Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-5   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $14.40 $10.40 260%
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/4/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-2 $28.10 $20.10 251%
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/4/6/3)-(2/1/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-2-4 $89.85 $77.85 649%
    PK3 (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/7)-(2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-1/3-1 $32.55 $20.55 171%
TUP-6   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $19.20 $13.20 220%
    DD (2/1)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $134.00 $128.00 2133%
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(2/1)-(1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1/3-1-6 $125.80 $116.80 1298%
TUP-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $15.80 $11.80 295%
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/10/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-1 $26.90 $18.90 236%
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/10/4/7)-(1/2/10/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-4 $157.60 $145.60 1213%
    DD (1/4/6)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-2 $81.50 $75.50 1258%
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/4/6)-(1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00  1-6-2 $346.70 $340.70 5678%
TUP-8   WIN (6/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $8.00 $4.00 100%
    DD (1/2)-(6/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00  2-6 $40.80 $36.80 920%
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(1/2)-(6/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00  6-2-6 $186.30 $180.30 3005%
    PK4 (2/1)-(1/4/6)-(1/2)-(6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-6-2-6 $2508 $2496 20805%
    PK5 (5/3/7)-(2/1)-(1/4/6)-(1/2)-(6/9) 72 $0.50 $36.00  1/3-1-6-2-6 $4815 $4779 13276%
    PK6 (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/7)-(2/1)-(1/4/6)-(1/2)-(6/9) 288 $0.20 $57.60  5-1/3-1-6-2-6 $27619 $27562 47851%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   01/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:221 :454 1:112 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TALES OF MAKENNA 5 6 59 43¾ 32 3½ 1½ (person a)MAWING A 122 2.50 56% 0.80 1.60 W
4  A THOUSAND DREAMS 4 4 47½ 55¼ 22 2nk 2½ (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★ 2.80 P
2  DIPLOMATICA 2 2 11 2nk 12 1nk 33¾ (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122 5.00 8.10  
1  TOP REFERENCES 1 5 610½ 69¼ 64¾ 45 47¼ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
3  CURIOUS INJI 3 1 21 1nk 42¼ 58 515¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 11% 8.50 2.20  
6  LOW DOSE 6 3 31½ 3.2 54¾ 613 625¼ (silva pab)SANCHEZ OBED 122 6.00 5% 17.80 12.30  
 
TUP-4   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:111 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  METAROSE 1 1 31 1nk 1nk 1½ 1½ (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★ 1.20  
5  LILA'S LUCKY LADY 4 3 2½ 3.2 2nk 2½ 2½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 56% 0.80 2.80 P
7  AND I KNOW 6 7 63½ 62½ 33½ 34 34¼ (me)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00 7% 12.60 13.00 S
2  SUPERSTAR BEA 2 5 41½ 4¼ 45 49 48 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 4.50 ★ 5.90  
8  PIPER ROSE 7 6 74 75 79 510 59½ (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 4.40  
6  SEVEN POINTS 5 2 51½ 52¼ 57 611 611¾ (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 12.90  
4  CANTERBURY GOLD 3 4 1½ 2nk 68 714½ 718¾ (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00 10.40  
SCR  KALLINIKI               (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.50 10% 8.70    
 
TUP-5   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARBOR THUNDER 1 6 62½ 61   31 1½ (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 2.50 7% 12.90 6.20 W
2  ANOTHERFORBROOKS 2 9 93¾ 72½   43 2½ (gleason m)MAWING A 121 3.00 65% 0.50 2.80 P
4  BARON'S SONG 4 5 31 2nk   1nk 3¾ (zimmerman jon )ANAYA V 121 5.00 ★ 12.50 S
7  BIG TIME ROB 7 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 42 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00 8.00  
5  JOHN'S KID 5 8 73½ 85   56 55 (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 10.00 2.10  
8  BIG JACK 8 1 41½ 5¾   69½ 610¼ (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 3.70  
3  RENEGADE WARRIOR 3 7 83½ 911   912¾ 715 (chambers mik)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 ★ 7.70  
9  LOTSA SKY 9 2 52 4¾   812¼ 816¼ (perkins franc)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 20.00 46.00  
6  BRENSON BUNS 6 4 1½ 3.2   79¾ 916¾ (kereluk edw)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 ★ 45.90  
 
TUP-6   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:22 :443 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LARIMAR 6 3 35½ 36   21 1¼ (gutierrez juan )LEON A 122 10.00 15% 5.70 8.60 W
5  JAMMINJL 5 4 67½ 48   31½ 2¼ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 1.80  
1  APPRECIABLE 1 6 2½ 22   11 32¾ (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 122 3.00 43% 1.30 2.10 S
4  MIDNIGHT GARDEN 4 7 810 811   65½ 43½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 19% 4.20 4.60  
3  VALUE DANCER 3 8 78½ 59   55½ 53¾ (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 21.10  
8  SUNDANCE STAR 8 1 57 610½   79½ 66¾ (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00 11.10  
7  EVEN PANDURA 7 2 47 710½   810 711 (brown jar)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 ★ 21.10  
2  FIRE ESCAPE 2 5 1½ 12   44½ 813¾ (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00 ★ 5.80  
 
TUP-7   01/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TAINO HOUSE 2 6 42 31½   2nk 11¾ (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 7% 12.90 6.90 W
1  TEXAS LONG BOW 1 5 52½ 42½   52¼ 21¾ (tate mary)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 70% 0.40 2.30 P
4  HERBIE 4 8 75¼ 75¼   41¾ 32½ (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 ★ 30.10 S
3  SOLEROCKER 3 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 42½ (barraza ra)VERGARA P 124 6.00 4.10  
8  STARZAN 7 3 31½ 52¾   74¾ 53 (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00 14.90  
9  CHUCK NAZTY 8 7 87¼ 87¾   85¾ 63¼ (martinez a)CRUZ M 124 5.00 2.40  
7  EPIC DRAMA 6 2 2nk 1nk   3.2 73½ (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 ★ 5.30  
5  LOST THE MINISTER 5 4 65 65¼   64¾ 84½ (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 58.60  
10  ALBANY FRONT 9 9 98¾ 910¾   911¾ 913¾ (gutierrez juan )LEON A 124 12.00 ★ 10.20  
SCR  ECHO ALPHA SIX               (si)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   01/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:114 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  N. K. ROCKET MAN 6 1 12½ 11½ 11 16 1¾ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.00 65% 0.50 3.00 W
4  MONGOL ALTAI 4 7 66½ 53¾ 43½ 26 2¾ (asprino alfr)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 17.80  
2  IN THE MIDST 2 5 44½ 33½ 33½ 36 32¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 ★ 1.40 S
9  BROTHERLY LOVE 9 4 55 64¼ 56 57¾ 44½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 9% 10.60 5.50  
8  GALLANT OAK 8 3 22½ 21½ 21 46¼ 58¾ (birdwell te)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.00 ★ 8.10  
7  WILLTOBELUCKY 7 6 76½ 76¼ 69 612¾ 69½ (eikleberry k)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 15.40  
1  ETU BABOU 1 10 810 96¾ 910¼ 714¾ 711 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 6.00 ★ 8.40  
3  STRAUS'S PLACE 3 9 1012¼ 109¾ 1012¾ 917¼ 813¼ (salas elia)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 36.70  
10  CHROME KING 10 8 910¼ 86¾ 810¼ 816¾ 915 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 9.90  
5  AUTISM SAVANT 5 2 33 43½ 710 1042¼ 1066½ (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 20.00 76.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.