Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-2   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-3   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-6   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (4/1/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-2   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YELLEN Aug24 Jul22 Jun28 May31   (toye joe)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 2.00 ★    
SCR  A WHOLE LOTTA HULA Jan04 Dec21 Dec01 Nov19 Sep11 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 2.50 ★    
3  KEEPINMYPROMISE Dec19 Dec01 Nov19 Aug26 Jun17 (pierce mich)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DELAWARE DESTINY Jan04 Dec01 Oct05 Sep14 Aug30 (guillen rigobert)ANAYA V 122 6.00    
5  MY CLASSY WIFE Jan04 Nov15 Sep26     (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 62% 0.60    
6  BIG BLUE NOTE Jan04 Dec21 Nov19 Sep03 Jun19 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   01/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY KACEJJ         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  SUGAR SHANE Nov27         (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 121 5.00 9% 10.40    
3  SPECIAL MOMENT Oct22 Sep24 Sep02 Aug12   (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  MONGOLIAN APPLE Jan05         (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00 16% 5.30    
5  MISTER MAFIOSO Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 Sep18   (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 ★    
6  OUR BOY ROY Jan05         (peer)DA FAUSTO 121 10.00    
7  LITTLE AXE SOUL May07 Apr13       (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 12.00    
8  HE'S A FLYIN Nov30         (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW EVERY MORNING Jan04 Dec19 Nov29 Nov09 Sep10 (villamar cande)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00    
2  MYSTICAL IMAGE         (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 122 6.00 ★    
3  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Jan01 Dec15 Nov25 Nov09 Oct01 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 8% 11.10    
4  EL MAESTRO Dec20 Nov21 Nov05 Sep11 Jul30 (buffalo marvin)MAWING A 122 5.00    
5  LONELY PRIVATE Jan03 Nov21 Nov07 Sep17 Aug17 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
6  BOTERO Jan03 Dec14 Sep19     (soto antonio)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 7% 13.90    
7  PERFECT FANNY Dec14 Aug24 Jun26 Apr27 Feb28 (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   01/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE JEFF Jan07 Nov15 Oct21 Oct08 Sep11 (cerin vladi)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  START A RUNNIN Jan05 Dec10 Apr19 Mar30 Mar10 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
3  UPO Dec14 Nov21 Nov08 Sep09 Aug05 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
4  VINTAGE KITTEN Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 Nov12 Aug30 (nunnally je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  MY CALL Sep08 Jul19 Jun26 May31 May09 (moreno carlo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00    
6  EROTIC Dec26 Nov29 Nov05 Sep09 Aug27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
7  PALACE PRINCE Dec26 Dec08 Nov24 Nov05 Sep15 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
8  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Dec08 Nov04 Sep09 Aug27 Jul02 (fearon jo)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
9  MAD LUTHER Jan07 Dec01 Nov19 Sep14 Aug31 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
10  FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM Jan04 Dec14 Nov28 Nov08 Sep08 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-6   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC RULER Nov07 Oct23 Jul30 Jun30 Jun16 (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 ★    
2  GOOD BYE PUTIN Dec26 Nov19 Nov04 Sep19 Jul01 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  PAINT ME LUCKY Jan04 Dec19 Dec10 Nov29 Sep18 (hern)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
4  SHOTGUN RIDER Jan04 Dec20 Nov28 Aug14 Jul02 (bullene michael)CRUZ M 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
5  HEY SEQUOIA Dec19 Dec08 Nov21 Nov07 Oct14 (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
6  PERFECT COME BACK Dec10 May07 Apr18 Apr01 Mar21 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
7  EL CHUMELITO Dec19 Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 Jul04 (wheeler travis)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D K'S CROWN Jan05 Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 Aug06 (villamar candelar)LEON A 124 12.00    
SCR  TAINO HOUSE Jan14 Jan02 Dec27 Dec13 Nov15 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 12% 7.70    
3  ZATTER Jan07 Dec13 Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50    
4  ROUSING RUBBLE Jan07 Dec13 Nov26 Sep17 Sep03 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  LIMITED OFFER Dec27 Sep18 Aug28 Aug10 Apr30 (blea jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
6  NEVADAN Dec26 Apr25 Mar15 Feb15 Jan20 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 42% 1.40    
7  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jan09 Dec13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
8  MO GEE Dec26 Dec13 Nov15 Sep18 Aug28 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY NOGUEZ Jan03 Nov14 Oct16     (cerin vladi)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  MS SALLY Jan03 Nov30 Sep12 Aug15 May03 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
3  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Nov30 Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Jul26 (axmaker w)MAWING A 122 15.00    
4  MISS AGGIE BLING Jan03 Dec14 Nov26 Sep08 Aug21 (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
5  PRANCE Dec26 Dec13 Nov12 Aug06 Jul17 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
6  DADDY'S GIRL May02 Mar31 Mar08     (grissom w)ZUNINO L 122 15.00    
7  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 Sep28 Jun16 (van taylo)LINDSAY CHAD 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
8  IF YOU WANT IT Dec14 Nov30 Aug28 Aug18 Jul17 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 6% 17.00    
9  QUEEN OF LOVE Dec28 Nov30 Nov19 Sep19 Aug21 (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  GYPSY WIFE Dec26 Nov20 Oct21 Jan06   (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
SCR  WEGOTTODRINKING Jan07 Jul16 Jun19 Jun11 May21 (nunnally jennife)ANAYA V 122 20.00    
SCR  BORN TO REIGN Jan09 Dec17 Nov07 Sep12 Jul23 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.