Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (2/6/5/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-3   Win (8/5/4/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-4   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (6/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-7   Win (7/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (7/9/10/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   01/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BANDON BRIDGE Dec19 Nov12 Oct15 Sep30 Sep11 (pierce l)VERGARA P 122 4.50    
FEARLESS FACTOR Dec19 Aug12 Jul23 Jun18 May29 (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
NO PEOPLE Dec15 Nov02 Sep29 Aug04 Jul10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.20    
WORKIN NINETOFIVE Dec19 Dec01 Nov19 Nov07 Sep03 (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 8% 11.60    
JAZZY EINSTEIN Dec19 Nov25 Sep17 Aug15 Apr05 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00 8% 11.40    
METAROSE Dec19 Nov25 Nov12 Sep30 Aug31 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
LOVE YA MOST Dec26 Sep17 Aug29 Apr05 Mar07 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-3   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUTES LIL GIFT Dec15 Sep09 Aug20 Jul29 Jun19 (luca)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
RED VENUS Dec10 Nov23 Sep26 Aug30 Jul06 (vitali marc)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
MS PARKSIDE Dec15 Aug07 Jul10 Jun19 May29 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
APPRECIABLE Dec10 Nov26 Nov07 Sep01 Aug03 (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 124 3.50 9% 10.40    
RED NOON RISING Dec15 Nov26 Nov07 Aug27 Aug14 (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
LARIMAR Dec10 Nov21 Oct22 Sep23 Aug26 (gutierrez qu)LEON A 122 10.00 5% 17.60    
STRADARI Dec14 Nov26 Nov15     (soto antonio)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
WILD ARCH Dec16 Nov19 Nov06 Oct07 Sep23 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
TUP-4   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEP IT ROLLIN Dec13 Nov07 Oct17 Sep28 Aug27 (buechler simon)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00    
MY CLASSY WIFE Nov15 Sep26       (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00    
KEBA LUCKY DAY Nov25 Oct14 Sep03 Mar17 Feb21 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
YOUONLYLIVETWICE Nov29 Nov15 Oct08 Sep04 Aug21 (metz jeffrey)VERGARA P 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  MISYA GIRL Dec14 Nov05 Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 (nelson amy)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00    
IT'S CURLIN TIME Dec14 Nov15 Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
SOLA Nov29 Feb16 Jan20 Jan12   (blea jr)LARSEN S 124 8.00 6% 14.80    
BIGMONEYHUNNY Dec15 Nov15 Sep25 Sep11 Jul15 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
OLD WEST Nov29 Nov21 Apr08 Mar09 Feb21 (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
TUP-5   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A WHOLE LOTTA HULA Dec21 Dec01 Nov19 Sep11 Aug20 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
AMAAZA Nov24 Oct30 Sep23 Sep03 Jul15 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
DELAWARE DESTINY Dec01 Oct05 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 (guillen rigobert)ANAYA V 122 12.00    
EARLYNTHEMORN Aug01 Jun25 May06 Apr08 Mar31 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
LUCKY LONG LEGS Dec19         (peer)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
LOW DOSE Dec21 Nov19 Nov05 Sep10 Aug08 (silva pablo)SANCHEZ OBED 122 4.50 34% 2.00    
BIG BLUE NOTE Dec21 Nov19 Sep03 Jun19 May19 (woolley benni)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 2.50 8% 11.10    
WAHASHA Dec19 Nov25 Nov07 Oct10 Sep11 (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 122 15.00    
KID CAT Dec19 Nov07 Sep17 Aug29 Jul16 (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00    
 
TUP-6   01/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNE GLOOM Dec18 Dec11 Oct14 Oct09 Aug26 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
PAINT ME LUCKY Dec19 Dec10 Nov29 Sep18 Aug27 (hern)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00    
HAPI HAPI Dec19 Nov28 Oct22 Oct01 Sep11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50    
BLAME IT ON KITTY Dec19 Oct15 Aug13 Jul15 Jul02 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 15.00    
THE BEAT Dec19 Nov26 Nov15 Sep10 Aug15 (oberholtzer kevin)CORBETT W 122 6.00 43% 1.30    
BERNALINHO Dec22 Dec08 Nov16 Sep09 Aug13 (bullene mich)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
MANCUSO AT THE MIC Dec01 Sep17 Sep04 Aug12 Jul17 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 122 20.00    
SHOTGUN RIDER Dec20 Nov28 Aug14 Jul02 Jun15 (bullene michael)MAWING A 122 10.00    
FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM Dec14 Nov28 Nov08 Sep08 Jul30 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 6.00    
10  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Dec22 Nov28 Nov04 Sep08 Aug21 (eikleberry ke)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
 
TUP-7   01/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S MY RIDE Nov14 Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 Aug11 (simp)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00    
INDY'S STAR Dec19 Nov07 Aug27 Aug04 Jun19 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
FLASH FLOOD Dec13 Aug27 Aug20 Jul31 Jul04 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 6.00    
BACK TO BUSINESS Nov26 Oct19 Oct04 Sep07 Aug09 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
SCR  SATURDAY SERVICE Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Aug26 (dennison h)SANCHEZ OBED 122 10.00    
SCR  RED PANTY NIGHT Dec17 Nov05 Aug18 Jul02 Jun03 (pierce l)CARRENO J 122 12.00 7% 12.80    
SMILING THUNDER Dec20 Nov25 Nov07 Sep30 Sep11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
REALREALGOOD Sep12 Aug29 Aug12 Jun12 Apr24 (perkins frances)ANAYA V 122 20.00 6% 17.10    
TALES OF MAKENNA Dec26 Oct19 Sep27 Aug17 May06 (person a)MAWING A 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
10  LATER DAYS Dec19 Nov26 Nov08 Sep03 Aug04 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 15.00    
 
TUP-8   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGE SUNSET Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 Sep19 Aug27 (torres-casas jesu)LEON A 122 8.00    
SCR  STILLWATER BROWN Nov30 Nov04 Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 (chamberlin ti)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 6.00    
PROFOUND ONE Dec13 Nov09 Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 (eids)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00    
OUR EMPIRE Dec22 Dec08 Oct30 Sep24 Sep04 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
SQUARE ROOT Dec22 Aug06 Jul10 Jun18 Feb14 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
VIRGHAZI         (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00    
NEW EVERY MORNING Dec19 Nov29 Nov09 Sep10 Aug21 (potts ashley )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
ROYAL TAP Dec22 Nov05 Sep19 Sep10 Aug27 (torres-casas )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 8% 11.70    
TENACIOUS LION Dec13 Sep11 Aug28 Jul04 Jun23 (lucarelli frank)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
10  MINDSHARE Dec19 Nov29 Nov04     (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.