Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (2/6/5/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
TUP-3   Win (8/5/4/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $7.60  
TUP-4   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
TUP-5   Win (6/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TUP-6   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $4.60  
TUP-7   Win (7/2/9/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 3.80
TUP-8   Win (7/9/10/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   01/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:124 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
METAROSE 5 2 21 3½ 32 2 1 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 21% 3.80 2.60 W
FEARLESS FACTOR 1 1 3 2½ 11 1 2 (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 32% 2.10 5.00 P
NO PEOPLE 2 3 11 1½ 21 3 3 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.20 0.40  
JAZZY EINSTEIN 4 6 65 42 4 4 4 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00 8% 11.40 37.40  
WORKIN NINETOFIVE 3 4 42 6 611½ 614½ 513 (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 8% 11.60 14.60  
LOVE YA MOST 6 5 5 5 5 514½ 619 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
SCR  BANDON BRIDGE               (pierce l)VERGARA P 122 4.50    
 
TUP-3   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:214 :443 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS PARKSIDE 3 5 1½ 12   16 1 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 2.80  
RED NOON RISING 5 6 7 6   36 2 (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 16% 5.30 12.10 P
WILD ARCH 8 3 6 5   26 3 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 39% 1.60 2.10 S
LARIMAR 6 2 5 78   7 4 (gutierrez qu)LEON A 122 10.00 5% 17.60 12.60  
STRADARI 7 1 3½ 22   5 510 (soto antonio)CORBETT W 122 6.00 25.80  
LUTES LIL GIFT 1 7 43 45   4 611 (luca)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 15.00 5% 19.00 21.40  
RED VENUS 2 8 810¾ 813   810¼ 711¼ (vitali marc)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 12.80  
APPRECIABLE 4 4 2½ 3   6 813 (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 124 3.50 9% 10.40 1.60  
 
TUP-4   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEBA LUCKY DAY 3 2 2 2   1½ 1 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.20 43% 1.30 2.70 W
SOLA 6 1 1 1   2½ 2 (blea jr)LARSEN S 124 8.00 6% 14.80 2.60 P
YOUONLYLIVETWICE 4 6 57 5   5 3 (metz jeffrey)VERGARA P 124 5.00 23% 3.40 2.10 S
IT'S CURLIN TIME 5 3 33 3   3 45 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 3.80  
KEEP IT ROLLIN 1 7 710 611   6 5 (buechler simon)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00 21.60  
MY CLASSY WIFE 2 4 44 4   4 6 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 24.20  
BIGMONEYHUNNY 7 8 812 814½   711½ 7 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 15.10  
OLD WEST 8 5 6 714½   817½ 821 (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 16.70  
SCR  MISYA GIRL               (nelson amy)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00    
 
TUP-5   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAAZA 2 4 1½ 1½   1nk 1 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 16% 5.30 1.50 W
LUCKY LONG LEGS 5 7 78 6   3 2 (peer)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 7.20  
A WHOLE LOTTA HULA 1 6 2½ 2½   2nk 3 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 8.00 7.50 S
LOW DOSE 6 3 4 5   6 4 (silva pablo)SANCHEZ OBED 122 4.50 34% 2.00 3.60  
DELAWARE DESTINY 3 5 52 4   43 5 (guillen rigobert)ANAYA V 122 12.00 37.40  
BIG BLUE NOTE 7 1 3½ 3   5 6 (woolley benni)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 2.50 8% 11.10 3.60  
WAHASHA 8 9 810½ 7   7 7 (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 122 15.00 29.10  
KID CAT 9 8 910¾ 811   8 8 (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 14.00  
EARLYNTHEMORN 4 2 6 911   9 9 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 17% 4.90 11.70  
 
TUP-6   01/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:101 1:23   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPI HAPI 3 7 64 4 21 21 1½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 1.30  
BLAME IT ON KITTY 4 9 76 8 7 7 2½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 15.00 39.70  
THE BEAT 5 2 31 6 54 5 3½ (oberholtzer kevin)CORBETT W 122 6.00 43% 1.30 11.90 S
PAINT ME LUCKY 2 5 42 21 4 11 4½ (hern)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 2.60  
BERNALINHO 6 8 10 9 85 42 5¾ (bullene mich)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 11.50  
10  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM 10 4 5 31 11 31 62 (eikleberry ke)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 12.80  
SHOTGUN RIDER 8 10 9 7 64 6 72 (bullene michael)MAWING A 122 10.00 25.00  
JUNE GLOOM 1 3 1½ 11 32 8 85 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 122 4.50 30% 2.30 3.30  
FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM 9 6 8 10 10 1011¾ 9 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 6.00 28.20  
MANCUSO AT THE MIC 7 1 2½ 5 9 911¾ 1014¾ (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 122 20.00 83.20  
 
TUP-7   01/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:22
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:10 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDY'S STAR 2 3 2nk 2nk 1 15 1 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 122 2.50 23% 3.30 5.90 W
TALES OF MAKENNA 7 7 6 6 37 36 2 (person a)MAWING A 122 5.00 9% 10.10 2.20 P
SMILING THUNDER 5 2 1nk 1nk 2 25 312 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 27% 2.70 1.60 S
SHE'S MY RIDE 1 6 711¼ 711¼ 714½ 613 414¼ (simp)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00 11.80  
BACK TO BUSINESS 4 1 34 4 59 410½ 515 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 4.80  
REALREALGOOD 6 8 817¼ 815¾ 817½ 716 616¼ (perkins frances)ANAYA V 122 20.00 6% 17.10 63.30  
10  LATER DAYS 8 5 5 33 4 512½ 719¾ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 15.00 13.30  
FLASH FLOOD 3 4 4 5 611½ 820 832 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 6.00 8.30  
SCR  RED PANTY NIGHT               (pierce l)CARRENO J 122 12.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  SATURDAY SERVICE               (dennison h)SANCHEZ OBED 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:214 :442 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW EVERY MORNING 6 1 12 1   15 1 (potts ashley )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 22% 3.50 2.60 W
ROUGE SUNSET 1 6 7 6   35 2 (torres-casas jesu)LEON A 122 8.00 15.90  
PROFOUND ONE 2 3 22 2   25 38 (eids)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00 20.80  
OUR EMPIRE 3 7 4 4   4 4 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 3.00 2.90  
TENACIOUS LION 8 4 53 5   58 510 (lucarelli frank)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 22% 3.50 4.10  
SQUARE ROOT 4 2 32 3   6 613¼ (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
ROYAL TAP 7 5 8 7   713 713¾ (torres-casas )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 8% 11.70 15.10  
VIRGHAZI 5 8 916¾ 918¾   919½ 819 (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 46.40  
10  MINDSHARE 9 9 6 8   816½ 920 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 5.00 19% 4.30 3.10  
SCR  STILLWATER BROWN               (chamberlin ti)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.