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 46% 1.20 1.30  
LITTLE AXE SOUL 6 3 613 617½   630 623½ (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 12.00 34.50  
MISTER MAFIOSO 4 4 7100 7100   7100 7100 (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 2.40  
SCR  MY KACEJJ               (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:212 :433       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOTERO 6 6 5 5   4 1¼ (soto antonio)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 7% 13.90 9.30 W
LONELY PRIVATE 5 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 2¼ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 60% 0.70 1.10 P
GOOD BYE CHARLIE 3 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 3 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 8% 11.10 1.10 S
EL MAESTRO 4 7 7 7   6 4 (buffalo marvin)MAWING A 122 5.00 12.90  
PERFECT FANNY 7 5 3 3   36 5 (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 11.30  
NEW EVERY MORNING 1 4 68 6   5 6 (villamar cande)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 26.90  
MYSTICAL IMAGE 2 2 4 46   7 7 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 122 6.00 20.10  
 
TUP-5   01/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:102 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD LUTHER 6 2 1½ 1½ 1 14 1 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 2.70  
UPO 1 5 3 43 4 45 2 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 8.00 6% 15.90 2.10 P
PALACE PRINCE 4 3 6 5 57 5 34 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 5.40  
10  FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM 7 1 2½ 2½ 3 34 46 (vanwinkle d)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 5.90  
EROTIC 3 4 4 3½ 2 24 56 (evans justin)LEON A 124 6.00 2.50  
VINTAGE KITTEN 2 7 79 612½ 612 611½ 69 (nunnally je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 11.70  
IMISSBAYMEADOWS 5 6 53 714 724 729½ 730¼ (fearon jo)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 40.70  
SCR  MY CALL               (moreno carlo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00    
SCR  START A RUNNIN               (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  UNCLE JEFF               (cerin vladi)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
 
TUP-6   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:101 1:223   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT COME BACK 5 2 4 42 2nk 1nk 1¼ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 26% 2.80 2.40 W
GOOD BYE PUTIN 2 5 5 5 5 3 2¼ (evans justin)LEON A 124 3.00 0.80 DQ↓6
DYNAMIC RULER 1 1 1nk 3½ 1nk 2nk 32 (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 6.50 P
SHOTGUN RIDER 3 6 31 2½ 3½ 4 45 (bullene michael)CRUZ M 124 4.50 24% 3.20 3.60 S
HEY SEQUOIA 4 4 613¼ 614¼ 6 6 5 (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 11% 7.80 16.50  
EL CHUMELITO 6 3 2nk 1½ 4¾ 56 6 (wheeler travis)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 40.50  
SCR  PAINT ME LUCKY               (hern)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
 
TUP-7   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:41
See original race card.
:214 :443       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVADAN 5 2 1nk 1½   1 1¾ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 42% 1.40 5.00 W
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO 6 5 2nk 2½   2 2¾ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 20% 3.90 1.50 P
ZATTER 2 7 77 56   44 3 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 5.20  
ROUSING RUBBLE 3 4 3½ 31   3 4 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 3.50 5% 19.00 2.60  
MO GEE 7 6 55 66   5 5 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 32.20  
LIMITED OFFER 4 1 4 44   67 6 (blea jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 6.60 DQ↓7
D K'S CROWN 1 3 66 7   711 712¼ (villamar candelar)LEON A 124 12.00 8.50  
SCR  TAINO HOUSE               (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 12% 7.70    
 
TUP-8   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:103 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GYPSY WIFE 10 10 914¼ 9 6 4¼ 1¼ (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 122 6.00 10.80  
IF YOU WANT IT 8 8 8 7 7 5½ 2¼ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 6% 17.00 5.20 P
PRANCE 5 5 5 4 4 1nk 3 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 2.70  
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 7 7 6 6 5 72 4 (van tayl)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 11% 7.90 7.50  
LADY NOGUEZ 1 9 1014¾ 10 96 8 5 (cerin vladi)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 23% 3.40 2.30  
CIDSTAYINURLAINE 3 3 1nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 6 (axmaker w)MAWING A 122 15.00 15.80  
MS SALLY 2 4 4 5 86 9 7 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 17.20  
QUEEN OF LOVE 9 2 3½ 3.2 32 62 810¾ (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
MISS AGGIE BLING 4 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 3.2 913½ (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 30% 2.30 10.50  
DADDY'S GIRL 6 6 7 8 1012 1018½ 1029½ (grissom w)ZUNINO L 122 15.00 17.10  
SCR  BORN TO REIGN               (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
SCR  WEGOTTODRINKING               (nunnally jennife)ANAYA V 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.